The NBA is back with a full slate on Friday, featuring a total of 8 games with 3 matchups in the late window.
Below we've compiled a few plays to use on PrizePicks and Underdog for Friday's NBA games from RotoGrinders — coming from both the NBA pick'em analysis page and the projections page. You can get all the plays with a RotoGrinders subscription.
NBA PrizePicks & Underdog Plays for Friday, December 3
- Dalton Knecht Less Than 12.5 Points
- Jalen Wilson Less Than 3.5 Rebounds
This is a nightmare matchup for 3-point shooters. Minnesota holds opponents to the fewest made 3s, the 3rd-fewest 3-point attempts, and the 3rd-lowest 3-point percentage. Opposing teams are scoring just 32.9% of their points against the Timberwolves via 3-pointers, the lowest mark in the league.
Dalton Knecht scores a team-leading 56.6% of his points from 3-pointers. He's taking 60.7% of his shots from beyond the arc, which also leads the team. Knecht has been extremely reliant on teammates to create his scoring opportunities, as his assisted field goal rate is 87.9%. It jumps up to 96% on 3-pointers. Knecht has made just two unassisted 3-pointers this season.
Minnesota allows the 3rd-fewest assists per game. They've held opponents to the 3rd-lowest assisted field goal rate. LeBron James has been ruled out, so the Lakers will be without their top assist man tonight. LA's assist rate drops by 8.2% with LeBron off the floor. It's a difficult spot for Knecht's skillset. Austin Reaves' potential return could also hurt his scoring opportunities.
Pick: Dalton Knecht Less Than 14.5 Points
Jalen Wilson's production has ebbed and flowed depending on Brooklyn's roster. The current iteration works against him, both in terms of minutes and rebounding production.
Wilson has averaged 25 minutes per game this season. It shoots up to 29.5 per game when Dorian Finney-Smith doesn't play. Wilson has drawn some starts recently with DFS sidelined, but the veteran will be back in the lineup tonight. Wilson will likely come off the bench, where he's averaged 22.6 minutes per contest.
Brooklyn will also have both Nic Claxton and Ben Simmons available tonight. The Nets' big men have been in-and-out of the lineup all season, only appearing in 12 games together. Claxton and Simmons lead the team in rebounding.
When both of them play, Wilson's rebounding rate drops by 2.7%, the largest decrease on the team. He's averaging 3.6 rebounds on 7.3 rebound chances this season. Wilson is down to 2.5 rebounds per game when both Claxton and Simmons are available.
Memphis has the 3rd-highest rebounding rate in the league. Their pace leads to a decent number of raw rebounds, but mostly for guards. They've held forwards in check on the glass for the most part.