Cubs vs. Brewers Odds & Betting Predictions - June 29, 2024

Cubs at Brewers

12:10 am • MARQ

Chicago Cubs

14-10

2 - 4

Milwaukee Brewers

12-11

pitcher		team	era	w-l
C.Rea			4.29	12-6
J.Taillon			3.27	12-8

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Cubs 14-10	+1.5	+1.5-185	o8.5-115	+110
Brewers 12-11	u8	-1.5+154	u8.5-105	-130

Saturday 12:10 a.m.

June 29, 2024

American Family FieldMilwaukee

C.Yelich o1.5 Total Bases+110

MIL -135

C.Rea u4.5 Ks-120

1.2u

J.Taillon u17.5 Outs-115

C.Rea u4.5 Ks-110

1.1u

J.Taillon o5.5 Hits Allowed+100

Over in 8/11 since being fully stretched out - allowing slightly more than a hit per inning dating back to last season. Brewers hitting .251 at home vs righties this season (.261 over the L30). Taillon with the 15th highest zone% of 140 pitchers with 50+ innings - not too worried about the Brewers strong walk rate.

CHC +115 (F5)

0.5u

Bet to +106

Featured Insight
Opponents are hitting just .179 (14-for-78) against Cubs RPs with RISP this month -- fourth best in MLB. The Brewers are batting just .215 with RISP this month -- third worst in MLB.

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Featured Insight
Brewers have allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 21% of their games this month -- lowest in MLB. The Cubs have scored in at least three different innings in just 26% of their games this month -- fourth lowest in MLB.

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The Cubs are just 28-4 (.875) when leading entering the 9th inning this season -- 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .942.

Christian Yelich is batting .636 on the first pitch of at-bats this season -- second best among hitters with at least 117 total PA's-- 99th Percentile. Jameson Taillon has a strike rate of 70% on the first pitch of at-bats this season -- seventh highest among starting pitchers with at least 31 total IP-- 94th Percentile.

38% of Christopher Morel strikeouts are looking this season -- ninth highest in MLB-- 95th Percentile. 33% of Colin Rea strikeouts are looking this season -- seventh highest among qualified SPs-- 92nd Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Brewers are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Brewers are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
Brewers are 4-6 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 1 of Brewers' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 5 of Brewers' 13 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Brewers	12-11	8-5	4-6	9-5	2-6
Cubs	13-11	6-5	7-6	7-4	6-7

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Brewers	8-13-2	5-7-1	3-6-1	5-8-1	3-4-1
Cubs	15-8-1	8-3	7-5-1	8-3	7-5-1

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Brewers	12-11	9-4	3-7	10-4	1-7
Cubs	14-10	6-5	8-5	8-3	6-7

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Jun 26th	TEX	W 6-5	+1.5 W	O 8.5	MIL +100
Jun 26th	TEX	W 3-1	+1.5 W	U 9	MIL -110
Jun 25th	TEX	W 6-3	-1.5 W	O 8	MIL -180
Jun 23rd	@SD	W 6-2	+1.5 W	O 7.5	MIL +119
Jun 22nd	@SD	L 4-6	-1.5 L	O 8.5	SD -120

Brandon Woodruff
P
Woodruff is out with shoulder
Out
Blake Perkins
OF
Perkins is out with leg
Out
Tobias Myers
P
Myers is out with oblique
Out
Aaron Ashby
P
Ashby is out with oblique
Out
Robert Gasser
P
Gasser is out with elbow
Out

Justin Steele
P
Steele is out for season with elbow
Out for Season

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RJ.Taillon, P	90	6	5	3
RJ.Lopez, P	13	1	0	0
RC.Brewer, P	11	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1N.Hoerner, 2B	1-3	0	0	0
2M.Busch, 1B	0-2	0	0	0
2P.Wisdom, PH	0-1	0	0	0
2T.Nido, C	0-0	0	0	0
3C.Bellinger, RF	0-4	0	0	0
3C.Bellinger, 1B	0-4	0	0	0
4S.Suzuki, DH	1-4	1	1	1
5I.Happ, LF	1-3	1	0	0
6C.Morel, 3B	0-3	0	0	0
7D.Swanson, SS	1-3	0	0	1
8P.Crow-Armstrong, CF	0-4	0	0	0
9M.Amaya, C	0-2	0	0	0
9M.Mastrobuoni, PH	1-1	0	0	0
9M.Mastrobuoni, RF	1-1	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RC.Rea, P	97	5.1	8	2
RE.Peguero, P	29	1.1	2	0
LJ.Koenig, P	18	1.1	3	0
RT.Megill, P	11	1	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1B.Turang, 2B	1-4	0	0	0
2W.Contreras, C	0-3	0	0	0
3C.Yelich, DH	0-4	1	0	0
4W.Adames, SS	0-4	0	0	0
5S.Frelick, RF	0-2	1	0	0
6R.Hoskins, 1B	1-3	1	0	0
7J.Chourio, LF	2-3	1	1	4
8B.Perkins, CF	0-3	0	0	0
9A.Monasterio, 3B	1-3	0	0	0