Dodgers vs. Braves Odds & Betting Predictions - May 22, 2023

Dodgers at Braves

11:20 pm • BSSO

Los Angeles Dodgers

11-4

8 - 6

Atlanta Braves

0-0

pitcher		team	era	w-l
C.Morton			3.64	14-12
G.Stone			9.00	1-1

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Dodgers 11-4	+1.5-160	o9.5+100	+130
Braves 0-0	-1.5+130	u9.5-120	-156

Monday 11:20 p.m.

May 22, 2023

Truist ParkAtlanta

C.Morton u6.5 Ks-145

Morton leans heavily on his filthy knuckle curve (46% of his pitches) and his 46% chase contact rate is 6th best among qualified starters. The Dodgers will be a tougher matchup for him considering they rank 4th in pitch value/100 against curveballs and chase pitches outside of the zone at the lowest rate in the league. #8 hitter James Outman is an issue as I have his projected K odds in his first PA at 43%. However, I only give Morton a 35% chance to face him a 3rd time which is huge for this prop. Projecting this closer to -185

LAD +128

1.41u

LAD +135 (F5)

$1.35

LAD +0.5 (F5)-110

0.91u

LAD +135 (F5)

0.68u

Bet to +118

Under 9+100

0.5u

LAD +125

$1.25

LAD +125

0.63u

Bet to +121

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The Braves are 6-3 (.667) when their opponents score in the first inning this season -- tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .401.

No props found

MLB Public Betting

Braves are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Braves are 1-4 in their last 5 games against the spread
Braves are 40-40 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 1 of Braves' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 33 of Braves' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Braves	72-89	32-49	40-40	44-61	27-27
Dodgers	73-89	37-44	36-45	61-82	12-7

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Braves	72-80-9	33-45-3	39-35-6	46-54-5	25-25-4
Dodgers	74-80-8	40-35-6	34-45-2	64-71-8	10-9

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Braves	76-86	39-42	36-44	55-50	19-35
Dodgers	93-69	52-29	41-40	83-60	10-9

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
May 21st	SEA	W 3-2	-1.5 L	U 9.5	ATL -115
May 20th	SEA	L 3-7	-1.5 L	O 9.5	SEA -132
May 19th	SEA	W 6-2	-1.5 W	U 8.5	ATL -151
May 18th	@TEX	W 6-5	-1.5 L	O 7.5	ATL -150
May 17th	@TEX	L 4-7	-1.5 L	O 9.5	TEX -110

Joe Jimenez
RP
Jimenez is out with knee
Out
Austin Riley
3B
Riley is out with abdominal
Out
Austin Cox
RP
Cox is out with knee
Out
Alek Manoah
SP
Manoah is out with elbow
Out
AJ Smith-Shawver
SP
Smith-Shawver is out for season with elbow
Out for Season

Michael Kopech
RP
Kopech is out with arm
Out
Michael Grove
RP
Grove is out with shoulder
Out
River Ryan
SP
Ryan is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Gavin Stone
SP
Stone is out for season with shoulder
Out for Season
Roki Sasaki
SP
Sasaki is out with shoulder
Out

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RG.Stone, P	79	4	1	5
RE.Phillips, P	15	1	0	0
LC.Ferguson, P	9	1	1	0
RY.Almonte, P	13	1	1	0
RP.Bickford, P	18	0.2	2	1
RB.Graterol, P	17	1.1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1M.Betts, RF	1-4	1	0	1
2F.Freeman, 1B	3-5	2	1	3
3W.Smith, C	0-5	0	0	0
4M.Muncy, 3B	1-5	0	0	1
5J.Martinez, DH	4-5	3	2	2
6D.Peralta, LF	1-3	0	0	1
6C.Taylor, PH	0-1	0	0	0
6C.Taylor, LF	0-1	0	0	0
7M.Vargas, 2B	0-3	0	0	0
8J.Outman, CF	0-3	0	0	0
9M.Rojas, SS	2-4	2	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RC.Morton, P	99	5	5	6
RJ.Jimenez, P	15	0.2	1	1
LA.Minter, P	29	1.1	2	1
RK.Yates, P	15	1	1	0
LL. Luetge, P	19	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1R.Acuna, RF	1-4	2	0	0
2M.Olson, 1B	0-4	0	0	0
3S.Murphy, C	1-4	1	0	2
4A.Riley, 3B	1-2	1	0	0
5E.Rosario, LF	2-4	2	1	3
6O.Albies, 2B	0-4	0	0	0
7M.Ozuna, DH	2-3	0	0	1
8O.Arcia, SS	2-4	0	0	0
9M.Harris, CF	0-4	0	0	0