Guardians vs Twins Odds: Moneyline, Over/Under, Props - July 9, 2026

Guardians at Twins

5:40 pm • CLEG

Cleveland Guardians

Minnesota Twins

pitcher		team	era	w-l
B.Ober			4.59	6-3
G.Williams			3.89	9-4

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Guardians 47-46	-1.5	-1.5+135	o8.5-115	-120
Twins 46-47	u8.5	+1.5-162	u8.5-105	+100

Thursday 5:40 p.m.

July 09, 2026

Target FieldMinneapolis

81°Fahrenheit

0%Rain

2Wind

B.Ober o15.5 Outs+160

THE BAT X is forecasting 16.65 pitching outs for Bailey Ober. Oddsmakers are implying 14.60 pitching outs, so I believe there is value here. If you take the over, you'd be projected to win 58% of the time resulting in a 50% ROI with expected value of $50.36 (based on a $100 wager). This play is good down to at least -111. Love THE BAT X? Get all of Carty's sports betting projections at EV Analytics https://evanalytics.com/subscribe/mlb?ref=zdlkmgz

G.Williams o17.5 Outs-114

0.57u

G.Williams o5.5 Ks-155

1.55u

B.Ober o15.5 Outs+121

0.83u

Over 8.5-107

1.07u

MIN +114

Over 8.5-114

1.14u

(DK) Thursday's Leadoff (Bet through 9, but drop to 0.5u at 9)

Guardians vs Twins: Projected Edge for Both Lineups
Matt Trollo•
Jul 9, 2026 UTC
The Leadoff: Trollo's MLB Breakdown and Bets for Thursday
Matt Trollo•
Jul 9, 2026 UTC
Opening Pitch: Zerillo’s MLB Projections for Thursday
Sean Zerillo•
Jul 8, 2026 UTC

See more MLB Coverage

No props found

MLB Public Betting

Twins are 4-1 in their last 5 games.
Twins are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
Twins are 25-21 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Twins' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 24 of Twins' 47 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Twins	49-44	24-23	25-21	11-17	37-26
Guardians	47-46	23-23	24-23	21-29	26-14

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Twins	54-33-6	24-19-4	30-14-2	16-11-1	37-21-5
Guardians	45-48	23-23	22-25	26-24	18-22

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Twins	46-47	24-23	22-24	15-13	30-33
Guardians	47-46	24-22	23-24	27-23	20-20

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Jul 8th	CLE	W 6-5	-1.5 L	O 8.5	MIN -127
Jul 7th	CLE	W 3-1	+1.5 W	U 8.5	MIN -110
Jul 5th	@NYY	W 6-1	+1.5 W	U 8	MIN +114
Jul 4th	@NYY	W 11-4	+1.5 W	O 10.5	MIN +125
Jul 3rd	@NYY	L 2-5	+1.5 L	U 9.5	NYY +197

Pablo Lopez
SP
Lopez is out with elbow
Out
David Festa
SP
Festa is out with shoulder
Out
Travis Adams
SP
Adams is out with triceps
Out

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER		W-L	ERA	WHIP	K/9
RG.Williams, P		9-4	3.89	1.185	10.41

HITTERS	AVG	OBP	SLG	HR
1T.Bazzana, 2B	.246	.338	.404	7
2B.Rocchio, SS	.272	.343	.399	7
3C.DeLauter, DH	.279	.346	.428	8
4K.Manzardo, 1B	.219	.311	.371	10
5K.Watson, RF	.222	.258	.317	1
6G.Arias, 3B	.213	.259	.388	4
7D.Schneemann, CF	.211	.280	.332	6
8P.Bailey, C	.209	.250	.314	1
9S.Kwan, LF	.221	.329	.277	1

PITCHER		W-L	ERA	WHIP	K/9
RB.Ober, P		6-3	4.59	1.215	6.21

HITTERS	AVG	OBP	SLG	HR
1T.Larnach, LF	.286	.380	.437	6
2B.Lee, 3B	.252	.308	.432	14
3K.Clemens, 2B	.255	.316	.507	16
4J.Bell, DH	.250	.309	.430	13
5R.Lewis, 1B	.210	.290	.369	8
6A.Roden, RF	.400	.400	.400	0
7L.Keaschall, CF	.257	.345	.351	4
8T.Gray, SS	.226	.267	.333	4
9A.Jackson, C	.314	.340	.431	1