Cardinals vs. Orioles Odds & Betting Predictions - September 11, 2023

Cardinals at Orioles

10:35 pm • MASN

St. Louis Cardinals

36-28

5 - 11

Baltimore Orioles

31-37

pitcher		team	era	w-l
D.Kremer			4.12	13-5
D.Hudson			4.98	6-3

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Cardinals 36-28	N/A	N/A	N/A
Orioles 31-37	N/A	N/A	N/A

Monday 10:35 p.m.

September 11, 2023

Oriole Park at Camden YardsBaltimore

BAL -1.5+122

2.44u

Over 9-110

Hudson 5.24 SIERA/5.51 xERA, Kremer 4.43/5.06 - both offenses > 100 wRC+ Hm/Rd/v RHP - both defenses in the negative - STL pen bottom half of league L30 days

Featured Insight
Orioles hitters have a hard-hit rate of 41% this season -- ninth-best in MLB. Opponents have a hard-hit rate of 42% against the CardinalsRPs this season -- worst in MLB.

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Featured Insight
The Orioles have scored 3.3 runs per game while leading this season -- tied for seventh-highest in MLB (112 games). The Cardinals have allowed 3.0 runs per game while trailing this season -- ninth-highest in MLB (105 games).

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Best Bets from Monday's MLB Slate
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Cardinals vs. Orioles: Bet This Strikeout Prop
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The Orioles are 30-3 (.909) when they've had 5 or more XBH this season -- 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .793.

The Orioles are 172-131 (.568) since last season -- 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

Nolan Arenado struck out in just 12% of PA's last season -- seventh lowest in MLB-- 95th Percentile. Dean Kremer had a strikeout rate of just 15% vs right-handed batters last season -- tied for 14th lowest among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP-- 11th Percentile.

Adley Rutschman has struck out in just 11% of PA's over the last 30 days -- tied for 12th lowest in MLB-- 94th Percentile. Dakota Hudson has a strikeout rate of just 10% over the last 30 days -- lowest among qualified SPs-- first Percentile.

Opponents have a chase percentage of just 20% (161/819) against Dean Kremer in non-two strike counts this season -- lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% -- second Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of .424 (14 GB hits out of 33 GBs) against Dean Kremer with runners in scoring position this season -- 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 56 total IP; League Avg: .251 -- third Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Orioles are 1-4 in their last 5 games.
Orioles are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Orioles are 13-19 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 4 of Orioles' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 19 of Orioles' 36 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Orioles	32-36	19-17	13-19	15-18	17-18
Cardinals	39-25	21-14	18-11	7-4	32-20

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Orioles	39-27-2	19-16-1	20-11-1	17-14-2	22-13
Cardinals	27-33-4	17-16-2	10-17-2	4-6-1	22-27-3

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Orioles	31-37	19-17	12-20	17-16	14-21
Cardinals	36-28	19-16	17-12	8-3	28-24

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Sep 10th	@BOS	L 3-7	-	-	-
Sep 9th	@BOS	W 13-12	-	-	-
Sep 8th	@BOS	W 11-2	-	-	-
Sep 7th	@LAA	W 10-3	-	-	-
Sep 6th	@LAA	W 5-4	-	-	-

Heston Kjerstad
LF
Kjerstad is out with hamstring
Out
Jordan Westburg
3B
Westburg is out with elbow
Out
Dylan Beavers
RF
Dylan Beavers scratched Tuesday.
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RD.Hudson, P	80	4.1	2	7
RA.Pallante, P	21	1.2	1	2
RD. VerHagen, P	16	1	0	0
LA. Suárez, P	19	0.1	0	2
RJ.Barnes, P	5	0.2	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1L.Nootbaar, LF	2-5	1	0
2P.Goldschmidt, 1B	1-5	0	0
3N.Gorman, 2B	0-3	2	0
4N.Arenado, 3B	2-4	2	1
5W.Contreras, C	3-4	0	2
5R.Palacios, PH	0-1	0	0
6A.Burleson, DH	2-5	0	1
7J.Walker, RF	1-4	0	1
8T.Edman, CF	0-5	0	0
9M.Winn, SS	1-3	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RD.Kremer, P	88	4.1	2	5
LD.Hall, P	27	1.1	1	0
RJ.Webb, P	18	1	0	0
RJ.Lopez, P	9	0.2	0	0
LD.Coulombe, P	8	0.2	0	0
RS.Fujinami, P	25	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1A.Rutschman, C	1-3	2	0	0
2G.Henderson, SS	3-5	3	1	1
3A.Santander, DH	0-4	0	0	0
4R.O'Hearn, RF	1-4	1	0	1
4A.Hays, LF	1-1	0	0	2
5R.Mountcastle, 1B	0-3	1	0	0
6C.Mullins, CF	2-3	2	1	4
7A. Hicks, LF	3-4	2	0	0
7A. Hicks, RF	3-4	2	0	0
8A.Frazier, 2B	1-3	0	0	1
9R.Urias, 3B	1-4	0	0	1