Braves vs. Twins Odds & Betting Predictions - August 26, 2024

Braves at Twins

11:40 pm • BSN
10 - 6
Starting Pitchers
pitcherteameraw-l
Bailey Ober logoB.OberMinnesota Twins logo3.9812-9
Max Fried logoM.FriedAtlanta Braves logo3.2511-10

Braves at Twins Odds

Spread, Total, Moneyline

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Braves
0-2
-1.5+164
o8-114
+100
Twins
0-0
+1.5-191
u8-105
-120
location pinMonday 11:40 p.m.
August 26, 2024
Target FieldMinneapolis
Braves vs. Twins Expert Picks
Greg Matherne
Greg Matherne
118d ago
Last 30d: 23-15-2 (+4.6u)
Over 7.5-113
0.5u
Scott Rickenbach
Scott Rickenbach
118d ago
Last 30d: 83-67-0 (+4.6u)
Under 7.5+100
1u
The Degenerates
The Degenerates
118d ago
Last 30d: 92-74-4 (+16.4u)
MIN -118
1.18u
💰🦡 Jake
💰🦡 Jake
118d ago
Last 30d: 76-90-1 (-26.8u)
Under 4.5 (F5)-145
1.45u
Even though MIN has one of the hottest bats right now & Fried has been struggling, his splits lineup perfect vs this lineup. He’s only allowing a .196 BA away & has locked up righties allowing only a .201 BA vs his BA against lefties which is .347 (drastic difference). This is important because MIN will have 8 righties in their expected lineup today. On the other side, ATL bats cooled back off ranking 16th in BA in the L15 days & 17th in the L7 days. Ober has been pitching a full 6+ innings in his L11 games (2.57 ERA).
Markus Markets
Markus Markets
118d ago
Last 30d: 65-81-1 (+8.4u)
B.Ober o5.5 Ks-148
1u
BetRivers
Sandy  Plashkes
Sandy Plashkes
118d ago
Last 30d: 113-114-4 (+7.3u)
ATL +100 (F5)
1u
Picks  Office
Picks Office
119d ago
Last 30d: 119-106-6 (+4.0u)
Over 7.5-115
0.87u
Follow On X: https://x.com/PicksOffice Max Fried has been slipping a little of late, his xERA is all the way up to nearly four, suggesting where the Twins could get at him. It's been a good year so far for him, except in his last three starts, where Fried has an ERA of 6.23 to show he's not in his best shape. Fried's chase and whiff rates are in the 44th percentile, lesser than top-of-the-line pitchers, meaning he will leave more balls in play, hence straight to the base hits recorded for Minnesota. Twins' Offensive Capabilities One cannot underestimate Minnesota Twins when it comes to offense. They put up numbers for the 7th per game in runs, with the combination of players converting their hits to either power or just mere hits. They found success, especially against southpaw pitchers, like Fried, and feature an excellent roster that performs against these pitchers. Their home advantage also enhances the chances for it to become a high-scoring game because, on average, Minnesota scores almost 5 runs in their home field. Bailey Ober's dangerous profile is as a flyball pitcher, with a 1.35 HR/9 rate against the fourth-place Braves, who rank fourth in Major League Baseball for home runs. The ability to put the ball in the air, along with the immunity to home runs, puts the Braves exactly in the spot where they like to do their best work: hitting the ball out of the park. Atlanta's ability to create quick offense through the long ball puts Ober in a particularly dangerous situation, especially at this time in Target Field, where, at times, hitters are favored by conditions. While the Braves have just a middle-of-the-pack team batting average at .241, their .720 slugging percentage and 170 home run total speak to an offense that scores in a hurry and in bunches. These high-strike powers, and flyball tendencies from Ober all mix up into being that perfect recipe for an offensive explosion. The bullpens for both teams offer opportunities to score even more runs. The Braves have a pretty good bullpen that has been working under a 5.00 ERA recently. The Twins' bullpen has holes they are trying to cover, with a 3.66 ERA and going up against an offense such as Atlanta's.
Sean Zerillo
Sean Zerillo
119d ago
Last 30d: 29-50-0 (-6.0u)
Over 7.5-115
0.5u
Bet to 8 (-110)

PRO Insights

Braves logo

Braves

ATL Insights
  • Braves logoBraves have a strikeout rate of 25% vs left-handed batters since last season -- second highest in MLB. Twins left-handed hitters have struck out 26% against RHP since last season -- tied for second highest in MLB.
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Twins logo

