Blue Jays vs. Braves Odds & Betting Predictions - September 7, 2024

Blue Jays at Braves

11:20 pm • BSSE

Toronto Blue Jays

12-10

9 - 5

Atlanta Braves

8-13

pitcher		team	era	w-l
S.Schwellenbach			3.35	8-7
J.Berrios			3.60	16-11

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Blue Jays 12-10	+1.5-155	o7.5-115	+135
Braves 8-13	-1.5+130	u7.5-105	-161

Saturday 11:20 p.m.

September 07, 2024

Truist ParkAtlanta

Over 7.5-110

0.5u

S.Schwellenbach o5.5 Ks+100

He didn’t have it against the Phillies - it was their third time seeing them and they seemed more prepared. Now he gets the Blue Jays for the first time. Over in 11/L13 - and the Blue Jays lower K% over the L14 days is more of a product of who’ve they’ve faced. DK alt line at +100

Under 8.5-115

1.15u

Featured Insight
The Blue Jays have allowed just 2.6 runs per game on the road over the last two weeks -- second lowest in MLB (7 games). The Braves have scored just 2.8 runs per game at home over the last two weeks -- second lowest in MLB (6 games).

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Featured Insight
The Braves have allowed just 1.0 runs per game in late innings this season -- second lowest in MLB (140 games). The Blue Jays have scored just 1.1 runs per game in late innings this season -- second lowest in MLB (140 games).

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Ziefel's Top 3 MLB Player Props for Saturday
Doug Ziefel•
Sep 7, 2024 UTC

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The Braves are just 2-7 (.222) after a win as underdogs this season -- lowest in MLB; League Avg: .409.

Matt Olson is batting just .195 on breaking pitches from RHP since the 2022 season -- tied for eighth worst in MLB-- ninth Percentile. Jose Berrios has thrown his curveball 30% of the time since the 2022 season -- 12th highest among starting pitchers with at least 185 total CB-- 91st Percentile.

Daulton Varsho has an OPS of just .692 since last season -- 11th worst in MLB-- ninth Percentile. Raisel Iglesias has allowed an OPS of just .532 (446 PAs) since last season -- fifth best among qualified RPs-- 97th Percentile.

Spencer Schwellenbach has not allowed a walk in his last 101 PAs against a RHH dating back to July 12nd -- Ryan Borucki has the longest active streak at 105.

Opponents have a chase percentage of 35% (242/686) against Spencer Schwellenbach this season -- 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 56 total IP; League Avg: 29% -- 99th Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Braves are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Braves are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Braves are 4-9 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Braves' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 3 of Braves' 8 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Braves	9-12	5-3	4-9	6-8	3-4
Blue Jays	16-6	8-5	8-1	6-2	10-3

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Braves	9-9-3	3-4-1	6-5-2	7-6-1	2-3-2
Blue Jays	9-13	7-6	2-7	3-5	5-8

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Braves	8-13	6-2	2-11	7-7	1-6
Blue Jays	12-10	8-5	4-5	6-2	6-7

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Sep 6th	TOR	W 3-1	-1.5 W	U 7.5	ATL -170
Sep 5th	COL	L 1-3	-1.5 L	U 8	COL -280
Sep 4th	COL	W 5-2	-1.5 W	U 8.5	ATL -285
Sep 3rd	COL	W 3-0	-1.5 W	U 7.5	ATL -372
Sep 1st	@PHI	L 2-3	+1.5 W	U 8	PHI +110

Ronald Acuna
OF
Acuna is out with knee
Out
Joe Jimenez
P
Jimenez is out with knee
Out
Nacho Alvarez
IF
Alvarez is out with wrist
Out

Daulton Varsho
OF
Varsho is out with shoulder
Out
Alek Manoah
P
Manoah is out with elbow
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RJ.Berrios, P	90	6	5	1
RR.Burr, P	18	1	2	0
LG.Cabrera, P	14	1	0	0
RL.Frias, P	20	0.1	0	4
LB.Little, P	4	0.2	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1N.Lukes, RF	3-5	0	0	1
2D.Varsho, CF	1-5	0	0	0
3V.Guerrero, DH	1-5	2	0	1
4S.Horwitz, 1B	4-5	3	2	3
5W.Wagner, 2B	3-5	0	0	2
6A.Kirk, C	1-5	0	0	0
7A.Barger, 3B	0-4	1	0	0
8E.Clement, SS	2-4	2	0	1
9J.Loperfido, LF	2-4	1	0	1

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RS.Schwellenbach, P	72	5	3	3
LA.Bummer, P	12	1	1	0
RJ.Brebbia, P	20	1	1	0
RJ.Chavez, P	11	1	0	0
RG.Holmes, P	27	0.2	0	3
RL.Jackson, P	5	0.1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1M.Harris, CF	1-5	0	2
2T.d'Arnaud, C	1-4	0	0
3M.Ozuna, DH	0-4	0	0
4M.Olson, 1B	2-3	1	0
5R.Laureano, RF	1-4	1	0
6J.Kelenic, LF	1-3	1	0
7G.Urshela, 3B	1-4	1	0
8O.Arcia, SS	1-4	1	0
9L.Williams, 2B	2-4	0	2