Bills vs. Texans Odds & Betting Predictions - October 6, 2024

Bills at Texans

5:00 pm • CBS

Buffalo Bills

2-1

20 - 23

Houston Texans

1-1

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Bills 2-1	+1.5	+2-112	o48-108	+105
Texans 1-1	u48	-2-108	u48-111	-125

Sunday 5:00 p.m.

October 06, 2024

NRG StadiumHouston

BUF +1.5 (2H)-130

BUF +9.5 (Live)-105

Under 48-112

Tailing luck rankings from @nick_giffen

J.Cook Anytime TD Scorer Yes+115

1.15u

Under 47.5-110

0.91u

BUF +1-110

1.1u

K.Coleman Anytime TD Scorer Yes+205

1.03u

N.Collins o79.5 Rec Yds-110

1.1u

HOU -1-105

1.9u

BUF +1.5-110

1.1u

Under 48-112

0.45u

BUF +104

J.Cook Anytime TD Scorer Yes+115

1.15u

@TheBMatt

D.Ogunbowale o10.5 Rec Yds-120

J.Cook o14.5 Rush Att-105

$1000.00

HOU -0.5-110

HOU -1-110

0.91u

HOU -1-110

0.91u

@ChrisRaybon

Under 47.5-110

0.91u

@nick_giffen

HOU -1-110

0.91u

Something doesn’t add up here; the Texans are 0-4 ATS but favored at home vs the Bills. I like this but low spot for the Texans to finally cover a spread in the 2024 season #NFLBestBets

J.Allen o32.5 Rush Yds-120

BUF +104

R.Davis o11.5 Rush Yds-118

BUF +1-110

1.1u

C.Samuel u16.5 Longest Reception-115

Full write-up: https://www.actionnetwork.com/nfl/nfl-player-prop-picks-today-for-curtis-samuel-kamren-curl?utm_source=twitter&utm_medium=social&utm_campaign=propbetguy

BUF +1-110

1.1u

J.Cook Anytime TD Scorer Yes+110

1.65u

BUF +1-110

Coming off their worst offensive performance

BUF +100

#ProSystem Road dog off away loss Overall: 87-83-1,51% (ROI:33%) Season:0-0-0, 0% (ROI: 0%) Road conference dogs low total Overall: 344-414-2,45% (ROI:19%) Season:3-3-0,50% (ROI:30%)

BUF +1-110

J.Allen o30.5 Rush Yds-117

1.07u

BUF +1-105

2.1u

J.Allen o20.5 Pass Comp-114

Prop model play from RotoGrinders. Simulation seems to feel the Bills will get away from the run and lean towards high percentage passing.

C.Akers u1.5 Recs-102

1.02u

J.Cook u14.5 Rush Att-110

1.1u

S.Diggs 8+ Receptions Yes+360

0.5u

S.Diggs 10+ Receptions Yes+950

0.25u

S.Diggs 6+ Receptions Yes+128

1.28u

BUF -105

@wheatonbrando

BUF -19.5+1060

0.15u

BUF +100

TAN pod / best bets

BUF -9.5+350

0.25u

Bills esc

S.Diggs u54.5 Rec Yds-115

But but but revenge game

Under 47.5-115

#LuckRankings Luck Under

HOU -105

0.38u

More Bills injuries

HOU +1.5-120

0.83u

HOU +1.5-110

Raybon2

HOU -105

0.95u

Pickem

HOU +1.5-120

Teams opening as dog and close as fav 71-100 since 2019 (bills). CJ as a dog 6-3 ATS

HOU +1.5-120

0.83u

N.Collins o78.5 Rec Yds-119

1.19u

J.Cook o81.5 Rush + Rec Yds-115

Bounce back game for the Bills with a high total of 48.0. It’s no secret OC Joe Brady wants to pound the rock with James Cook. The Bills have made it clear they want to involve him early in the running and the receiving game which is when their offense is at its best. With all of the focus on slowing down Josh Allen, I think Cook has himself a day Within the last 2 weeks, Aaron Jones went for 148 combined RR, Jags RBs combined for 140 just on the ground and with the Bills favored on the road I think Cook continues to have success vs the Texans on the ground. Texans have generated pressure at a top 10 rate which should lead to screens and checkdowns where Cool has been excellent

T.Dell Anytime TD Scorer Yes+350

0.5u

BUF -112

Much better stylistic matchup for the Bills than last week as the Texans aren't necessarily a bully-ball team. Think the Bills' offense can also exploit the Texans' deficiencies at linebacker.

