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Twins vs Nationals Prediction, Pick, Odds: MLB Weather-Oriented Over

Twins vs Nationals Prediction, Pick, Odds: MLB Weather-Oriented Over article feature image
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Photo Credit: Geoff Burke-Imagn Images
Pictured: Cade Cavalli pitches

The Washington Nationals host the Minnesota Twins on May 5, 2026. First pitch from Nationals Park is scheduled for 6:45 p.m. EDT. The game will be broadcast on NATS.

The Twins are favored by -112 on the moneyline and by -1.5 on the run line. The Nationals are -106 on the moneyline and +1.5 on the run line. The total is set at 9 runs.

Find my MLB picks and Twins vs Nationals prediction below, as well as probable pitchers, weather report, and more.


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Twins vs Nationals Prediction

  • Twins vs Nationals Pick: Over 9 (-104, FanDuel)

My Twins vs Nationals best bet is over 9 total runs. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page.


Twins vs Nationals Odds

Twins Logo
May 5, 2026
6:45 p.m. EDT
NATS
Nationals Logo
Twins Odds
SpreadTotalMoneyline
-1.5
-166
9
-115o / -105u
-112
Nationals Odds
SpreadTotalMoneyline
+1.5
+145
9
-115o / -105u
-106
Odds via FanDuel. Get up-to-the-minute MLB odds here.
FanDuel Logo
  • Twins vs Nationals moneyline: Twins -112, Nationals -106
  • Twins vs Nationals over/under: 9 (-115o / -105u)
  • Twins vs Nationals spread: Twins -1.5 (+145), Nationals +1.5 (-166)

Twins vs Nationals Probable Pitchers

Taj BradleyStatCade Cavalli
15-20W-L16-19
0.7fWAR (FanGraphs)0.7
2.85 / 3.99ERA / xERA3.82 / 3.80
3.82 / 4.08FIP / xFIP2.85 / 3.81
16.7K-BB%16.8
33GB%43.7
.278BABIP.419
108Stuff+102
91Location+93

Twins vs Nationals MLB Betting Preview

The biggest takeaway here is that it’s the warmest outdoor game on the slate today. The temperature is going to be near 79 degrees, and we also have the wind blowing out pretty aggressively to left field in D.C.

This is one of the more underrated wind-receptive parks in the majors. Wind blowing out versus wind blowing in makes a pretty big difference, and today the wind will be blowing out, and it’s also going to be warm.


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Twins vs Nationals Pick, Betting Analysis

So, from a temperature standpoint, this is a weather-oriented over for me — Twins and Nationals over 9 up to -105.

Pick: Over 9 (-104, FanDuel)


Twins vs Nationals Weather


Get the latest coverage on MLB Weather.
Author Profile
About the Author

Sean graduated from the University of Miami and Hofstra University Law School, later passing the New York State Bar Exam in 2014. He shifted from a legal career to sports data and betting, joining the Action Network in 2019 after working as a baseball video scout and in financial regulatory compliance. As a senior writer and betting analyst, Sean provides MLB and MMA projections using proprietary models and contributes to various digital content and podcasts, becoming a leading expert in betting for baseball, MMA, and horse racing.

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