Twins

MIN Insights
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    Braves vs. Twins Notes

    Prop Odds Comparison

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    Line Movement Tracker

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    Braves vs. Twins Public Betting Percentages

    33%

    Bets%

    67%

    Money%

    Matchup History

    Against the Spread (ATS) History

    overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
    Twins
    69-9333-4836-4546-6622-26
    Braves
    75-8735-4640-4160-7115-16

    Over/Under History

    overallhome o/uaway o/ufavorite o/uunderdog o/u
    Twins
    83-73-643-33-540-40-163-43-618-30
    Braves
    58-94-1025-53-333-41-745-77-913-17-1

    Straight-Up (ML) History

    overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
    Twins
    82-8043-3839-4263-4918-30
    Braves
    89-7346-3543-3876-5513-18

    Last 5 Matchups

    dateopponentscorespreadover/undermoneyline
    Aug 25thSTLL 2-3-1.5 LU 8.5STL -142
    Aug 24thSTLW 6-0-1.5 WU 7.5MIN -142
    Aug 24thSTLL 1-6-1.5 LU 8.5STL -155
    Aug 21st@SDW 11-4+1.5 WO 8.5MIN +105
    Aug 21st@SDL 5-7-1.5 LO 8SD -122

    Braves vs. Twins Injury Updates

    Braves Injuries

    • Chris Sale
      P

      Chris Sale (back spasms) scratched Monday. Grant Holmes will start Game 2.

      Out

    • Ronald Acuna
      OF

      Acuna is out for season with knee

      Out for Season

    • Austin Riley
      IF

      Riley is out with hand

      Out

    • Spencer Strider
      P

      Strider is out for season with elbow

      Out for Season

    Twins Injuries

    • Jose Miranda
      IF

      Jose Miranda (back) has been scratched Thursday.

      Out

    • Trevor Larnach
      OF

      Larnach is out with hamstring

      Out

    • Joe Ryan
      P

      Ryan is out with triceps

      Out

    Braves vs. Twins Box Score
    Braves Player Stats
    Projected
    PITCHERPCIPKER
    Max Fried logoLM.Fried, P73571
    Grant Holmes logoRG.Holmes, P33211
    Pierce Johnson logoRP.Johnson, P13101
    Dylan Lee logoLD.Lee, P15121
    HITTERSH-ABRHRRBI
    Whit Merrifield logo1W.Merrifield, 2B5-5200
    Jorge Soler logo2J.Soler, RF0-2200
    Michael Harris logo2M.Harris, CF0-1000
    Marcell Ozuna logo3M.Ozuna, DH2-4202
    Matt Olson logo4M.Olson, 1B3-5215
    Travis d'Arnaud logo5T.d'Arnaud, C1-5112
    Ramon Laureano logo6R.Laureano, LF0-5000
    Ramon Laureano logo6R.Laureano, RF0-5000
    Jarred Kelenic logo7J.Kelenic, CF0-5000
    Jarred Kelenic logo7J.Kelenic, LF0-5000
    Gio Urshela logo8G.Urshela, 3B1-4000
    Orlando Arcia logo9O.Arcia, SS1-3100
    Twins Player Stats
    Projected
    PITCHERPCIPKER
    Bailey Ober logoRB.Ober, P55229
    Scott Blewett logoRS.Blewett, P39330
    Trevor Richards logoRT.Richards, P33221
    Ronny Henriquez logoRR.Henriquez, P32230
    HITTERSH-ABRHRRBI
    Manuel Margot logo1M.Margot, LF3-5101
    Royce Lewis logo2R.Lewis, DH0-4001
    Jose Miranda logo3J.Miranda, 3B0-3001
    Carlos Santana logo4C.Santana, 1B1-4000
    Kyle Farmer logo5K.Farmer, 2B1-4111
    Kyle Farmer logo5K.Farmer, SS1-4111
    Willi Castro logo6W.Castro, SS0-3100
    Edouard Julien logo6E.Julien, 2B0-1000
    Christian Vazquez logo7C.Vazquez, C1-4100
    Matt Wallner logo8M.Wallner, RF2-3211
    Austin Martin logo9A.Martin, CF1-4001

    Braves vs. Twins Odds Comparison

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    Braves at Twins Team Totals

    MatchupOverUnder
    Braves
    0-2
    o3.5-135
    u3.5+105
    Twins
    0-0
    o3.5-140
    u3.5+110