Blue Jays vs. Twins Odds & Betting Predictions - August 31, 2024

Blue Jays at Twins

12:10 am • BSN
0 - 2
Starting Pitchers
pitcherteameraw-l
Pablo Lopez logoP.LopezMinnesota Twins logo4.0815-10
Kevin Gausman logoK.GausmanToronto Blue Jays logo3.8314-11

Blue Jays at Twins Odds

Spread, Total, Moneyline

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Blue Jays
0-0
+1.5
+1.5-138
o7.5-120
+159
Twins
0-0
u8
-1.5+116
u7.5-105
-189
location pinSaturday 12:10 a.m.
August 31, 2024
Target FieldMinneapolis
Blue Jays vs. Twins Expert Picks
Prop Hunter
Prop Hunter
114d ago
Last 30d: 16-21-0 (+3.1u)
R.Lewis o1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs (Live)-135
1.35u
JB Bets
JB Bets
114d ago
Last 30d: 37-13-0 (+18.2u)
Under 0.5 (1st Inn)-125
0.8u
NRFI RECORDS L10 Gausman 6-4 López 8-2
Picks  Office
Picks Office
114d ago
Last 30d: 121-111-6 (+0.9u)
MIN -1-120
0.83u
Follow On X: https://x.com/PicksOffice The Minnesota Twins, in an AL Central dogfight, welcome the Toronto Blue Jays into town after getting a desperately needed day of rest. The Twins have not been playing great baseball lately, having lost eight out of their last ten and just being swept by the Atlanta Braves. But this game is a great opportunity for Minnesota to get things back on track, especially considering the pitching matchup favors them, and they will be at Target Field in front of their home crowd. Pablo López starts for the Twins coming off a really hot stretch, going 4-1 with an excellent 2.39 ERA in his last eight starts to show just how dominant he can be against most lineups. In his last start, he pitched seven scoreless innings against the St. Louis Cardinals, yielding just four hits and fanning nine. The fastball for López has been the best, in the 96th percentile of run value created-a reflection of how consistently it has limited damage. His peripherals support his broader success, with a 3.52 xERA and a 79th percentile ranking in average exit velocity allowed (87.7 mph), showing an ability to control games and limit hard contact. Beyond that, López's chase rate ranks in the 93rd percentile, which shows that he can get swings well outside of the strike zone, a premium in high-leverage situations. The counterpart for the Blue Jays, Kevin Gausman, has been effectively hot and cold to date at 12-9 with a 4.10 ERA. Although Gausman is coming off a strong start against the Angels, allowing just one run over seven innings, historical struggles against Minnesota cannot be ignored. For his career he is 1-4 with a 6.94 ERA against the Twins while earlier this season he was shelled for seven runs, six earned, on ten hits in just three innings by Minnesota. Indeed, Gausman has struggled against teams that have more experience against his four-seam, splitter-heavy approach. In fact, his average exit velocity allowed sits considerably higher than López's at 90.0 mph, which ranks in just the 20th percentile and indicates a greater vulnerability to hard contact. This is further supported by his 10.7% barrel rate, comfortably above López's 7.9%, showing that Gausman is more apt to yield dangerous hits that can change the momentum of a game. The Twins also have a big home-field advantage. Whereas their record at home is 37-29, the Blue Jays are 32-37 when traveling. What makes the Twins' ability to provide offense so important in this matchup is that Minnesota's offense goes to a whole different level at Target Field, averaging 5.26 runs with a batting average of .263 while Toronto can only average .231 and 4.18 runs on the road. Minnesota ranks 7th in MLB for runs per game and batting average, and 6th in OPS, showcasing a well-rounded and potent lineup. The Twins' bullpen has also been more surefire than Toronto's this year. Minnesota's relievers sport a 3.31 ERA, far surpassing Toronto's 3.95 mark. While the Twins bullpen has been scuffled lately, the main relievers have been quite dominant for the most part a guy like Griffin Jax and Cole Sands, two relatively low WHIPs that have prevented opponents from creating good scoring chances. This compares to a Toronto bullpen that has been much more susceptible to damage this season, particularly from a guy like Erik Swanson, who has a 6.51 ERA on the season.
Grant Neiffer
Grant Neiffer
114d ago
Last 30d: 48-42-5 (+0.5u)
V.Guerrero o0.5 HR+500
0.25u
Firefighter Bets
Firefighter Bets
114d ago
Last 30d: 11-15-0 (-5.3u)
V.Guerrero o1.5 Total Bases+100
1u
BJ Cunningham
BJ Cunningham
115d ago
Last 30d: 5-8-1 (-6.5u)
MIN -150
1u
Sean Zerillo
Sean Zerillo
115d ago
Last 30d: 29-50-0 (-6.0u)
MIN -132 (F5)
0.38u
Flat to -147

