Lions vs. Commanders Odds & Betting Predictions - November 9, 2025

Lions at Commanders

9:25 pm • FOX
44 - 22

Lions at Commanders Odds

Spread, Total, Moneyline

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Lions
7-4
-8.5-112
o49.5-108
-467
Commanders
3-8
+8.5-108
u49.5-112
+360
location pinSunday 9:25 p.m.
November 09, 2025
Northwest StadiumLandover
Lions vs. Commanders Expert Picks
Nick Giffen
Nick Giffen
Last 30d: 59-72-1 (+12.8u)
C.Rodriguez o22.5 Rush Yds (Live)-102
0.51u
Live at halftime
Picks Office
Picks Office
Last 30d: 223-183-4 (+24.0u)
WAS +8 (Live)-110
1u
Gilles Gallant
Gilles Gallant
Last 30d: 23-75-0 (-7.2u)
S.LaPorta Anytime TD Scorer Yes+200
0.5u
The Degenerates
The Degenerates
Last 30d: 83-85-2 (-7.9u)
DET -8-110
1u
Dale Tanhardt
Dale Tanhardt
Last 30d: 4-11-0 (+1.0u)
J.Goff Anytime TD Scorer Yes+2000
0.3u
B.Wright Anytime TD Scorer Yes+650
0.5u
Scott Rickenbach
Scott Rickenbach
Last 30d: 117-96-0 (+7.5u)
DET -8-110
0.91u
Sean Koerner
Sean Koerner
Last 30d: 50-35-0 (+7.8u)
B.Wagner o11.5 Tackles + Ast+385
0.2u
B.Wagner o8.5 Tackles + Ast-122
0.5u
Giving out on Action Playbook Live and ladder over 11.5 +385 (will post after my segment)
Top Shelf Action 🥃
Top Shelf Action 🥃
Last 30d: 204-205-14 (+7.7u)
WAS +172 (1Q)
0.3u
2.23% ev play to +166
Babs .
Babs .
Last 30d: 115-113-1 (-5.9u)
J.Croskey-Merritt u35.5 Rush Yds-125
0.8u
Brian Bitler
Brian Bitler
Last 30d: 94-85-2 (+16.4u)
WAS +8.5-108
3u
Sean Zerillo
Sean Zerillo
Last 30d: 69-82-1 (+0.6u)
WAS +8.5-108
0.27u
Chris Gimino
Chris Gimino
Last 30d: 28-30-0 (-3.0u)
I.TeSlaa o0.5 Recs-130
1.54u
Nick Giffen
Nick Giffen
Last 30d: 59-72-1 (+12.8u)
J.Williams o44.5 Rec Yds-110
0.5u
Jameson Williams over 44.5 rec yds (-110 B365) Jameson Williams longest reception over 21.5 yds -122 at FD or over 22.5 -110 at DK In my explosive play projections, the Lions project as the No. 1 team of the weekend in explosive pass rate. That immediately makes me think of Williams who is one of the most explosive players, but has had a run of underperformance which may be inflating his odds here. Williams has a great coverage matchup against the Commanders, where he projects to be around 10% more efficient against the coverages the Commanders tend to use. Additionally, the Commanders are without top CB Marshon Lattimore who tore his ACL last week against Seattle. If there was ever a week for Jamo to get back in form, it’s this week against a Commanders defense that ranks dead last in explosive pass rate allowed. Note: For longest reception, over 22.5 yds -110 at DK is technically better than over 21.5 -122 at FD since the price matters more than the yard, but it's fine to choose either one. I'm also going to be laddering Williams, so be sure to see the Predictive Analytics best bets piece that comes out Saturday evening for how I'm approaching that.
J.Williams o22.5 Longest Reception-110
0.5u
Jameson Williams over 44.5 rec yds (-110 B365) Jameson Williams longest reception over 21.5 yds -122 at FD or over 22.5 -110 at DK In my explosive play projections, the Lions project as the No. 1 team of the weekend in explosive pass rate. That immediately makes me think of Williams who is one of the most explosive players, but has had a run of underperformance which may be inflating his odds here. Williams has a great coverage matchup against the Commanders, where he projects to be around 10% more efficient against the coverages the Commanders tend to use. Additionally, the Commanders are without top CB Marshon Lattimore who tore his ACL last week against Seattle. If there was ever a week for Jamo to get back in form, it’s this week against a Commanders defense that ranks dead last in explosive pass rate allowed. Note: For longest reception, over 22.5 yds -110 at DK is technically better than over 21.5 -122 at FD since the price matters more than the yard, but it's fine to choose either one. I'm also going to be laddering Williams, so be sure to see the Predictive Analytics best bets piece that comes out Saturday evening for how I'm approaching that.
