Braves vs. Twins Odds & Betting Predictions - August 26, 2024
Braves at Twins
11:40 pm • BSNStarting Pitchers
pitcher | team | era | w-l | |
---|---|---|---|---|
B.Ober | 3.98 | 12-9 | ||
M.Fried | 3.25 | 11-10 |
Braves at Twins Odds
Spread, Total, Moneyline
MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
Braves 0-2 | -1.5+164 | o8-114 | +100 | |
Twins 0-0 | +1.5-191 | u8-105 | -120 |
Monday 11:40 p.m.
August 26, 2024Target FieldMinneapolis
Braves vs. Twins Expert Picks
Greg Matherne
118d ago
Last 30d: 23-15-2 (+4.6u)
Over 7.5-113
0.5u
Scott Rickenbach
118d ago
Last 30d: 83-67-0 (+4.6u)
Under 7.5+100
1u
The Degenerates
118d ago
Last 30d: 92-74-4 (+16.4u)
MIN -118
1.18u
💰🦡 Jake
118d ago
Last 30d: 76-90-1 (-26.8u)
Under 4.5 (F5)-145
1.45u
Even though MIN has one of the hottest bats right now & Fried has been struggling, his splits lineup perfect vs this lineup. He’s only allowing a .196 BA away & has locked up righties allowing only a .201 BA vs his BA against lefties which is .347 (drastic difference). This is important because MIN will have 8 righties in their expected lineup today.
On the other side, ATL bats cooled back off ranking 16th in BA in the L15 days & 17th in the L7 days. Ober has been pitching a full 6+ innings in his L11 games (2.57 ERA).
Markus Markets
118d ago
Last 30d: 65-81-1 (+8.4u)
B.Ober o5.5 Ks-148
1u
BetRivers
Sandy Plashkes
118d ago
Last 30d: 113-114-4 (+7.3u)
ATL +100 (F5)
1u
Picks Office
119d ago
Last 30d: 119-106-6 (+4.0u)
Over 7.5-115
0.87u
Follow On X: https://x.com/PicksOffice
Max Fried has been slipping a little of late, his xERA is all the way up to nearly four, suggesting where the Twins could get at him. It's been a good year so far for him, except in his last three starts, where Fried has an ERA of 6.23 to show he's not in his best shape. Fried's chase and whiff rates are in the 44th percentile, lesser than top-of-the-line pitchers, meaning he will leave more balls in play, hence straight to the base hits recorded for Minnesota.
Twins' Offensive Capabilities One cannot underestimate Minnesota Twins when it comes to offense. They put up numbers for the 7th per game in runs, with the combination of players converting their hits to either power or just mere hits. They found success, especially against southpaw pitchers, like Fried, and feature an excellent roster that performs against these pitchers. Their home advantage also enhances the chances for it to become a high-scoring game because, on average, Minnesota scores almost 5 runs in their home field.
Bailey Ober's dangerous profile is as a flyball pitcher, with a 1.35 HR/9 rate against the fourth-place Braves, who rank fourth in Major League Baseball for home runs. The ability to put the ball in the air, along with the immunity to home runs, puts the Braves exactly in the spot where they like to do their best work: hitting the ball out of the park. Atlanta's ability to create quick offense through the long ball puts Ober in a particularly dangerous situation, especially at this time in Target Field, where, at times, hitters are favored by conditions.
While the Braves have just a middle-of-the-pack team batting average at .241, their .720 slugging percentage and 170 home run total speak to an offense that scores in a hurry and in bunches. These high-strike powers, and flyball tendencies from Ober all mix up into being that perfect recipe for an offensive explosion.
The bullpens for both teams offer opportunities to score even more runs. The Braves have a pretty good bullpen that has been working under a 5.00 ERA recently. The Twins' bullpen has holes they are trying to cover, with a 3.66 ERA and going up against an offense such as Atlanta's.
Sean Zerillo
119d ago
Last 30d: 29-50-0 (-6.0u)
Over 7.5-115
0.5u
Bet to 8 (-110)
PRO Insights
Braves
ATL Insights
- Featured InsightBraves have a strikeout rate of 25% vs left-handed batters since last season -- second highest in MLB. Twins left-handed hitters have struck out 26% against RHP since last season -- tied for second highest in MLB.
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Braves vs. Twins Previews & Analysis
Braves vs. Twins Notes
Keys to the Game
Matchup Contrasts
Today's Starting Pitchers
Prop Odds Comparison
Line Movement Tracker
Braves vs. Twins Public Betting Percentages
Betting Trends
- Twins are 1-4 in their last 5 games.
- Twins are 1-4 in their last 5 games against the spread
- Twins are 36-45 in their road games against the spread
- The totals have gone OVER in 4 of Twins' last 5 games
- The totals have gone OVER in 43 of Twins' 81 last games at home
Matchup History
Against the Spread (ATS) History
Over/Under History
Last 5 Matchups
Braves vs. Twins Injury Updates
Braves Injuries
- Chris SaleP
Chris Sale (back spasms) scratched Monday. Grant Holmes will start Game 2.
Out
- Ronald AcunaOF
Acuna is out for season with knee
Out for Season
- Austin RileyIF
Riley is out with hand
Out
- Spencer StriderP
Strider is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Twins Injuries
- Jose MirandaIF
Jose Miranda (back) has been scratched Thursday.
Out
- Trevor LarnachOF
Larnach is out with hamstring
Out
- Joe RyanP
Ryan is out with triceps
Out
Braves vs. Twins Box Score
Braves Player Stats
ProjectedPITCHER | PC | IP | K | ER | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
LM.Fried, P | 73 | 5 | 7 | 1 | |
RG.Holmes, P | 33 | 2 | 1 | 1 | |
RP.Johnson, P | 13 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
LD.Lee, P | 15 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
HITTERS | H-AB | R | HR | RBI |
---|---|---|---|---|
1W.Merrifield, 2B | 5-5 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
2J.Soler, RF | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
2M.Harris, CF | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
3M.Ozuna, DH | 2-4 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
4M.Olson, 1B | 3-5 | 2 | 1 | 5 |
5T.d'Arnaud, C | 1-5 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
6R.Laureano, LF | 0-5 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
6R.Laureano, RF | 0-5 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
7J.Kelenic, CF | 0-5 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
7J.Kelenic, LF | 0-5 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
8G.Urshela, 3B | 1-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
9O.Arcia, SS | 1-3 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
Twins Player Stats
ProjectedPITCHER | PC | IP | K | ER | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
RB.Ober, P | 55 | 2 | 2 | 9 | |
RS.Blewett, P | 39 | 3 | 3 | 0 | |
RT.Richards, P | 33 | 2 | 2 | 1 | |
RR.Henriquez, P | 32 | 2 | 3 | 0 |
HITTERS | H-AB | R | HR | RBI |
---|---|---|---|---|
1M.Margot, LF | 3-5 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
2R.Lewis, DH | 0-4 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
3J.Miranda, 3B | 0-3 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
4C.Santana, 1B | 1-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
5K.Farmer, 2B | 1-4 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
5K.Farmer, SS | 1-4 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
6W.Castro, SS | 0-3 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
6E.Julien, 2B | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
7C.Vazquez, C | 1-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
8M.Wallner, RF | 2-3 | 2 | 1 | 1 |
9A.Martin, CF | 1-4 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
Braves vs. Twins Odds Comparison
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Braves at Twins Team Totals
MatchupOverUnder | ||
---|---|---|
Braves 0-2 | o3.5-135 | u3.5+105 |
Twins 0-0 | o3.5-140 | u3.5+110 |