Twins vs. Padres Odds & Betting Predictions - August 21, 2024

Twins at Padres

1:40 am • SDPA

Minnesota Twins

6-9

5 - 7

San Diego Padres

5-13

pitcher		team	era	w-l
M.Perez			5.21	2-5
B.Ober			3.98	12-9

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Twins 6-9	-1.5	-1.5+140	o8-102	-122
Padres 5-13	u7.5	+1.5-165	u8-114	+102

Wednesday 1:40 a.m.

August 21, 2024

PETCO ParkSan Diego

MIN -117

MLB non division road favs Overall: 289-188-1,61% (ROI:10%) Season:18-8-0,69% (ROI:28%)

MIN -118

2.36u

M.Perez o3.5 Ks-172

Over 7.5-120

0.5u

R.Lewis o0.5 HR+420

0.25u

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Featured Insight
Padres have a strikeout rate of 24% vs left-handed batters since last season -- fourth highest in MLB. Twins left-handed hitters have struck out 26% against RHP since last season -- third highest in MLB.

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The Twins are just 1-48 (.020) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season -- 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .054.

The Padres are 41-28 (.594) after a win this season -- 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .496.

The Padres are 67-54 (.554) after a road win since the 2022 season -- tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .486.

Jake Cronenworth is slugging just .391 since the 2022 season -- ninth worst in MLB-- eighth Percentile. Bailey Ober has allowed a SLG of just .350 vs left-handed batters since the 2022 season -- tied for 12th best among starting pitchers with at least 179 total IP-- 90th Percentile.

Christian Vazquez has an OPS of just .608 since last season -- 11th worst among hitters with at least 429 total PA's-- third Percentile. Tanner Scott has allowed an OPS of just .508 (525 PAs) since last season -- second best among qualified RPs-- 99th Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Padres are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Padres are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
Padres are 47-33 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Padres' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 44 of Padres' 80 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Padres	82-78	35-45	47-33	43-57	37-19
Twins	69-93	33-48	36-45	46-66	22-26

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Padres	81-74-5	44-34-2	37-40-3	51-44-5	28-28
Twins	83-73-6	43-33-5	40-40-1	63-43-6	18-30

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Padres	93-69	45-35	47-33	58-42	31-25
Twins	82-80	43-38	39-42	63-49	18-30

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Aug 20th	MIN	W 5-3	-1.5 W	O 7	SD -180
Aug 18th	@COL	L 2-3	-1.5 L	U 11.5	COL -202
Aug 18th	@COL	W 8-3	-1.5 W	O 10.5	SD -198
Aug 17th	@COL	L 3-7	-1.5 L	U 12	COL -165
Aug 14th	PIT	W 8-2	-1.5 W	O 8.5	SD -135

Joe Musgrove
P
Musgrove is out for season with elbow
Out for Season

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RB.Ober, P	83	6	5	3
RG.Jax, P	10	1	1	0
LS.Okert, P	19	0.1	0	4
RR.Henriquez, P	10	0.2	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1M.Margot, LF	1-4	0	0	0
1M.Margot, CF	1-4	0	0	0
1M.Margot, LF	1-4	0	0	0
1T.Larnach, PH	0-1	0	0	0
2R.Lewis, DH	1-3	1	0	1
3C.Santana, 1B	2-4	2	0	0
4R.Jeffers, C	2-4	1	1	2
4E.Julien, 2B	0-0	0	0	0
5J.Miranda, 3B	1-4	0	0	0
6K.Farmer, 2B	1-2	0	0	0
6M.Wallner, PH	0-1	0	0	0
6M.Wallner, LF	0-1	0	0	0
6C.Vazquez, PH	1-1	0	0	2
6C.Vazquez, C	1-1	0	0	2
7W.Castro, SS	0-4	0	0	0
8M.Kepler, RF	2-4	1	0	0
9A.Martin, CF	2-3	0	0	0
9A.Martin, 2B	2-3	0	0	0
9A.Martin, CF	2-3	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LM.Perez, P	79	4.2	2	3
RB.Hoeing, P	22	1.1	0	0
LY.Matsui, P	18	1	2	0
LT.Scott, P	14	1	0	2
RR.Suarez, P	9	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1L.Arraez, DH	1-4	1	0	0
2J.Profar, LF	1-4	1	1	3
3J.Cronenworth, 1B	2-4	2	0	0
3J.Cronenworth, 2B	2-4	2	0	0
4M.Machado, 3B	1-4	1	1	2
5X.Bogaerts, 2B	2-4	0	0	1
5X.Bogaerts, SS	2-4	0	0	1
6J.Merrill, CF	1-4	1	0	0
7D.Peralta, RF	1-4	0	0	1
7B.Johnson, RF	0-0	0	0	0
8L.Campusano, C	0-3	0	0	0
9T.Wade, SS	0-2	0	0	0
9D.Solano, PH	1-1	1	0	0
9D.Solano, 1B	1-1	1	0	0