Astros vs. Rangers Odds & Betting Predictions - September 7, 2023

Astros at Rangers

12:05 am • BSSW

Houston Astros

19-29

12 - 3

Texas Rangers

22-24

pitcher		team	era	w-l
M.Scherzer			3.20	4-2
J.Verlander			3.31	7-3

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Astros 19-29	N/A	N/A	N/A
Rangers 22-24	N/A	N/A	N/A

Thursday 12:05 a.m.

September 07, 2023

Globe Life FieldArlington

Over 8.5-110

0.5u

Verlander has estimators well above his ERA, while I do have some slight concern about Scherzer's forearm issues - Both offenses well above average Hm/Rd/v RHP & L7 days - TEX pen worst est. MLB L30 days

HOU +117

1.17u

HOU +120

0.6u

J.Verlander o16.5 Outs-125

0.8u

M.Scherzer o17.5 Outs-164

M.Scherzer o5.5 Ks-145

J.Verlander o5.5 Ks-115

0.43u

Under 8.5+105

TEX -120 (F5)

0.6u

Scherzer (3.68 SIERA/3.21 xERA) appears to have more left than Verlander (4.53/3.74) - TEX has had a much better defense too this year, while offenses are similar - Avoiding HOU pen estimator edge L30 days

TEX -108

0.54u

Bet to -112. Wednesday

Featured Insight
The Rangers have scored first in just 46% of their games since last season -- seventh-lowest in MLB. The Astros have allowed their opponents to score first in just 45% of their games since last season -- fourth-lowest in MLB.

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Featured Insight
The Astros have scored 1.7 runs per game in late innings this season -- highest in MLB (140 games). The Rangers have allowed 1.6 runs per game in late innings this season -- seventh-highest in MLB (138 games).

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Astros vs. Rangers: Value Lies on Verlander & Co.
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The Astros are 35-11 (.761) when they've hit 2 or more home runs this season -- 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .691.

Marcus Semien is batting .276 on breaking pitches since last season -- 14th best in MLB-- 87th Percentile. Justin Verlander has thrown his slider 27% of the time since last season -- fifth highest among qualified SPs-- 84th Percentile.

Corey Seager has a swing rate of 50% on the first pitch of at-bats this season -- highest in MLB-- 100th Percentile. Opponents are hitting just .213 (10-for-47) against Justin Verlander on the first pitch of at-bats this season -- second best among starting pitchers with at least 54 total IP-- 99th Percentile.

No props found

MLB Public Betting

Rangers are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Rangers are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
Rangers are 11-14 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Rangers' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 4 of Rangers' 21 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Rangers	23-23	12-9	11-14	10-9	13-14
Astros	19-29	11-15	8-14	4-11	15-17

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Rangers	17-26-3	4-16-1	13-10-2	5-12-2	12-14-1
Astros	27-18-3	16-9-1	11-9-2	9-6	17-12-3

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Rangers	22-24	11-10	11-14	10-9	12-15
Astros	19-29	12-14	7-15	5-10	14-18

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Sep 6th	HOU	L 1-14	-	-	-
Sep 4th	HOU	L 6-13	-	-	-
Sep 3rd	MIN	W 6-5	-	-	-
Sep 2nd	MIN	L 7-9	-	-	-
Sep 2nd	MIN	L 1-5	-	-	-

Jordan Montgomery
SP
Montgomery is out with elbow
Out
Cody Freeman
3B
Freeman is out with back
Out
Cody Bradford
RP
Bradford is out with elbow
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RJ.Verlander, P	100	7	6	1
RK.Graveman, P	12	1	1	1
RR.Pressly, P	10	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1J.Altuve, 2B	0-4	0	0	0
1G.Kessinger, PH	0-1	0	0	0
1G.Kessinger, 2B	0-1	0	0	0
2J.Pena, SS	2-6	2	0	0
3Y.Alvarez, DH	1-3	2	1	2
4A.Bregman, 3B	2-5	1	0	0
5K.Tucker, RF	1-3	3	0	0
5J.Meyers, LF	0-0	0	0	0
6J.Abreu, 1B	3-5	2	2	7
7M. Brantley, LF	2-3	1	1	2
7C.McCormick, LF	1-1	1	1	1
7C.McCormick, RF	1-1	1	1	1
8M.Dubon, CF	1-5	0	0	0
9M.Maldonado, C	1-4	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RM.Scherzer, P	60	3	4	7
RC.Stratton, P	34	1.1	0	1
RJ.Leclerc, P	6	1	1	0
LC.Bradford, P	31	1.2	0	0
LA.Chapman, P	11	1	2	0
LB.Burke, P	26	1	2	4

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1M.Semien, 2B	4-4	2	2	3
2C.Seager, SS	0-4	0	0	0
3N.Lowe, 1B	1-4	0	0	0
4A.Garcia, RF	0-1	0	0	0
4R.Grossman, RF	0-3	0	0	0
5M.Garver, DH	0-4	0	0	0
6J.Heim, C	0-4	0	0	0
7T.Jankowski, LF	0-4	1	0	0
8J.Smith, 3B	0-3	0	0	0
9L.Taveras, CF	0-2	0	0	0