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NBA Best Bets Today: Expert Picks, Predictions & Odds for February 28, 2026

NBA Best Bets Today: Expert Picks, Predictions & Odds for February 28, 2026 article feature image
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Action Network/Imagn Images: Tyler Herro, Brandon Ingram, LeBron James, Kon Knueppel

The NBA regular season continues with an excellent 5-game slate this Saturday. So, our staff of basketball betting experts dug into the latest NBA odds and identified NBA best bets for all five of today's contests.

Continue below for our NBA best bets and predictions for Saturday, February 28.

NBA Best Bets, Picks, Predictions: Saturday, February 28

GameTime (ET)Pick
Portland Trail Blazers LogoCharlotte Hornets Logo
1 p.m.
Houston Rockets LogoMiami Heat Logo
3:30 p.m.
Toronto Raptors LogoWashington Wizards Logo
7 p.m.
Los Angeles Lakers LogoGolden State Warriors Logo
8:30 p.m.
New Orleans Pelicans LogoUtah Jazz Logo
9:30 p.m.
Specific betting recommendations come from the sportsbook offering preferred odds as of writing. Always shop for the best price using our NBA Odds page, which automatically surfaces the best lines for every game.

Rockets vs. Heat Spread Pick

Houston Rockets Logo
Saturday, Feb. 28
3:30 p.m. ET
Amazon Prime Video
Miami Heat Logo
Heat +3.5 (-115)
bet365 Logo

By Matt Moore

Miami will be shorthanded against Houston today.

However, history says this is a spot where you need to back the Heat if they have a pulse — and they do have a pulse right now.

Houston’s offense is its weak-spot, and Miami has a top-five halfcourt defense.

When Houston runs up against teams that can match its defensive energy, the Rockets struggle.

Miami’s pace doesn’t actually help them offensively, but it wears out the opponent and drags them into halfcourt settings.

I’ll back the Heat to take advantage of the terrible rest spot that the Rockets find themselves in today.

Pick: Heat +3.5 (-115)



Playbook

Raptors vs. Wizards Player Prop Bet

Toronto Raptors Logo
Saturday, Feb. 28
7 p.m. ET
NBA League Pass
Washington Wizards Logo
Scottie Barnes Over 1.5 Steals (+125)
FanDuel Logo

By Action Network Staff

Action PRO is projecting 2.07 steals for Scottie Barnes in the Raptors' matchup against the Wizards tonight, presenting a solid 19.2% edge against his current prop line of over/under 1.5, which is strong enough to give the Over an A-grade in our database.

Barnes has recorded 2+ steals in five straight games entering tonight's contest, with four of those five performances ringing in at 3+ steals.

Tonight should be a good spot for Barnes to continue that streak in a matchup against a Wizards' team that turns the ball over 15.2 times per game, which ranks 3rd-most in the league.

You could also consider sprinkling Barnes 3+ Steals (+400) at DraftKings.

Pick: Scottie Barnes Over 1.5 Steals (+125)



Lakers vs. Warriors Prop Prediction

Los Angeles Lakers Logo
Saturday, Feb. 28
8:30 p.m. ET
ABC
Golden State Warriors Logo
Luke Kennard Over 6.5 Points (-112)
bet365 Logo

By Action Network Staff

Action PRO is projecting 8.76 points for Luke Kennard in the Lakers' matchup against the Warriors tonight, showing a massive 24.7% edge against his current points prop line of over/under 6.5, which is good enough to tag the Over with an A+ grade in our database.

Kennard has played eight games since joining the Lakers, and he's scored 7+ points in every single one of those games, while hitting 9+ points in four of those contests, despite only breaking double-digits once during that stretch.

The Warriors are tough at the defensive end, ranked top-11 in both defensive rating and points allowed per game.

However, this should be a good spot for Kennard to keep the momentum going in the scoring department against a Golden State squad that ranks 1st in 3-point attempts per game on the season.

Pick: Luke Kennard Over 6.5 Points (-112)



Pelicans vs. Jazz Over/Under Pick

New Orleans Pelicans Logo
Saturday, Feb. 28
9:30 p.m. ET
NBA League Pass
Utah Jazz Logo
Under 245.5 (-110)
bet365 Logo

By Bet Labs

This NBA totals betting system targets regular season games where betting action and market movement are misaligned.

When a majority of wagers lean heavily toward the Over yet the total drops from open to close, it signals sharp money driving the line down despite public sentiment.

In these spots, both teams often come off recent games that exceeded expectations offensively, inflating totals and public confidence in high scoring outcomes.

However, regression and defensive adjustments tend to follow, especially when oddsmakers shade lines higher to match demand.

This setup creates ideal conditions for value on the Under, as professional bettors anticipate slower pace, shooting variance, or fatigue leading to lower scoring than the market expects.

NBA Icon
Evan Abrams – Reverse Line Movement Unders
the over/under % is between 0% and 40%
betting on the Under
the game is played during the Regular season
the visitor's previous game OU margin is between 0 and 1000
the home team's previous game OU margin is between 0 and 1000
the o/u change from open to close is between -100 and -1
$2,425
WON
641-580-12
RECORD
52%
WIN%

Pick: Under 245.5 (-110)



Trail Blazers vs. Hornets Total Prediction

Portland Trail Blazers Logo
Saturday, Feb. 28
1 p.m. ET
NBA League Pass
Charlotte Hornets Logo
Under 228 (-110)
bet365 Logo

By Matt Moore

I love the Under in this game.

The rebounding advantage for Charlotte is going to be massive, resulting in elongated possessions.

Portland’s offense will struggle against a Charlotte defense that isn’t good — but isn’t that bad, either.

I project this total down at 224.9, with Portland only projected for 113 points.

I’m expecting a bit of a slog, with Charlotte’s offense coming out on top and the Blazers’ offense looking anemic.

Pick: Under 228 (-110)



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Action Network is a team of seasoned sports betting experts specializing in a broad range of sports, from the NFL and NBA to less mainstream options like cricket and darts. Their staff includes well-known analysts like Sean Koerner and Stuckey, recognized for their accurate predictions and deep sports knowledge. The team is dedicated to delivering expert analysis and daily best bets, ensuring bettors are well-informed across all major sports.

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