The Toronto Blue Jays host the Tampa Bay Rays on July 22, 2026. First pitch from Rogers Centre is scheduled for 7:07 p.m. ET. The game will be broadcast on SNET.
The Blue Jays are favored by -112 on the moneyline and are +1.5 on the run line. The Rays are -107 on the moneyline and -1.5 on the run line. The total is set at 8 runs.
Find our MLB picks and Rays vs Blue Jays prediction below, as well as probable pitchers, weather report, and more.
Rays vs Blue Jays Prediction
- Rays vs Blue Jays Pick: Griffin Jax Under 4.5 Strikeouts (-101)
Our Rays vs Blue Jays best bet is on Griffin Jax to record four strikeouts or fewer tonight. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page.
Rays vs Blue Jays Odds
| Rays Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 +160 | 8 -108o / -111u | -107 |
| Blue Jays Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 -195 | 8 -108o / -111u | -112 |
- Rays vs Blue Jays moneyline: Rays -107, Blue Jays -112
- Rays vs Blue Jays over/under: 8 (-108o / -111u)
- Rays vs Blue Jays spread: Rays -1.5 (+160), Blue Jays +1.5 (-195)
Rays vs Blue Jays Probable Pitchers
| Griffin Jax (RHP, TB) | Stat | Braydon Fisher (RHP, TOR) |
|---|---|---|
| 5-7 | W-L | 3-3 |
| 0.5 | fWAR (FanGraphs) | 0.2 |
| 4.08 / 5.32 | ERA / xERA | 3.65 / 3.73 |
| 4.42 / 3.61 | FIP / xFIP | 4.12 / 4.07 |
| 16.3 | K-BB% | 14.0 |
| 43.8 | GB% | 44.8 |
| .289 | BABIP | .250 |
| 104 | Stuff+ | 100 |
| 104 | Location+ | 97 |
Rays vs Blue Jays MLB Betting Preview, Prediction
Action PRO projects Rays starter Griffin Jax for 3.9 strikeouts against the Blue Jays, giving us an excellent 14.6% edge against the market when compared to his current prop line of over/under 4.5, which is good enough to mark the under with a B+ grade in our system.
Although he has 77 Ks in 75 innings pitched this season, the Blue Jays bats aren't prone to whiff, with the second-lowest strikeout percentage in MLB at 19.5% and the absolute best vs. RHP at 19.0%.
In fact, Jax already faced Toronto this season, and while he did great, holding them scoreless through five innings with only four hits allowed, the Rays SP just managed to get one strikeout.
At this value, let's fade Jax on his strikeouts line against Chicago.
Pick: Griffin Jax Under 4.5 Strikeouts (-101, DraftKings)
