Pelicans vs. Spurs Odds & Betting Predictions - March 16, 2025

Spurs on a back-to-back, missing Wembanyama and Fox. Their offense struggles without them – just 107.6 PPG over last five. Pelicans dominate this matchup, winning the last two meetings. San Antonio’s defense allows 119 PPG, ranking bottom five. They also give up 48.4% shooting, 27th in the league. New Orleans' offense isn't elite but finds advantages here. Spurs allow 46.3 rebounds per game, while the Pels rank top 10 in offensive rebounding. Second-chance points will be huge. CJ McCollum leads NO in scoring (44.4% FG), and Trey Murphy is coming off a 24-point game vs. SA. Pelicans also have a major assist edge – 25.5 per game vs. SA’s 22.1. San Antonio struggles covering in-division games (2-11 ATS last 13). Spurs’ defense collapses late – 30.2 PPG allowed in the third quarter, worst in the NBA. They give up 21.7 fast-break PPG (bottom 3), and NO thrives in transition. Pelicans have covered 9 of the last 11 vs. SA. This line is too short given the injuries.