PRO Insights

Twins logo

Twins

MIN Insights
  • Twins logoTwins RPs have allowed a SLG of just .362 this season -- third best in MLB. Blue Jays hitters are slugging just .347 versus relief pitchers this season -- third worst in MLB.
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Blue Jays vs. Twins Notes

Prop Odds Comparison

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Blue Jays vs. Twins Public Betting Percentages

15%

Bets%

85%

Money%

Matchup History

Against the Spread (ATS) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
Twins
69-9333-4836-4546-6622-26
Blue Jays
83-7935-4648-3338-4143-37

Over/Under History

overallhome o/uaway o/ufavorite o/uunderdog o/u
Twins
83-73-643-33-540-40-163-43-618-30
Blue Jays
81-77-445-34-236-43-239-39-141-36-3

Straight-Up (ML) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
Twins
82-8043-3839-4263-4918-30
Blue Jays
74-8839-4235-4644-3527-53

Last 5 Matchups

dateopponentscorespreadover/undermoneyline
Aug 28thATLL 1-5+1.5 LU 7ATL +120
Aug 27thATLL 6-8+1.5 LO 8ATL -105
Aug 26thATLL 6-10+1.5 LO 8ATL -120
Aug 25thSTLL 2-3-1.5 LU 8.5STL -142
Aug 24thSTLW 6-0-1.5 WU 7.5MIN -142

Blue Jays vs. Twins Injury Updates

Blue Jays Injuries

  • Bo Bichette
    IF

    Bichette is out with finger

    Out

  • Alek Manoah
    P

    Manoah is out with elbow

    Out

Twins Injuries

  • Jose Miranda
    IF

    Jose Miranda (back) has been scratched Thursday.

    Out

  • Trevor Larnach
    OF

    Larnach is out with hamstring

    Out

  • Joe Ryan
    P

    Ryan is out with triceps

    Out

Blue Jays vs. Twins Box Score
Blue Jays Player Stats
Projected
PITCHERPCIPKER
Kevin Gausman logoRK.Gausman, P1035.242
Zach Pop logoRZ.Pop, P10100
Brendon Little logoLB.Little, P171.120
HITTERSH-ABRHRRBI
Daulton Varsho logo1D.Varsho, CF0-4000
Will Wagner logo2W.Wagner, 2B1-4000
Vladimir Guerrero logo3V.Guerrero, DH0-4000
Spencer Horwitz logo4S.Horwitz, 1B2-4000
Addison Barger logo5A.Barger, RF1-3000
Alejandro Kirk logo6A.Kirk, C0-3000
Ernie Clement logo7E.Clement, 3B0-3000
Nathan Lukes logo8N.Lukes, LF1-3000
Leo Jimenez logo9L.Jimenez, SS2-3000
Twins Player Stats
Projected
PITCHERPCIPKER
Pablo Lopez logoRP.Lopez, P1067.230
Griffin Jax logoRG.Jax, P30.110
Jhoan Duran logoRJ.Duran, P11100
HITTERSH-ABRHRRBI
Willi Castro logo1W.Castro, SS0-3001
Trevor Larnach logo2T.Larnach, LF0-2000
Manuel Margot logo2M.Margot, PH0-0000
Manuel Margot logo2M.Margot, LF0-0000
Royce Lewis logo3R.Lewis, 3B1-4000
Matt Wallner logo4M.Wallner, RF1-4000
Max Kepler logo4M.Kepler, RF0-0000
Edouard Julien logo5E.Julien, 2B0-2000
Kyle Farmer logo5K.Farmer, 2B0-0000
Jose Miranda logo6J.Miranda, DH1-2100
Carlos Santana logo7C.Santana, 1B1-3101
Ryan Jeffers logo8R.Jeffers, C0-2000
Austin Martin logo9A.Martin, CF0-2000

Blue Jays vs. Twins Odds Comparison

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Blue Jays at Twins Team Totals

MatchupOverUnder
Blue Jays
0-0
o3.5+108
u3.5-140
Twins
0-0
o4.5+105
u4.5-135