Featured Insight
The Bills have allowed 5.3 passing yards per attempt on play action passes this season -- 7th-best in NFL; the Texans have allowed 8.7 yards per dropback on play action passes this season -- T-5th-worst in NFL.

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Featured Insight
The Texans have a third down conversion rate of 31.0% on 3rd and long this season -- T-8th-best in NFL; the Bills defense has allowed a third down conversion rate of 29.0% when defending on 3rd and long this season -- T-7th-worst in NFL.

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NFL Public Betting

Texans are 4-1 in their last 5 games.
Texans are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Texans are 4-5 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 1 of Texans' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 1 of Texans' 8 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Texans	7-10	3-5	4-5	4-7	3-3
Bills	10-7	5-3	5-4	8-5	2-2

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Texans	6-11	1-7	5-4	4-7	2-4
Bills	11-6	6-2	5-4	10-3	1-3

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Texans	10-7	N/A	N/A	9-2	1-5
Bills	13-4	N/A	N/A	11-2	2-2

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Sep 29th	JAC	W 24-20	-5.5 L	U 44.5	HOU -230
Sep 22nd	@MIN	L 7-34	-1.5 L	U 46.5	MIN -118
Sep 16th	CHI	W 19-13	-6.5 L	U 45.5	HOU -289
Sep 8th	@IND	W 29-27	-3 L	O 48	HOU -154
Aug 24th	LA	W 17-15	-4 L	U 33.5	HOU -205

Sheldon Rankins
DT
Rankins is out with illness
Out
Nick Chubb
RB
Chubb is out with foot
Out

Joe Mixon
RB
Mixon is questionable with ankle
Questionable
Christian Kirk
WR
Kirk is out with collarbone
Out
E.J. Speed
LB
Speed is questionable with knee
Questionable
Azeez Al-Shaair
LB
Al-Shaair is questionable with knee
Questionable
Damon Arnette
CB
Damon Arnette (Left Team) is out this week.
Out
Casey Toohill
DE
Toohill is questionable with ribs
Questionable
John Metchie
WR
Metchie is questionable with shoulder
Questionable
Christian Harris
LB
Harris is questionable with ankle
Questionable
Tank Dell
WR
Dell is out with knee
Out
Jamal Hill
LB
Hill is questionable with knee
Questionable

Tre'Davious White
CB
White is questionable with shoulder
Questionable
Taylor Rapp
S
Rapp is out with back
Out
Darrynton Evans
RB
Evans is out with hamstring
Out
Joshua Palmer
WR
Palmer is out with heel
Out
Christian Benford
CB
Benford is questionable with concussion
Questionable
Baylon Spector
LB
Spector is out with calf
Out

See more NFL Injuries

Bills

Total

Texans

276

Total Yards

425

Total Plays

4.7

Yards Per Play

6.3

Bills

Passing

Texans

131

YDS

331

9/30

Comps/Atts

28/38

4.065

YPA

8.487

1/0

TDs/INTs

1/1

1/5

Sacks/Yards

1/0

Bills

Rushing

Texans

150

Rush Yards

Attempts

5.357

YPC

3.357

TDs

Bills

Turnovers

Texans

Fumbles Lost

Interceptions

Bills

Efficiency

Texans

1/3 33.33%

Redzone

1/2 50%

3/14 0%

3rd Down

8/16 0%

1/1 0%

4th Down

0/1 0%

Bills

First Downs

Texans

Total

Pass

Rush

Penalty

Bills

Misc

Texans

4/25

Penalties/Yards

7/65

26:50

Possession

33:10

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See more NFL Odds

MatchupOverUnder
Bills 2-1	o23.5-110	u23.5-110
Texans 1-1	o24.5+100	u24.5-120

Bills vs. Texans Odds & Betting Predictions - October 6, 2024

Bills at Texans

Buffalo Bills

Houston Texans

Bills at Texans Odds

Spread, Total, Moneyline

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Bills

Texans

Bills vs. Texans Previews & Analysis

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Bills vs. Texans Props

Prop Projections

Prop Odds Comparison

Line Movement Tracker

Bills vs. Texans Public Betting Percentages

Bills

Public

Texans

Bets%

Money%

Betting Trends

Matchup History

Against the Spread (ATS) History

Over/Under History

Straight-Up (ML) History

Last 5 Matchups

Texans vs. Bills Injury Updates

Texans Injuries

Bills Injuries

Bills vs. Texans Odds Comparison

Bills at Texans Team Totals