Lions vs. Commanders Odds & Betting Predictions - November 9, 2025
Lions at Commanders
9:25 pm • FOXLions at Commanders Odds
Spread, Total, Moneyline
MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
Lions 7-4 | -8.5-112 | o49.5-108 | -467 | |
Commanders 3-8 | +8.5-108 | u49.5-112 | +360 | |

Northwest StadiumLandover
Lions vs. Commanders Expert Picks
Nick Giffen
Last 30d: 59-72-1 (+12.8u)
C.Rodriguez o22.5 Rush Yds (Live)-102
0.51u
Live at halftime
Picks Office
Last 30d: 223-183-4 (+24.0u)
WAS +8 (Live)-110
1u
Gilles Gallant
Last 30d: 23-75-0 (-7.2u)
S.LaPorta Anytime TD Scorer Yes+200
0.5u
The Degenerates
Last 30d: 83-85-2 (-7.9u)
DET -8-110
1u
Dale Tanhardt
Last 30d: 4-11-0 (+1.0u)
J.Goff Anytime TD Scorer Yes+2000
0.3u
B.Wright Anytime TD Scorer Yes+650
0.5u
Scott Rickenbach
Last 30d: 117-96-0 (+7.5u)
DET -8-110
0.91u
Sean Koerner
Last 30d: 50-35-0 (+7.8u)
B.Wagner o11.5 Tackles + Ast+385
0.2u
B.Wagner o8.5 Tackles + Ast-122
0.5u
Giving out on Action Playbook Live and ladder over 11.5 +385 (will post after my segment)
Top Shelf Action 🥃
Last 30d: 204-205-14 (+7.7u)
WAS +172 (1Q)
0.3u
2.23% ev play to +166
Babs .
Last 30d: 115-113-1 (-5.9u)
J.Croskey-Merritt u35.5 Rush Yds-125
0.8u
Brian Bitler
Last 30d: 94-85-2 (+16.4u)
WAS +8.5-108
3u

Sean Zerillo
Last 30d: 69-82-1 (+0.6u)
WAS +8.5-108
0.27u
Chris Gimino
Last 30d: 28-30-0 (-3.0u)
I.TeSlaa o0.5 Recs-130
1.54u
Nick Giffen
Last 30d: 59-72-1 (+12.8u)
J.Williams 80+ Receiving Yards Yes+375
0.38u
J.Williams 100+ Receiving Yards Yes+750
0.75u
J.Williams 60+ Receiving Yards Yes+170
0.43u
J.Williams o44.5 Rec Yds-110
0.5u
Jameson Williams over 44.5 rec yds (-110 B365)
Jameson Williams longest reception over 21.5 yds -122 at FD or over 22.5 -110 at DK
In my explosive play projections, the Lions project as the No. 1 team of the weekend in explosive pass rate. That immediately makes me think of Williams who is one of the most explosive players, but has had a run of underperformance which may be inflating his odds here.
Williams has a great coverage matchup against the Commanders, where he projects to be around 10% more efficient against the coverages the Commanders tend to use.
Additionally, the Commanders are without top CB Marshon Lattimore who tore his ACL last week against Seattle.
If there was ever a week for Jamo to get back in form, it’s this week against a Commanders defense that ranks dead last in explosive pass rate allowed.
Note: For longest reception, over 22.5 yds -110 at DK is technically better than over 21.5 -122 at FD since the price matters more than the yard, but it's fine to choose either one.
I'm also going to be laddering Williams, so be sure to see the Predictive Analytics best bets piece that comes out Saturday evening for how I'm approaching that.
J.Williams o22.5 Longest Reception-110
0.5u
Jameson Williams over 44.5 rec yds (-110 B365)
Jameson Williams longest reception over 21.5 yds -122 at FD or over 22.5 -110 at DK
In my explosive play projections, the Lions project as the No. 1 team of the weekend in explosive pass rate. That immediately makes me think of Williams who is one of the most explosive players, but has had a run of underperformance which may be inflating his odds here.
Williams has a great coverage matchup against the Commanders, where he projects to be around 10% more efficient against the coverages the Commanders tend to use.
Additionally, the Commanders are without top CB Marshon Lattimore who tore his ACL last week against Seattle.
If there was ever a week for Jamo to get back in form, it’s this week against a Commanders defense that ranks dead last in explosive pass rate allowed.
Note: For longest reception, over 22.5 yds -110 at DK is technically better than over 21.5 -122 at FD since the price matters more than the yard, but it's fine to choose either one.
I'm also going to be laddering Williams, so be sure to see the Predictive Analytics best bets piece that comes out Saturday evening for how I'm approaching that.
Kyle Murray
Last 30d: 86-89-6 (-8.3u)
DET -8-110
1u
TAN Pod Touchdown Show
Last 30d: 30-112-1 (-6.8u)
I.TeSlaa Anytime TD Scorer Yes+750
0.5u
@The_Oddsmaker https://myaction.app/EvaZ2p3F6Xb
M.Mariota Anytime TD Scorer Yes+500
0.5u
@The_Oddsmaker https://myaction.app/EvaZ2p3F6Xb
Boomer Betz
Last 30d: 212-201-11 (+23.3u)
J.Croskey-Merritt o40.5 Rush Yds-125
1.25u
D.Montgomery o45.5 Rush Yds-135
1u
Action Pod NFL Picks
Last 30d: 73-157-3 (-0.6u)
J.Williams Anytime TD Scorer Yes+150
1.01u
Favorite ATD @ChrisRaybon https://myaction.app/25SlQ7HP4Xb
WAS +8.5-105
1u
@Stuckey2 https://myaction.app/25SlQ7HP4Xb
Sunday Six Pack
Last 30d: 13-15-2 (-3.5u)
WAS +8.5-105
1.05u
@Stuckey2 1 https://myaction.app/PhqO8ouP4Xb

