The Miami Heat (15-13) and New York Knicks (19-8) will face off in the NBA tonight. Tipoff is set for 6:00 p.m. ET from Madison Square Garden in New York City. The game will broadcast live on FDSSUN.
The Knicks are 8-point favorites over the Heat on the spread (Knicks -8), with the over/under set at 235.5 total points. New York is a -310 to win outright on the moneyline, while Miami is +265 to pull off the upset.
Let's get into my Heat vs. Knicks predictions and NBA picks for Sunday, December 21.
My Heat vs Knicks Prediction
- Heat vs Knicks pick: Knicks -7.5 (-120)
My Knicks vs Heat best bet is on New York to cover the spread, with the best price currently available at DraftKings. However, make sure to find the best odds by checking our live NBA odds page.
Heat vs Knicks Odds
| Heat Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+7.5 +100 | 235.5 -112o / -108u | +250 |
| Knicks Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-7.5 -120 | 235.5 -112o / -108u | -310 |
Heat vs Knicks NBA Preview
This NBA system targets regular season situations where home favorites with strong rebounding form bounce back to cover the spread, which appears to be the setup for the Knicks entering tonight's matchup against the Heat.
When teams control the boards across multiple games, it reflects sustained energy, interior presence, and second-chance scoring potential, all of which translate more effectively at home — and that is what we are seeing from the Knicks in this spot.
These teams tend to have stable home against-the-spread results and perform particularly well in early and midseason months when effort metrics like rebounding carry extra weight before fatigue or playoff pacing set in.
By focusing on home favorites that are not elite but consistently solid, this strategy captures undervalued stability where rebounding dominance, crowd momentum, and statistical reliability align to produce profitable covers.
So, let's take the Knicks -7.5 on Sunday evening.
Heat vs Knicks Betting Prediction
- Knicks -7.5 (-120)
Spread
My Knicks vs Heat betting prediction is on New York to cover the spread at -7.5
Moneyline
No play on the moneyline.
Over/Under
I'm steering clear of the total in this contest.
