Diamondbacks vs. Cubs Odds & Betting Predictions - May 3, 2026

Diamondbacks at Cubs

6:20 pm • MARQ
4 - 8
Starting Pitchers
pitcherteameraw-l
Matthew Boyd logoM.BoydChicago Cubs logo6.002-1
Merrill Kelly logoM.KellyArizona Diamondbacks logo5.714-3

Diamondbacks at Cubs Odds

Spread, Total, Moneyline

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Diamondbacks
29-24
+1.5
+1.5-136
o11.5-121
+131
Cubs
29-25
u11.5
-1.5+115
u11.5+100
-157
location pinSunday 6:20 p.m.
May 03, 2026
Wrigley FieldChicago
Diamondbacks vs. Cubs Expert Picks
Picks Office
Picks Office
Last 30d: 154-151-12 (-5.8u)
CHC -1-115
0.87u
Join Discord for earlier access: https://discord.gg/HjKxYKdSUy Kelly enters with a 9.20 ERA, 2.25 WHIP, 12 walks, and 5 homers allowed in 14.2 innings. Boyd's ERA is not pretty, but 26 strikeouts to 5 walks gives Chicago the cleaner starter profile. Every Cubs win in their last 10 cleared by 2+ runs, and every Arizona loss in that same window came by 2+.
Over 11.5-115
0.87u
Join Discord for earlier access: https://discord.gg/HjKxYKdSUy Wrigley has 20.8 mph wind and the total is already sitting at 11.5. Kelly enters with a 9.20 ERA and 2.25 WHIP, while Boyd is at 7.00. Arizona just scored 18 runs in a doubleheader, so this is built for traffic early.
Wags Wins
Wags Wins
Last 30d: 212-289-5 (-100.1u)
Over 11.5-115
1.09u
Brandon Kravitz
Brandon Kravitz
Last 30d: 71-92-2 (-16.9u)
Over 11.5+104
1.04u
Frank Ammirante
Frank Ammirante
Last 30d: 232-255-10 (-12.8u)
C.Carroll o0.5 HR+429
0.1u
Sandy Plashkes
Sandy Plashkes
Last 30d: 105-110-2 (-11.7u)
ARI +138
1u
Frank Ammirante
Frank Ammirante
Last 30d: 232-255-10 (-12.8u)
Over 12-105
1.05u
Cam Is Money
Cam Is Money
Last 30d: 75-98-3 (-28.3u)
I.Happ To Hit 1+ Home Runs Yes+475
0.5u
M.Busch To Hit 1+ Home Runs Yes+475
0.5u
C.Carroll To Hit 1+ Home Runs Yes+525
0.5u
Ryan Minion
Ryan Minion
Last 30d: 334-370-16 (-9.0u)
K.Marte o1.5 Total Bases-135
$1.35
Grant Neiffer
Grant Neiffer
Last 30d: 27-111-7 (+2.4u)
I.Happ o0.5 HR+450
0.25u
C.Carroll o0.5 HR+550
0.25u
M.Ballesteros o0.5 HR+425
1.06u
K.Marte o0.5 HR+300
0.25u
Sean Zerillo
Sean Zerillo
Last 30d: 175-144-11 (+6.6u)
Under 12-110
0.55u
Bet to 11.5 (-115)

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Prop Odds Comparison

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Diamondbacks vs. Cubs Public Betting Percentages

Away Logo

Diamondbacks

Public

14%

Bets%

86%

Money%

Matchup History

Against the Spread (ATS) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
Cubs
21-3212-179-1514-217-11
Diamondbacks
31-2117-1114-1014-1016-11

Over/Under History

overallhome o/uaway o/ufavorite o/uunderdog o/u
Cubs
29-2415-1414-1018-1711-7
Diamondbacks
26-24-212-15-114-9-110-13-115-11-1

Straight-Up (ML) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
Cubs
29-2418-1111-1321-148-10
Diamondbacks
28-2418-1010-1416-811-16

Last 5 Matchups

dateopponentscorespreadover/undermoneyline
May 2ndARIW 2-0-1.5 WU 7CHC -170
May 1stARIW 6-5-1.5 LO 7CHC -149
Apr 29th@SDW 5-4-1.5 LO 8.5CHC -104
Apr 29th@SDW 8-3-1.5 WO 8.5CHC -121
Apr 28th@SDL 7-9-1.5 LO 7.5SD +100

Diamondbacks vs. Cubs Injury Updates

Diamondbacks Injuries

  • Corbin Burnes
    P

    Burnes is out with elbow

    Out

  • Blake Walston
    P

    Walston is out with elbow

    Out

  • Tyler Locklear
    IF

    Locklear is out with elbow

    Out

  • Cristian Mena
    P

    Mena is doubtful with shoulder

    Doubtful

Cubs Injuries

  • Tyler Austin
    IF

    Austin is out with knee

    Out

  • Justin Steele
    P

    Steele is out with elbow

    Out

Diamondbacks vs. Cubs Box Score
Diamondbacks Player Stats
Projected
PITCHERPCIPKER
Merrill Kelly logoRM.Kelly, P924.156
Ryan Thompson logoRR.Thompson, P40.200
Brandon Pfaadt logoRB.Pfaadt, P522.112
Paul Sewald logoRP.Sewald, P80.220
HITTERSH-ABRHRRBI
Ketel Marte logo1K.Marte, 2B0-5000
Geraldo Perdomo logo2G.Perdomo, SS1-4000
Corbin Carroll logo3C.Carroll, RF0-3000
Ildemaro Vargas logo4I.Vargas, 1B1-4000
Nolan Arenado logo5N.Arenado, 3B1-4100
Lourdes Gurriel logo6L.Gurriel, LF2-3100
Gabriel Moreno logo7G.Moreno, C1-4112
Jose Fernandez logo8J.Fernandez, DH0-3000
Jorge Barrosa logo9J.Barrosa, CF0-2000
Adrian Del Castillo logo9A.Del Castillo, PH1-1112
Cubs Player Stats
Projected
PITCHERPCIPKER
Matthew Boyd logoLM.Boyd, P94652
Phil Maton logoRP.Maton, P25110
Hoby Milner logoLH.Milner, P15100
Corbin Martin logoRC.Martin, P26122
HITTERSH-ABRHRRBI
Nico Hoerner logo1N.Hoerner, 2B2-5100
Moises Ballesteros logo2M.Ballesteros, DH2-4212
Alex Bregman logo3A.Bregman, 3B0-4100
Ian Happ logo4I.Happ, LF1-3200
Seiya Suzuki logo5S.Suzuki, RF2-5100
Michael Busch logo6M.Busch, 1B2-3104
Carson Kelly logo7C.Kelly, C2-4002
Pete Crow-Armstrong logo8P.Crow-Armstrong, CF1-4000
Dansby Swanson logo9D.Swanson, SS0-3000

Diamondbacks vs. Cubs Odds Comparison

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Diamondbacks at Cubs Team Totals

MatchupOverUnder
Diamondbacks
29-24
N/A
N/A
Cubs
29-25
N/A
N/A