The Vanderbilt Commodores take on the Kentucky Wildcats in Lexington, Kentucky. Tip-off is set for 2 p.m. ET on ESPN.
Vanderbilt is favored by one point on the spread with a moneyline of -115. The total is set at 156 points.
Here’s my Vanderbilt vs. Kentucky prediction and college basketball picks for February 28, 2026.
Vanderbilt vs Kentucky Prediction
My Pick: Vanderbilt +1.5
My Vanderbilt vs Kentucky best bet is on the Commodores to cover. For all of your college basketball bets, be sure to find the best lines by using our live NCAAB odds page.
Vanderbilt vs. Kentucky Odds
| Vanderbilt Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1 -110 | 156 -110o / -110u | -115 |
| Kentucky Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1 -110 | 156 -110o / -110u | -105 |
- Vanderbilt vs Kentucky spread: Vanderbilt -1
- Vanderbilt vs Kentucky over/under: 156
- Vanderbilt vs Kentucky moneyline: Vanderbilt -115, Kentucky -105
Vanderbilt vs Kentucky College Basketball Betting Preview
Vanderbilt Basketball
Vanderbilt enters this game 6-6 in the past 12 games after starting the season 16-0.
Back on January 27th, Vanderbilt cruised to an 80-55 win against Kentucky, led by Tyler Tanner and Tyler Nickel's 19 points.
Tyler Tanner has been one of the most consistent players in the SEC, averaging 18.5 points, 3.5 rebounds and 5.2 assists per game. What makes him lethal in this offense is his effectiveness as the ball-handler in the pick-and-roll — 42.2% of Tanner's field goal attempts and almost half of his assists have come out of ball-screens.
For Tyler Nickel, he has been struggling of late, averaging eight points on 5-for-23 (21.7%) from 3 in his past three games. Where Nickel can be an X-factor for this team is his ability to score in transition. This season, he is averaging 1.34 points per possession while shooting 56.1% from the field in transition.
Duke Miles has battled injuries throughout the season while also missing the first matchup against Kentucky. Since coming back from his most recent injury, Miles is averaging 13.5 points, four rebounds, three assists and two steals per game (two-game sample size).
Kentucky Basketball
Kentucky enters this matchup 18-10 overall (9-6 in the SEC) in what has been a rollercoaster of a year.
February is the shortest month of the year, and the Wildcats still found a way to fit in a three-game winning streak and a three-game losing streak within a span of 21 days.
During that winning streak, Kentucky ranked eighth in offensive efficiency, shooting 57% from 2 and 39.7% from 3 while posting an 11% turnover rate.
Since then, the offensive numbers have drastically changed, as the Wildcats rank 96th in offensive efficiency, thanks to 47.1% from 2 (301st) and 34.7% from 3.
Otega Oweh has had a strong senior season, averaging 17.5 points per game while scoring 20 points or more in seven out of his past nine games.
What makes Oweh at his best is when he is out in transition. So far this season, he is averaging 1.37 points per possession in transition while shooting 56-for-81 (69.1%) from the field, including 7-for-12 (58.3%) from deep.
Collin Chandler had four points on 1-for-6 from the field in the first matchup this season against Vanderbilt. Since then, he has averaged 13.7 points in his past seven games on 51.1% from 3.
During this hot stretch, Chandler has done a great job of moving without the basketball and finding open holes against the defense for spot-up shots. On the season, he is shooting 26-for-61 (42.6%) on spot-up threes.
Vanderbilt vs. Kentucky Betting Analysis
Their defense isn't perfect, but Vanderbilt has the third-best defense in the SEC thanks to its aggressive play in jumping passing lanes and forcing a defensive turnover rate of 16.3% (first in the SEC).
In Vanderbilt's 80-55 blowout win over Kentucky, its defensive aggressiveness caused problems all game, forcing 15 turnovers.
Though this game is at Rupp Arena, I don't trust this Kentucky team to take care of the ball. In their past four games, the Wildcats have a 19.6% turnover rate (324th).
My Pick: Vanderbilt -1
