The Green Bay Packers (11-6) and Philadelphia Eagles (14-3) play at Lincoln Financial Field today in the NFL Wild Card Round. Kickoff is set for 4:30 p.m. ET live on FOX.
Let's get to my Eagles vs. Packers prediction and NFL pick, which is backing Green Bay.
The Eagles are 5.5-point favorites over the Packers with the game total set at 45.5 total points. Philadelphia is a -250 favorite on the moneyline and Green Bay is +205. Philadelphia will have its full complement of offensive players with Jalen Hurts returning, while Jordan Love is good to go for the Packers.
Eagles vs. Packers Odds
Eagles Odds | ||
---|---|---|
Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-5.5 -115 | 45.5 -110o / -110u | -250 |
Packers Odds | ||
---|---|---|
Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+5.5 -105 | 45.5 -110o / -110u | +205 |
- Eagles vs. Packers spread: Eagles -5.5
- Eagles vs. Packers over/under: 45.5 total points
- Eagles vs. Packers moneyline: Eagles -250, Packers +205
For all of your NFL bets, be sure to find the best lines by using our live NFL odds page.
Eagles vs. Packers Prediction
Against the Spread Pick
I think there's some value on the Packers' side of the spread at +4.5, but I like them even more getting three points in the first half.
My Pick: Packers 1H +3 (-115)
Eagles vs. Packers Picks, Preview
Historically, the Wild Card Round has seen its fair share of upsets. Since 2017, underdogs have posted an impressive 24-12 record against the spread. This season, though, has been dominated by favorites, so we'll see whether that trend continues.
The Packers have been an enigma this year. After a dominant display against Seattle in Week 15, they had seemingly established themselves as a top-five team down the stretch. Then they faltered towards season's end, notably against the Minnesota Vikings and the Chicago Bears. The Packers navigated one of the toughest schedules in the league and got wins over playoff teams in the Rams and Texans outside of divisional play, even though these teams were hampered by missing key offensive weapons.
Entering the playoffs absence of WR Christian Watson looms large, as the Packers' offensive explosiveness diminishes significantly without him. This will put the onus on Jayden Reed and Romeo Doubs to step up, and Jordan Love must deliver an efficient performance against a fearsome Eagles defense.
So, why specifically back the Packers in the first half?
The Eagles, despite their accolades, have been notoriously sluggish out of the gate all season. They averaged 3.6 points in the first quarter and 12.4 in the first half during the regular season, both of which placed them in the bottom half of the league. Contrast that with the Packers, who rank fourth and sixth in these categories.
The Eagles offense, potent as it is, tends to catch fire later in the game, ranking in the top five in second-half points. Meanwhile, Philly's EPA per drive during the initial two drives ranks among the bottom three, further underscoring their difficulty in starting fast.
Both teams are heavy on running the ball, which could lead to fewer possessions. This means every scoring opportunity becomes even more valuable. I'd also trust Packers head coach Matt LaFleur is expected to have a well-scripted start, which could exploit the Eagles' early first-half struggles.
Also, Jalen Hurts, coming back from a concussion and three-week absence, might come back a little rusty. While the Eagles offense has all the prerequisites to shine, defenses thrive on creating turnovers, and Green Bay's defense has a penchant for capitalizing on errant plays from opposing quarterbacks.
The Eagles might well take over the game in the second half dominate late. Their capacity to control the second half and methodically extinguish any hope with time-draining drives through Saquon Barkley can do that to teams. For the opening half at least, Green Bay is well-positioned to make the most of Philadelphia’s hesitance out of the blocks.
My Pick: Packers 1H +3 (-115)
Eagles vs. Packers Betting Trends
The Packers have covered the spread in 2 of their last 5 games. The OVER has hit in 3 of the Packers’ last 5 games, all of which they did not cover the spread.
The Eagles have covered the spread in 7 of their last 9 games. The under has hit in 4 of the Eagles’ last 6 games.
Eagles vs. Packers Weather