Cardinals vs. Brewers Odds & Betting Predictions - September 3, 2024

Cardinals at Brewers

11:40 pm • BSWI

St. Louis Cardinals

8-10

7 - 4

Milwaukee Brewers

8-9

pitcher		team	era	w-l
A.Civale			5.07	2-6
S.Matz			5.08	1-2

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Cardinals 8-10	+1.5-162	o8-106	+130
Brewers 8-9	-1.5+136	u8-113	-154

Tuesday 11:40 p.m.

September 03, 2024

American Family FieldMilwaukee

J.Chourio o1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs-137

A.Civale o16.5 Outs-121

1.21u

MIL -150

W.Contreras o1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs-125

1.25u

• Matz vs RHB this season: .317 xBA/.379 xwOBA allowed • .333 xBA/.517 xwOBA vs LHP L14 days • Great numbers vs Matz pitch mix: .594 xBA/.750 xwOBA/22.2 barrel% post ASB • Top of MIL order has been extremely hot (Contreras, Adames, Chourio)

MIL -154

S.Matz u4.5 Ks-120

1.2u

Featured Insight
Cardinals left-handed hitters have struck out just 15% against RHP over the last two weeks -- lowest in MLB. Brewers have a strikeout rate of just 18% vs left-handed batters over the last two weeks -- tied for third lowest in MLB.

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Featured Insight
Brewers have allowed innings of 3+ runs in 5% of innings played this season -- fifth lowest in MLB. The Cardinals have scored three or more runs in an inning just 49 times (4%) this season -- second lowest in MLB.

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The Brewers are 80-57 (.584) this season -- 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

Willy Adames has struck out in 26% of PA's since the 2022 season -- ninth highest in MLB-- eighth Percentile. Ryan Helsley has a strikeout rate of 34% since the 2022 season -- eighth highest among qualified RPs-- 95th Percentile.

The average home run distance against Aaron Civale in the 2023 season was 381.4 feet -- 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 399.8

Opposing hitters have no hits in their last 28 ABsending on a two-strike cutter from Aaron Civale. -- this is the longest active streak among active MLB players.

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MLB Public Betting

Brewers are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Brewers are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
Brewers are 43-38 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 1 of Brewers' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 40 of Brewers' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Brewers	87-75	44-37	43-38	43-48	43-26
Cardinals	80-82	42-39	38-43	28-49	51-33

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Brewers	81-70-11	40-33-8	41-37-3	41-43-7	40-25-4
Cardinals	74-83-5	37-42-2	37-41-3	39-38	34-45-5

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Brewers	93-69	47-34	46-35	54-37	38-31
Cardinals	83-79	44-37	39-42	39-38	43-41

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Sep 2nd	STL	W 9-3	-1.5 W	O 7.5	MIL -170
Sep 1st	@CIN	L 3-4	-1.5 L	U 9.5	CIN -135
Aug 31st	@CIN	W 5-4	-1.5 L	O 8.5	MIL -132
Aug 30th	@CIN	W 14-0	+1.5 W	O 9.5	MIL +100
Aug 30th	@CIN	W 5-4	-1.5 L	U 9	MIL -118

Christian Yelich
OF
Yelich is questionable with back
Questionable

Brandon Woodruff
P
Woodruff is out with shoulder
Out
Blake Perkins
OF
Perkins is out with leg
Out
Robert Gasser
P
Gasser is out with elbow
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LS.Matz, P	78	4.2	7	3
RR.Fernandez, P	22	1.1	2	0
LJ.Romero, P	14	1	1	0
RA.Kittredge, P	9	1	1	0
LM.Liberatore, P	30	2	2	0
RR.Helsley, P	27	2	4	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1M.Winn, SS	1-6	1	0	0
2A.Burleson, DH	0-4	0	0	1
3N.Arenado, 3B	0-5	1	0	1
4B.Donovan, 2B	1-5	1	0	0
5P.Goldschmidt, 1B	3-5	1	1	3
6L.Nootbaar, LF	2-5	0	0	0
7J.Walker, RF	0-4	0	0	0
7V.Scott, RF	0-1	1	0	0
8P.Pages, C	1-4	0	0	0
8J.Fermin, PR	0-0	0	0	0
8I.Herrera, C	0-0	1	0	0
9M.Siani, CF	1-4	1	0	2

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RA.Civale, P	89	5	7	3
LA.Ashby, P	25	2	1	0
RT.Megill, P	10	1	0	0
RD.Williams, P	14	1	2	0
RJ.Payamps, P	13	1	0	0
LJ.Koenig, P	18	1	1	0
RE.Peguero, P	24	1	2	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1J.Chourio, LF	2-4	1	1	2
2B.Perkins, CF	0-5	1	0	0
3W.Contreras, C	0-4	0	0	0
4G.Sanchez, DH	0-4	0	0	0
4G.Mitchell, PH	0-1	0	0	0
4G.Mitchell, DH	0-1	0	0	0
5W.Adames, SS	1-5	0	0	1
6B.Hicklen, RF	0-3	0	0	0
6S.Frelick, RF	0-2	0	0	0
7R.Hoskins, 1B	0-4	0	0	0
8J.Ortiz, 3B	1-3	1	1	1
9B.Turang, 2B	1-5	1	0	0