The Kansas State Wildcats (4-5, 3-3 Big 12) take on the Oklahoma State Cowboys (1-8, 0-6 Big 12) in Stillwater on Saturday, Nov. 15. Kickoff is set for 12 p.m. ET on ESPNU.
Kansas State is favored by -19.5 points on the spread with a moneyline of -1300. Oklahoma State, meanwhile, enters as a +19.5 underdog and is +800 on the moneyline to pull off the upset. The over/under sits at 50.5 total points.
Here’s my Kansas State vs. Oklahoma State prediction and college football picks for Saturday, November 15.
Kansas State vs Oklahoma State Prediction, Betting Lines
- Kansas State vs. Oklahoma State Pick: Kansas State Team Total Over 36
My Oklahoma State vs. Kansas State best bet is on the Wildcats to go over their team total. Find the best line available on our live NCAAF odds page.
Kansas State vs Oklahoma State Odds, Money Line, Over/Under
| K State Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-19.5 -110 | 50.5 -110o / -110u | -1300 |
| OK State Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+19.5 -110 | 50.5 -110o / -110u | +800 |
- Kansas State vs Oklahoma State Spread: Kansas State -19.5, Oklahoma State +19.5
- Kansas State vs Oklahoma State Over/Under: 50.5 Points
- Kansas State vs Oklahoma State Moneyline: Kansas State -1300, Oklahoma State +800
Kansas State vs Oklahoma State Preview
Why Kansas State Will Win
While Kansas State is firmly out of College Football Playoff contention, its offensive metrics reveal a unit that's far more dangerous than the wins and losses suggest.
The Wildcats rank 17th nationally in Explosiveness and create big plays often.
Against defenses that struggle to contain vertical shots or explosive runs, Kansas State has repeatedly broken games open with 40-yard strikes and long touchdowns.
This should be a nightmare for an Oklahoma State team that ranks 121st in Explosiveness allowed, one of the worst marks in the entire FBS.
The Wildcats complement their explosiveness with efficiency in the key areas that sustain scoring drives.
Kansas State ranks 48th in Finishing Drives, turning scoring chances into points at an above-average rate. It also sits 24th in average starting field position, giving it more short fields.
Quarterback Avery Johnson is a great embodiment of the Wildcats' boom-or-bust offense this year. He ranks in the top 30 of both Big-Time Throw Rate and Turnover-Worthy Play Rate.
Against Oklahoma State, I think there will be a lot more boom than bust.
Why Oklahoma State Will Win
Oklahoma State has been an embarrassment of a football team this season. I don't want to be too harsh, but the football being played by this team is borderline unwatchable. On defense, it ranks in the bottom 15 of:
- Explosiveness allowed
- Success Rate allowed
- Points Per Opportunity allowed.
On offense, the Cowboys rank in the bottom 30 of:
- Havoc allowed
- Success Rate
- Points Per Opportunity
It's just brutal.
On defense, the Cowboys also generate almost no meaningful resistance in high-leverage moments.
Their 130th 3rd-down defense ranking means they simply can't get off the field. Their 122nd Finishing Drives Allowed ranking means teams turn opportunities into touchdowns at one of the highest rates in the country.
On offense, they don’t sustain drives, flip field position or stay on the field long enough to protect their defense.
Kansas State will win the possession battle, benefit from short fields and enjoy advantageous scoring situations throughout the game.
How To Make Kansas State vs Oklahoma State Picks
The fact that the highlight of Oklahoma State's season is a bunch of shirtless guys is unfortunately a pretty accurate picture of its season as a whole. The Pokes fired a school legend, and it looks like they just want this season to be over.
We went over Kansas State's tendency to turn the ball over. The good news for the 'Cats is that the Cowboys will struggle to punish them for those plays.
Look for Johnson to uncork a few deep bombs this week without a ton of resistance. This should be where he's at his best, and I'll for sure be tuning in to watch what should be a laser show.
Oklahoma State hasn't allowed fewer than 38 points to a Power Four team all season, and I don't see that trend ending.
Pick: Kansas State Team Total Over 36
What Channel Is The Kansas State vs Oklahoma State Game On Today?
- TVChannel: ESPNU
- Live Stream: ESPN+
Kansas State vs Oklahoma State Time Today
- Date: Saturday, Nov. 15
- Start Time: 12 p.m. ET
- Where: Boone Pickens Stadium, Stillwater, Oklahoma
Kansas State vs Oklahoma State Betting Trends
