Cubs vs. Brewers Odds & Betting Predictions - June 30, 2024

Cubs at Brewers

6:10 pm • MARQ

Chicago Cubs

63-45

1 - 7

Milwaukee Brewers

64-44

pitcher		team	era	w-l
F.Peralta			3.68	11-9
K.Hendricks			5.92	4-12

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Cubs 63-45	+1.5-130	o7.5-108	+164
Brewers 64-44	-1.5+109	u7.5-112	-199

Sunday 6:10 p.m.

June 30, 2024

American Family FieldMilwaukee

K.Hendricks u16.5 Outs-135

0.74u

F.Peralta u17.5 Outs+110

He’s under in 10/16, including 5/L6, 6/7 at home and 2/2 vs CHC. To finish 6 innings, he really needs to allow very few baserunners, because he’s got the 4th highest pitches per PA (4.18), and the 10th lowest strike% of 61.4% (out of 121 qualifiers). Love the matchup for the under vs the Cubs who see the 6th most pitches per PA, and the 7th lowest chase rate over the L30. Bats are coming around too with a 116 wRC+ and .750 OPS over the L14 vs righties (with a strong 10.4% walk rate).

MIL -163

0.61u

Featured Insight
Opponents are hitting just .176 (15-for-85) against Cubs RPs with RISP this month -- best in MLB. The Brewers are batting just .221 with RISP this month -- fourth worst in MLB.

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Featured Insight
The Brewers have scored 1.4 runs per game in close and late situations this season -- second highest in MLB (51 games). The Cubs have allowed 1.4 runs per game in close and late situations this season -- fifth highest in MLB (54 games).

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The Cubs are just 28-4 (.875) when leading entering the 9th inning this season -- 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .942.

Michael Busch has struck out in 34% of PA's this season -- sixth highest in MLB-- third Percentile. Freddy Peralta has a strikeout rate of 32% vs left-handed batters this season -- third highest among qualified SPs-- 96th Percentile.

Christopher Morel has struck out in 27% of PA's since last season -- tied for 14th highest in MLB-- 11th Percentile. Freddy Peralta has a strikeout rate of 34% vs right-handed batters since last season -- third highest among starting pitchers with at least 96 total IP-- 98th Percentile.

Kyle Hendricks has allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 85.4 MPH since last season (640 balls in play) -- best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 96 total IP; League Avg: 89.2

No props found

MLB Public Betting

Brewers are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Brewers are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Brewers are 32-20 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 4 of Brewers' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 24 of Brewers' 56 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Brewers	60-48	28-28	32-20	23-29	36-19
Cubs	53-55	25-27	28-28	39-35	14-20

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Brewers	47-58-3	24-31-1	23-27-2	24-27-1	23-30-2
Cubs	56-47-5	28-22-2	28-25-3	37-34-3	19-13-2

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Brewers	64-44	36-20	28-24	33-19	30-25
Cubs	63-45	33-19	30-26	50-24	13-21

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Jun 29th	CHC	L 3-5	+1.5 L	U 8	CHC -120
Jun 29th	CHC	W 4-2	-1.5 W	U 8.5	MIL -130
Jun 26th	TEX	W 6-5	+1.5 W	O 8.5	MIL +100
Jun 26th	TEX	W 3-1	+1.5 W	U 9	MIL -110
Jun 25th	TEX	W 6-3	-1.5 W	O 8	MIL -180

Jordan Montgomery
SP
Montgomery is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Rhys Hoskins
1B
Hoskins is out with thumb
Out
Easton McGee
SP
McGee is out with arm
Out
Garrett Mitchell
CF
Mitchell is out with oblique
Out
Aaron Ashby
RP
Ashby is out with oblique
Out
Robert Gasser
SP
Gasser is out with elbow
Out

Jameson Taillon
SP
Taillon is out with calf
Out
Justin Steele
SP
Steele is out for season with elbow
Out for Season

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RK.Hendricks, P	68	3.2	3	7
RJ.Lopez, P	19	1.1	0	0
LD.Smyly, P	39	2	1	0
RE.Roberts, P	25	1	2	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1N.Hoerner, 2B	1-4	1	1	1
2M.Busch, 1B	0-3	0	0	0
3C.Bellinger, DH	1-4	0	0	0
4S.Suzuki, RF	0-4	0	0	0
5I.Happ, LF	0-2	0	0	0
5M.Mastrobuoni, PH	0-1	0	0	0
6C.Morel, 3B	0-3	0	0	0
7D.Swanson, SS	0-3	0	0	0
8P.Crow-Armstrong, CF	0-3	0	0	0
9M.Amaya, C	0-2	0	0	0

PITCHER		PC	IP	K	ER
RF.Peralta, P		103	7	8	1
RJ.Junis, P		28	2	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1B.Turang, 2B	2-5	1	1	4
2W.Contreras, C	1-4	1	0	0
3C.Yelich, LF	2-4	1	1	2
4W.Adames, SS	0-4	0	0	0
5J.Bauers, 1B	1-3	1	0	0
6R.Hoskins, DH	1-3	1	0	0
7S.Frelick, CF	1-3	1	0	1
8J.Chourio, RF	1-3	1	0	0
9A.Monasterio, 3B	1-4	0	0	0