Kyle Murray
Kyle Murray
Last 30d: 86-89-6 (-8.3u)
DET -8-110
1u
TAN Pod Touchdown Show
TAN Pod Touchdown Show
Last 30d: 30-112-1 (-6.8u)
I.TeSlaa Anytime TD Scorer Yes+750
0.5u
M.Mariota Anytime TD Scorer Yes+500
0.5u
Boomer Betz
Boomer Betz
Last 30d: 212-201-11 (+23.3u)
J.Croskey-Merritt o40.5 Rush Yds-125
1.25u
D.Montgomery o45.5 Rush Yds-135
1u
Action Pod NFL Picks
Action Pod NFL Picks
Last 30d: 73-157-3 (-0.6u)
J.Williams Anytime TD Scorer Yes+150
1.01u
Favorite ATD @ChrisRaybon https://myaction.app/25SlQ7HP4Xb
WAS +8.5-105
1u
Sunday Six Pack
Sunday Six Pack
Last 30d: 13-15-2 (-3.5u)
WAS +8.5-105
1.05u
Chris Raybon
Chris Raybon
Last 30d: 17-20-3 (+1.7u)
J.Williams Anytime TD Scorer Yes+180
1.8u
Squeaky. WAS pass D bad enough to offset DET OL injuries
Stuck 🚨
Stuck 🚨
Last 30d: 55-64-1 (-3.7u)
WAS +8.5-110
0.5u
FTN Fantasy
FTN Fantasy
Last 30d: 117-149-2 (-42.1u)
DET -3.5+100
2u
Kendra Middleton
Kendra Middleton
Last 30d: 15-8-0 (+5.5u)
DET -3-120
0.83u
Ryan Sura
Ryan Sura
Last 30d: 45-50-0 (-9.3u)
WAS +7.5-135
1.5u
Mistake, don't add
Brandon Anderson
Brandon Anderson
Last 30d: 54-144-4 (+11.2u)
DET -3-115
1.74u
WEEK 10 LOOKAHEAD If this pick looks familiar, it should — it's almost identical to the angle we played on last week's Lookahead. That was Seahawks -2.5 at Washington, and sure enough, that line flipped all the way past the key number to -3.5, giving us some juicy Sunday night CLV. But if Seattle is -3.5 at Washington, how in the world are the Lions -3? I've been as high as anyone on Seattle, but pricing them ahead of Detroit is pretty aggressive. I'm happy to keep fading Washington. WR Terry McLaurin is hurt again and probably won't play in this one, and stud LT Laremy Tunsil is dealing with a hamstring injury. It looks like QB Jayden Daniels will play this week, but who knows how healthy Daniels will be? We've already seen him re-injured once this season, trying to return. If Daniels looks subpar, or if Washington loses Sunday night in front of a national audience, this team will appear to be in free fall on a four-game losing streak, and there's no way this line stays at -3. Besides, this is a game HC Dan Campbell and the Lions have been waiting for all year. Do you remember the last time these two teams played? Campbell does. It was 45-31 Washington in the playoffs, and it was a humiliating early playoff exit for the NFC 1-seed. Campbell is old school, and he loves his revenge spots. Remember when the Lions lost 20-19 to the Cowboys in December 2023 when OL Dan Skipper caught a two-point conversion that was erroneously ruled out? Campbell and the Lions remember. They played Dallas the following season and pummeled the Cowboys, 47-9, in Dallas. I promise you, Campbell and the Lions have been waiting on this one. Play Lions -3 (DraftKings) while it's still there.
Action Pod NFL Picks
Action Pod NFL Picks
Last 30d: 73-157-3 (-0.6u)
DET -3-115
0.87u
@wheatonbrando Week 10 Lookahead https://myaction.app/o8f8S6B7UXb

Lions vs. Commanders Previews & Analysis

  • Lions vs. Commanders: Can Washington Cover in Week 10? article feature image

    Lions vs. Commanders: Can Washington Cover in Week 10?

