The Vanderbilt Commodores take on the Florida Gators in the 2026 SEC Tournament in Nashville, Tennessee, on Saturday, March 14. Tip-off is set for 1 p.m. ET on ESPN.
Florida is favored by 7.5 points on the spread with a moneyline of -410. Vanderbilt, meanwhile, enters as a +7.5 underdog and is +320 on the moneyline to pull off the upset. The over/under sits at 160.5 total points.
Here’s my Vanderbilt vs. Florida prediction and college basketball picks for Saturday, March 14.
Vanderbilt Commodores vs Florida Gators Prediction, Picks
My Pick: Vanderbilt +7 or Better
My Vanderbilt vs Florida best bet is on the Commodores to cover. For all of your college basketball bets, be sure to find the best lines by using our live NCAAB odds page.
Vanderbilt vs Florida Odds, Point Spread, Betting Line
| Vanderbilt Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+7.5 -105 | 160.5 -110o / -110u | +320 |
| Florida Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-7.5 -115 | 160.5 -110o / -110u | -410 |
- Vanderbilt vs Florida Spread: Florida -7.5, Vanderbilt +7.5
- Vanderbilt vs Florida Over/Under: 160.5 Total Points
- Vanderbilt vs Florida Moneyline: Vanderbilt ML +320, Florida ML -410
Vanderbilt vs Florida SEC Tournament Pick, Preview
I project the Commodores as 3.8-point underdogs against Florida, so I’m looking to bet them at +7 or better, representing a minimum three-point difference between my projection and the market.
It’s worth noting that the SEC Tournament is being held in Nashville, giving the Commodores a significant home-court advantage.
Vanderbilt took Florida to the wire the last time these two met in Nashville, with Florida pulling out a tough four-point win.
The Gators dominated the boards and will again have a massive frontcourt and physicality advantage. But the Commodores went bucket-for-bucket on the other end, with Duke Miles and Tyler Tanner dominating in ball-screen actions — Florida’s three-big lineup can be vulnerable against elite dribble orchestrators.
I expect a similar result on Saturday. I wouldn’t be surprised if Vandy pulled off the upset, given ShotQuality graded that first matchup as a four-point Commodore win based on the “quality” of shots taken by both teams.
My Pick: Vanderbilt +7 or Better
