Cubs vs. Diamondbacks Odds & Betting Predictions - March 29, 2025

Cubs at Diamondbacks

1:40 am • ARID

Chicago Cubs

81-61

1 - 8

Arizona Diamondbacks

72-71

pitcher		team	era	w-l
M.Kelly			2.98	2-1
J.Taillon			4.15	9-6

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Cubs 81-61	+1.5	+1.5-175	o9-108	+122
Diamondbacks 72-71	u8.5	-1.5+145	u9-113	-144

Saturday 1:40 a.m.

March 29, 2025

Chase FieldPhoenix

CHC +137

C.Carroll o1.5 Total Bases+100

E.Suarez o1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs-105

0.95u

CHC +130

#BQ

ARI -135

0.74u

Taillon's road struggles are real – 4.46 ERA away last season vs. 2.95 at home. Kelly strong at Chase Field – 2.59 ERA at home in ‘23. D-backs ranked top 5 in HardHit% and xBA last season, lineup stacked with power. Arizona 13-6 in Kelly’s last 19 home starts. Cubs’ bullpen already shaky – 6.00 ERA through 3 games, opponents hitting .293. D-backs got to the pen early in G1 and still dropped 6 runs. Suarez, Gurriel, Moreno all OPS’d .800+ vs RHP in ‘24. Arizona offense showed flashes despite Gallen's off night. Kelly dominates early in seasons – career 2.61 ERA in March/April. Cubs coming off jetlag series in Tokyo, legs looked slow despite G1 win. D-backs need a bounce-back and have their stopper on the mound. Taillon prone to barrels, especially vs LHB.

ARI -145

0.69u

M.Kelly o4.5 Ks+100

Have Kelly projected at 5.04 strikeouts. Gets a boost at home, and there's potential for his strikeout rate to rebound a bit after an injury-shortened season.

CHC +120

Under 8.5+102

0.5u

Bet to -108

J.Taillon o3.5 Ks+106

0.5u

3% ev pinny line at -115

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MLB Public Betting

Diamondbacks are 4-1 in their last 5 games.
Diamondbacks are 4-1 in their last 5 games against the spread
Diamondbacks are 38-33 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Diamondbacks' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 34 of Diamondbacks' 71 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Diamondbacks	73-69	35-36	38-33	34-48	38-21
Cubs	65-77	33-38	32-39	48-55	17-22

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Diamondbacks	69-68-5	34-33-4	35-35-1	40-38-4	29-29-1
Cubs	64-70-8	32-35-4	32-35-4	44-53-6	20-17-2

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Diamondbacks	72-71	38-33	34-37	42-40	29-30
Cubs	81-61	44-27	37-34	65-38	16-23

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Mar 28th	CHC	L 6-10	-	O 8.5	CHC -125
Mar 25th	CLE	L 2-3	-1.5 L	U 9	CLE -170
Mar 25th	CLE	L 3-4	-1.5 L	U 8.5	CLE -152
Mar 23rd	SD	W 5-5	-	-	-
Mar 23rd	@CWS	W 8-4	-	-	-

James McCann
C
James McCann has been scratched Friday.
Out
John Curtiss
RP
Curtiss is out with elbow
Out

Michael Soroka
SP
Soroka is out with shoulder
Out
Justin Steele
SP
Steele is out for season with elbow
Out for Season

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RJ.Taillon, P	80	4.1	1	6
RE.Morgan, P	23	1.2	3	0
RB.Keller, P	46	2	3	2

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1I.Happ, LF	0-3	0	0
2K.Tucker, RF	0-3	0	0
3S.Suzuki, DH	1-4	0	0
4M.Busch, 1B	0-4	0	0
5D.Swanson, SS	1-3	1	0
6N.Hoerner, 2B	0-4	0	0
7P.Crow-Armstrong, CF	1-3	0	1
8M.Shaw, 3B	0-4	0	0
9C.Kelly, C	0-3	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RM.Kelly, P	85	5.1	1	1
RR.Thompson, P	3	0.2	0	0
LJ.Mantiply, P	10	1	1	0
RS.Miller, P	17	2	3	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1C.Carroll, RF	0-4	0	0	0
2K.Marte, 2B	2-5	1	0	0
3L.Gurriel, LF	2-5	2	0	0
4J.Naylor, 1B	1-4	0	0	1
5P.Smith, DH	3-4	2	0	1
6E.Suarez, 3B	2-4	2	2	4
7A.Thomas, CF	3-4	1	0	1
8G.Perdomo, SS	1-4	0	0	1
9J.Herrera, C	0-3	0	0	0