Braves vs. Orioles Odds & Betting Predictions - June 11, 2024

Braves at Orioles

10:35 pm • BSSO

Atlanta Braves

6-3

0 - 4

Baltimore Orioles

3-5

pitcher		team	era	w-l
A.Suarez			3.70	9-7
M.Fried			3.25	11-10

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Braves 6-3	-1.5	-1.5+124	o7.5-103	-142
Orioles 3-5	u8.5	+1.5-148	u7.5-116	+120

Tuesday 10:35 p.m.

June 11, 2024

Oriole Park at Camden YardsBaltimore

Over 7.5-105

M.Fried u5.5 Ks+125

2.5u

ATL -130

$1.30

BAL +110

1.1u

Under 8-114

0.88u

A.Suarez o3.5 Ks-200

0.5u

M.Fried o17.5 Outs-160

ATL -130

Under 7.5-105

$23.81

BAL +122

1.22u

Fried 3.29 SIERA/3.22 xERA, Suarez 3.99/3.11 - BAL 120/131/147 wRC+ Hm/v LHP/L7 days, ATL 96/100/63 - BAL sizeable def edge - pen estimators L30 days are comparable.

Featured Insight
Braves won 64% of their games that were decided by one run or less last season -- best in MLB. Orioles won just 38% of their games that were decided by one run or less last season -- second worst in MLB.

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Featured Insight
Orioles have won 63% of their games that have been decided by one run or less since last season -- best in MLB. Braves have won just 38% of their games that have been decided by one run or less since last season -- second worst in MLB.

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The Braves are 17-68 (.200) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season -- best in MLB; League Avg: .104.

Cedric Mullins has an OPS of just .692 since the 2022 season -- seventh worst in MLB-- sixth Percentile. Max Fried has allowed an OPS of just .585 (1,334 PAs) since the 2022 season -- best among starting pitchers with at least 154 total IP-- 100th Percentile.

Cedric Mullins is batting just .167 on breaking pitches from LHP since the 2022 season -- seventh worst in MLB-- seventh Percentile. Opponents are hitting just .184 (74-for-403) on Max Fried breaking pitches since the 2022 season -- 15th best among starting pitchers with at least 154 total IP-- 88th Percentile.

Max Fried has allowed an average Exit Velocity of 83.7 MPH (159 batted balls) this season -- best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 88.9 -- 100th Percentile.

Albert Suarez has an ERA of 1.83 (39.1 IP)this season -- 4th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 25 total IP; League Avg: 3.85 -- 98th Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 61% (121/197) against Max Fried this season -- 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% -- 97th Percentile.

No props found

MLB Public Betting

Orioles are 1-4 in their last 5 games.
Orioles are 1-4 in their last 5 games against the spread
Orioles are 0-2 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 3 of Orioles' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 3 of Orioles' 6 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Orioles	2-6	2-4	0-2	2-4	0-2
Braves	6-3	4-2	2-1	5-2	1-1

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Orioles	4-4	3-3	1-1	3-3	1-1
Braves	1-8	0-6	1-2	1-6	0-2

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Orioles	3-5	3-3	0-2	3-3	0-2
Braves	6-3	4-2	2-1	5-2	1-1

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Jun 10th	@TB	W 5-2	-1.5 W	U 7	BAL -136
Jun 9th	@TB	W 9-2	-1.5 W	O 7.5	BAL -144
Jun 8th	@TB	W 5-0	-1.5 W	U 8	BAL -135
Jun 7th	@TB	W 6-3	-1.5 W	O 8.5	BAL -110
Jun 6th	@TOR	L 5-6	+1.5 W	O 8.5	TOR +110

Heston Kjerstad
LF
Kjerstad is out with hamstring
Out
Jordan Westburg
3B
Westburg is out with elbow
Out
Jackson Holliday
2B
Holliday is out with hand
Out

Joey Wentz
RP
Wentz is out with knee
Out
Sean Murphy
C
Murphy is out with hip
Out
Ha-Seong Kim
SS
Kim is out with finger
Out
Spencer Strider
SP
Strider is out with oblique
Out
Spencer Schwellenbach
SP
Schwellenbach is out with elbow
Out
AJ Smith-Shawver
SP
Smith-Shawver is out with elbow
Out
Hurston Waldrep
SP
Waldrep is out with elbow
Out

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LM.Fried, P	87	5	3	4
RP.Johnson, P	10	1	1	0
LD.Lee, P	13	1	2	0
LR.Kerr, P	12	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1M.Harris, CF	1-4	0	0	0
2O.Albies, 2B	0-5	0	0	0
3A.Riley, 3B	0-4	0	0	0
4M.Olson, 1B	1-3	0	0	0
5M.Ozuna, DH	2-3	0	0	0
6A.Duvall, RF	0-4	0	0	0
7J.Kelenic, LF	0-2	0	0	0
7T.d'Arnaud, PH	0-1	0	0	0
7J.Martinez, LF	0-0	0	0	0
8S.Murphy, C	0-4	0	0	0
9O.Arcia, SS	1-3	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K
RA.Suarez, P	97	5.1	4
RJ.Webb, P	29	1.1	2
RY.Cano, P	6	0.1	1
LC.Perez, P	12	1	0
RD.Tate, P	21	1	2

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1J.Westburg, 2B	0-4	0	0	0
2A.Rutschman, DH	0-4	0	0	0
3R.Mountcastle, 1B	0-3	1	0	0
4A.Santander, RF	1-3	1	0	0
4C.Mullins, CF	0-0	0	0	0
5A.Hays, LF	3-4	1	0	1
6J.Mateo, SS	1-3	1	1	3
7R.Urias, 3B	1-3	0	0	0
8J.McCann, C	0-3	0	0	0
9C.Cowser, CF	0-3	0	0	0
9C.Cowser, RF	0-3	0	0	0