Chris Raybon
Last 30d: 17-20-3 (+1.7u)
J.Williams Anytime TD Scorer Yes+180
1.8u
Squeaky. WAS pass D bad enough to offset DET OL injuries
Stuck 🚨
Last 30d: 55-64-1 (-3.7u)
WAS +8.5-110
0.5u
FTN Fantasy
Last 30d: 117-149-2 (-42.1u)
DET -3.5+100
2u
Kendra Middleton
Last 30d: 15-8-0 (+5.5u)
DET -3-120
0.83u
Ryan Sura
Last 30d: 45-50-0 (-9.3u)
WAS +7.5-135
1.5u
Mistake, don't add
Brandon Anderson
Last 30d: 54-144-4 (+11.2u)
DET -3-115
1.74u
WEEK 10 LOOKAHEAD
If this pick looks familiar, it should — it's almost identical to the angle we played on last week's Lookahead.
That was Seahawks -2.5 at Washington, and sure enough, that line flipped all the way past the key number to -3.5, giving us some juicy Sunday night CLV.
But if Seattle is -3.5 at Washington, how in the world are the Lions -3? I've been as high as anyone on Seattle, but pricing them ahead of Detroit is pretty aggressive.
I'm happy to keep fading Washington. WR Terry McLaurin is hurt again and probably won't play in this one, and stud LT Laremy Tunsil is dealing with a hamstring injury.
It looks like QB Jayden Daniels will play this week, but who knows how healthy Daniels will be? We've already seen him re-injured once this season, trying to return.
If Daniels looks subpar, or if Washington loses Sunday night in front of a national audience, this team will appear to be in free fall on a four-game losing streak, and there's no way this line stays at -3.
Besides, this is a game HC Dan Campbell and the Lions have been waiting for all year.
Do you remember the last time these two teams played? Campbell does. It was 45-31 Washington in the playoffs, and it was a humiliating early playoff exit for the NFC 1-seed.
Campbell is old school, and he loves his revenge spots. Remember when the Lions lost 20-19 to the Cowboys in December 2023 when OL Dan Skipper caught a two-point conversion that was erroneously ruled out? Campbell and the Lions remember. They played Dallas the following season and pummeled the Cowboys, 47-9, in Dallas.
I promise you, Campbell and the Lions have been waiting on this one. Play Lions -3 (DraftKings) while it's still there.
Action Pod NFL Picks
Last 30d: 73-157-3 (-0.6u)
DET -3-115
0.87u
@wheatonbrando Week 10 Lookahead https://myaction.app/o8f8S6B7UXb
Lions vs. Commanders Previews & Analysis
Lions vs. Commanders Props
Prop Projections
There are no prop projections found for the selected slate. Please check back later.
Prop Odds Comparison
Line Movement Tracker
Lions vs. Commanders Public Betting Percentages
Betting Trends
- Commanders are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
- Commanders are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
- Commanders are 1-4 in their road games against the spread
- The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Commanders' last 5 games
- The totals have gone OVER in 3 of Commanders' 5 last games at home
Matchup History
Against the Spread (ATS) History
| overall | home | away | favorite | underdog | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-8 | 2-3 | 1-4 | 2-1 | 1-7 | |
| 6-5 | 3-2 | 3-3 | 5-2 | 1-3 |
Over/Under History
| overall | home o/u | away o/u | favorite o/u | underdog o/u | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5-5-1 | 3-1-1 | 2-3 | 1-1-1 | 4-4 | |
| 6-5 | 3-2 | 3-3 | 5-2 | 1-3 |
Straight-Up (ML) History
| overall | home | away | favorite | underdog | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-8 | N/A | N/A | 2-1 | 1-7 | |
| 7-4 | N/A | N/A | 6-1 | 1-3 |
Last 5 Matchups
Lions vs. Commanders Injury Updates

Lions Injuries
- Chris HubbardOL
Hubbard is questionable with knee
Questionable
- Jamarco JonesT
Jones is out with ankle
Out
- Shane ZylstraTE
Zylstra is out with ankle
Out
- Sam LaPortaTE
LaPorta is out with back
Out
- Trevor NowaskeLB
Nowaske is out with elbow
Out
- Sione VakiRB
Vaki is out with hamstring
Out

Commanders Injuries
- Noah BrownWR
Brown is out with groin
Out
- Austin EkelerRB
Ekeler is out with achilles
Out
- Terry McLaurinWR
McLaurin is out with quad
Out
- Jayden DanielsQB
Daniels is out with elbow
Out
- Luke McCaffreyWR
McCaffrey is out with collarbone
Out
Team Stats
Lions vs. Commanders Odds Comparison
Could not load odds
Lions at Commanders Team Totals
MatchupOverUnder | ||
|---|---|---|
Lions 7-4 | o29.5-118 | u29.5-102 |
Commanders 3-8 | o19.5-120 | u19.5+100 |




