Sweden and Tunisia kick off their World Cup campaigns with a crucial Group F clash at Estadio Monterrey in Guadalupe, Mexico, tonight at 10 p.m. ET. Sweden vs Tunisia will broadcast on FS1 and Telemundo.
Sweden is favored at -105 on the moneyline while Tunisia is a +320 underdog. The over/under set is 2.5 (+115o / -148u). Sweden is -113 to cover the spread (-0.5) and Tunisia is -113 to cover (+0.5).
Let's get into our Sweden vs Tunisia prediction, plus the latest World Cup picks, odds, betting trends, weather forecast and more.
Sweden vs Tunisia Prediction, Pick
Tunisia vs Sweden Pick: Both Teams To Score (-105; DraftKings)
Our Sweden vs Tunisia best bet is for both teams to find the back of the net. Find the best World Cup odds by checking our live soccer page.
Sweden vs Tunisia Odds, Spread, Line
| Sweden Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-0.5 -115 | 2.5 115o / -140u | -110 |
| Tunisia Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+0.5 -110 | 2.5 115o / -140u | +350 |
Sweden vs Tunisia World Cup Betting Preview
This opening match is critical for both nations, as it represents their most winnable fixture in a difficult group that also includes the Netherlands and Japan.
A victory would be a massive step toward the knockout rounds. Sweden holds the edge in individual quality, particularly with Isak and Gyokeres leading the line.
Their skill should pose significant problems for a Tunisian defense that dominated against lesser competition but has yet to be tested at this level.
Tunisia’s strategy often involves a positive, attacking approach, which could leave them vulnerable to Sweden's counter-attacking prowess.
Under Potter, Sweden has struggled to control possession, averaging just 44% of the ball and conceding an average of 14.3 shots per game. This suggests Tunisia will have opportunities to attack and generate shots.
Historically, these two teams have never met in an official competition. Their four friendly encounters have been low-scoring, but the last one was in 2003, making it irrelevant to this analysis.
More telling is Tunisia's record against European opponents in this competition: just one win, four draws and seven losses in 12 matches. Sweden has drawn both of its previous tournament matches against African opposition.
Given Sweden's potent offense and porous defense, a higher-scoring affair seems more likely than their historical matchups suggest.
Sweden vs Tunisia World Cup Pick
Pick: Both Teams To Score
Sweden enters this tournament with significant questions about their defense.
Under manager Graham Potter, the team has played six matches, and both teams have scored in every single one. Those games have been high-scoring affairs, averaging four goals per contest.
This trend isn't new; Sweden failed to record a clean sheet in any of their eight qualifying and playoff matches. Their final warm-up match, a 2-2 draw with Greece, saw both teams create plenty of chances, with each registering 13 shots.
While Sweden's attack, led by Premier League forwards Alexander Isak and Viktor Gyokeres, is a clear strength, their backline is prone to conceding.
This makes the Both Teams to Score market an attractive option.
Tunisia has also shown a tendency to be involved in open games, keeping just two clean sheets in their last nine matches while scoring an average of 1.44 goals per game.
Sweden vs Tunisia Projected Final Score
Projected Chance of Winning
| Tunisia | Draw | Sweden |
|---|---|---|
| 20.4% | 25.7% | 53.9% |
Projected Total Goals
| Tunisia | Total Goals | Sweden |
|---|---|---|
| 0.78 | 2.24 | 1.46 |
Sweden vs Tunisia Betting Trends to Know
- 91% of bets and 89% of the money are on the OVER
- 91% of bets and 89% of the money are on Sweden's moneyline
Sweden vs Tunisia TV Channel, Streaming, Time, Location
| Location: | Estadio Monterrey |
| Date: | Sunday, June 14 |
| Time: | 10 p.m. ET |
| TV / Streaming Options: | FS1; Telemundo |
Sweden vs Tunisia Sunday Weather Forecast
According to Accuweather, the temperature at the stadium will be around 70 degrees and mostly cloudy with possible thunderstorms in spots.