    Stuckey
    Nov 9, 2025 UTC
  • NFL Player Props: 8 Picks for Sunday's Slate article feature image

    NFL Player Props: 8 Picks for Sunday's Slate

    Action Network Staff
    Nov 9, 2025 UTC
  • 4 Data-Driven Picks for NFL Week 10 article feature image

    4 Data-Driven Picks for NFL Week 10

    Action Predictive Analytics
    Nov 9, 2025 UTC
  • Koerner & Raybon's Week 10 Spreads & Totals article feature image

    Koerner & Raybon's Week 10 Spreads & Totals

    Chris Raybon
    Nov 9, 2025 UTC
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Lions vs. Commanders Props

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Lions vs. Commanders Public Betting Percentages

Away Logo

Lions

Public

87%

Bets%

13%

Money%

Matchup History

Against the Spread (ATS) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
Commanders
3-82-31-42-11-7
Lions
6-53-23-35-21-3

Over/Under History

overallhome o/uaway o/ufavorite o/uunderdog o/u
Commanders
5-5-13-1-12-31-1-14-4
Lions
6-53-23-35-21-3

Straight-Up (ML) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
Commanders
3-8N/AN/A2-11-7
Lions
7-4N/AN/A6-11-3

Last 5 Matchups

dateopponentscorespreadover/undermoneyline
Nov 3rdSEAL 14-38+2.5 LO 47.5SEA +125
Oct 28th@KCL 7-28+10.5 LU 48KC +430
Oct 19th@DALL 22-44+1.5 LO 55.5DAL +105
Oct 14thCHIL 24-25-5.5 LU 49CHI -265
Oct 5th@LACW 27-10+3 WU 48.5WAS +140

Lions vs. Commanders Injury Updates

Lions Injuries

  • Chris Hubbard
    OL

    Hubbard is questionable with knee

    Questionable

  • Jamarco Jones
    T

    Jones is out with ankle

    Out

  • Shane Zylstra
    TE

    Zylstra is out with ankle

    Out

  • Sam LaPorta
    TE

    LaPorta is out with back

    Out

  • Trevor Nowaske
    LB

    Nowaske is out with elbow

    Out

  • Sione Vaki
    RB

    Vaki is out with hamstring

    Out

Commanders Injuries

  • Noah Brown
    WR

    Brown is out with groin

    Out

  • Austin Ekeler
    RB

    Ekeler is out with achilles

    Out

  • Terry McLaurin
    WR

    McLaurin is out with quad

    Out

  • Jayden Daniels
    QB

    Daniels is out with elbow

    Out

  • Luke McCaffrey
    WR

    McCaffrey is out with collarbone

    Out

Team Stats
546
Total Yards
288
68
Total Plays
51
8
Yards Per Play
5.6
320
YDS
213
25/35
Comps/Atts
16/22
9.143
YPA
8.125
3/0
TDs/INTs
2/0
0/0
Sacks/Yards
2/18
226
Rush Yards
93
33
Attempts
27
6.848
YPC
3.444
2
TDs
1
0
Fumbles Lost
0
0
Interceptions
0

Efficiency

4/6 66.67%
Redzone
3/3 100%
5/10 0%
3rd Down
2/10 0%
2/2 0%
4th Down
3/3 0%

First Downs

30
Total
14
19
Pass
9
11
Rush
5
0
Penalty
0
3/1
Penalties/Yards
8/61
32:36
Possession
27:24

Lions vs. Commanders Odds Comparison

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Lions at Commanders Team Totals

MatchupOverUnder
Lions
7-4
o29.5-118
u29.5-102
Commanders
3-8
o19.5-120
u19.5+100