Astros vs. Orioles Odds & Betting Predictions - April 30, 2026

Astros at Orioles

4:35 pm • SCHN

Houston Astros

26-33

3 - 10

Baltimore Orioles

26-32

pitcher		team	era	w-l
C.Bassitt			5.06	4-3
P.Lambert			3.79	3-4

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Astros 26-33	+1.5	+1.5-188	o9-115	+113
Orioles 26-32	u9.5	-1.5+149	u9-108	-136

Thursday 4:35 p.m.

April 30, 2026

Oriole Park at Camden YardsBaltimore

BAL -122 (F5)

C.Bassitt o15.5 Outs+105

1.05u

THE BAT X is forecasting 17.28 pitching outs for Chris Bassitt. Oddsmakers are implying 15.66 pitching outs, so I believe there is value here. If you take the over, you'd be projected to win 63% of the time resulting in a 30% ROI with expected value of $29.52 (based on a $100 wager). This play is good down to at least -135. Love THE BAT X? Get all of Carty's sports betting projections at EV Analytics https://evanalytics.com/subscribe/mlb?ref=zdlkmgz

HOU +105 (F5)

0.33u

G1. Bet to -102

Y.Alvarez o1.5 Total Bases-120

$1.20

HOU +100 (F5)

C.Bassitt o15.5 Outs+105

0.5u

P.Lambert u4.5 Ks-101

0.5u

G.Henderson o0.5 HR+500

0.25u

C.Walker o0.5 HR+588

0.25u

Y.Alvarez o0.5 HR+354

0.25u

P.Alonso o0.5 HR+480

0.25u

Over 8.5-120

0.5u

Bet to 9 (-115)

C.Bassitt u4.5 Ks-150

HOU +100

P.Lambert o4.5 Ks-112

1.12u

P.Lambert o5.5 Ks+126

0.5u

(FD) 22.2 and 13.5 SwStr% in 2 starts - BAL always high K lineup - lowest guy in proj. LU Rutschman. Maybe he won't start G1. Worth a shot. Wouldn't play below +120.

HOU -104 (F5)

0.52u

(FD) Same as Wed. Appears same pitchers. I hope. (Lambert/Bassitt)

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No props found

MLB Public Betting

Orioles are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Orioles are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
Orioles are 10-16 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 3 of Orioles' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 16 of Orioles' 32 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Orioles	26-32	16-16	10-16	14-18	12-14
Astros	27-32	12-15	15-17	4-11	23-20

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Orioles	32-24-2	16-15-1	16-9-1	16-14-2	16-10
Astros	31-24-4	17-9-1	14-15-3	9-6	21-18-4

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Orioles	26-32	17-15	9-17	16-16	10-16
Astros	26-33	12-15	14-18	5-10	21-22

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Apr 28th	HOU	W 5-3	-1.5 W	U 9	BAL -133
Apr 26th	BOS	L 3-5	-1.5 L	O 7.5	BOS -141
Apr 25th	BOS	L 1-17	-	O 7.5	BOS -126
Apr 24th	BOS	W 10-3	-1.5 W	O 8.5	BAL -125
Apr 22nd	@KC	W 8-6	-	O 9.5	BAL +112

Heston Kjerstad
LF
Kjerstad is out with hamstring
Out
Jordan Westburg
3B
Westburg is out with elbow
Out
Dylan Beavers
RF
Dylan Beavers scratched Tuesday.
Out

Lance McCullers
SP
Lance McCullers Jr. has been scratched Tuesday. Jason Alexander will start.
Out

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RP.Lambert, P	91	4.1	3	2
LS.Okert, P	16	0.2	0	3
RA.Blubaugh, P	13	1	1	0
RJ.Alexander, P	31	2	1	5

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1C.Correa, SS	1-5	0	0
2Y.Alvarez, LF	0-4	0	0
2D.Johnson, LF	0-1	0	0
3I.Paredes, 3B	3-4	1	0
3S.Whitcomb, 3B	0-1	0	0
4C.Walker, 1B	0-4	0	0
5J.Altuve, 2B	1-3	1	0
6Y.Diaz, DH	1-4	0	1
7B.Matthews, CF	2-4	1	1
8D.Harris, RF	2-4	0	0
9C.Vazquez, C	2-4	0	1

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RC.Bassitt, P	94	6.2	7	1
RR.Garcia, P	2	0.1	0	0
RA.Nunez, P	13	1	0	0
RJ.Espada, P	15	1	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1G.Henderson, DH	1-5	1	0	0
2T.Ward, LF	0-2	2	0	0
3A.Rutschman, C	2-4	2	1	4
4P.Alonso, 1B	0-2	2	0	0
5D.Beavers, RF	0-2	1	0	1
6J.Jackson, 2B	2-4	1	1	5
7C.Cowser, CF	0-4	0	0	0
8C.Mayo, 3B	0-4	0	0	0
9B.Alexander, SS	1-3	1	0	0