Mariners vs. Twins Odds & Betting Predictions - May 8, 2024

Mariners at Twins

11:40 pm • ROOT Sports NW

Seattle Mariners

0-0

3 - 6

Minnesota Twins

0-0

pitcher		team	era	w-l
C.Paddack			4.99	5-3
G.Kirby			3.53	14-11

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Mariners 0-0	-1.5+154	o7.5-119	-108
Twins 0-0	+1.5-185	u7.5-102	-111

Wednesday 11:40 p.m.

May 08, 2024

Target FieldMinneapolis

C.Paddack u17.5 Outs-120

Mariners bats are starting to get hot - 101 wRC+ over the last week after a 10 run output last night. They continue to work long counts (4.04 pitches per PA is second most) and should be able to get Paddack to the third time of the order quickly. Paddack is coming off a strong start, but is under this line in 4/6, and he’s starting on 4 days rest for only the second time this season.

SEA -110

1.1u

Under 7.5+105

… windy unders Overall: 917-661-82,58% (ROI:12%) Season:13-3-1,81% (ROI:52%)

Under 3.5 (F5)+105

0.5u

MIN -105

MIN +104

0.52u

Under 7.5-105

0.53u

Bet to -118 or 7 (+100)

Under 4.5 (F5)-135

0.5u

Flat to -150 or 4 (-110)

MIN +105

0.53u

Bet to -103

SEA -118 (F5)

1.18u

Featured Insight
Mariners RPs have a strikeout rate of 26% since last season -- second highest in MLB. Twins have struck out 26% since last season -- second highest in MLB.

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Featured Insight
Twins have a strikeout rate of 26% since last season -- highest in MLB. Mariners have struck out 26% since last season -- highest in MLB.

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Opening Pitch: Zerillo's MLB Bets for Wednesday Night
Sean Zerillo•
May 8, 2024 UTC

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The Twins are 77-14 (.846) when scoring 5 or more runs since the 2023 season -- 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .787.

Cal Raleigh has struck out in 29% of PA's since last season -- ninth highest in MLB-- sixth Percentile. Jhoan Duran has a strikeout rate of 34% since last season -- 12th highest among qualified RPs-- 94th Percentile.

Chris Paddack has a strikeout rate of just 13% (6 SO in 45 PAs) on low non-fastballs this season -- lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 13 total IP; League Avg: 33% -- 0 Percentile.

Chris Paddack has allowed a slugging percentage of .550 (22 Total Bases / 40 ABs) on low non-fastballs this season -- 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 13 total IP; League Avg: .298 -- third Percentile.

George Kirby has struck out 52% (11/21) of left-handed batters he faced -- best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 22% -- 100th Percentile.

George Kirby's has 15 strikeouts and no walks against right-handed batters this season -- best K:BB ratio among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 3.3 -- 100th Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Twins are 1-4 in their last 5 games.
Twins are 1-4 in their last 5 games against the spread
Twins are 36-45 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 4 of Twins' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 43 of Twins' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Twins	69-93	33-48	36-45	46-66	22-26
Mariners	74-88	38-43	36-45	47-62	26-26

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Twins	83-73-6	43-33-5	40-40-1	63-43-6	18-30
Mariners	76-76-10	31-45-5	45-31-5	50-55-4	25-21-6

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Twins	82-80	43-38	39-42	63-49	18-30
Mariners	85-77	49-32	36-45	62-47	23-29

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
May 7th	SEA	L 6-10	-1.5 L	O 8	SEA -165
May 6th	SEA	W 3-1	+1.5 W	U 8	MIN +108
May 5th	BOS	L 2-9	-1.5 L	O 7.5	BOS -190
May 4th	BOS	W 3-1	-1.5 W	U 7.5	MIN -180
May 4th	BOS	W 5-2	+1.5 W	U 7.5	MIN -123

Jose Miranda
IF
Jose Miranda (back) has been scratched Thursday.
Out
Trevor Larnach
OF
Larnach is out with hamstring
Out
Joe Ryan
P
Ryan is out with triceps
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RG.Kirby, P	70	5	4	4
LK.Snead, P	8	1	1	0
RT.Thornton, P	19	1	2	0
RC.Bolton, P	19	1	2	2

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1J.Rojas, 3B	2-5	0	0	0
1J.Rojas, LF	2-5	0	0	0
2J.Rodriguez, CF	3-5	1	0	0
3J.Polanco, 2B	1-5	0	0	0
4M.Haniger, RF	0-3	1	0	0
5C.Raleigh, C	1-4	0	0	2
6M.Garver, DH	2-3	1	1	1
7T.France, 1B	0-4	0	0	0
8L.Raley, LF	1-2	0	0	0
8L.Urias, PH	0-2	0	0	0
8L.Urias, 3B	0-2	0	0	0
9D.Moore, SS	0-4	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RC.Paddack, P	99	5.1	10	1
LC.Thielbar, P	14	1	2	1
RG.Jax, P	26	1.2	0	1
RJ.Duran, P	18	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1E.Julien, 2B	1-4	1	0	0
2C.Correa, SS	1-4	1	1	1
3T.Larnach, DH	1-2	1	1	1
3R.Jeffers, PH	1-2	1	0	1
3R.Jeffers, DH	1-2	1	0	1
4M.Kepler, RF	1-4	0	0	1
5J.Miranda, 3B	0-3	1	0	0
5K.Farmer, 3B	0-0	0	0	0
6A.Kirilloff, 1B	0-3	0	0	0
6C.Santana, 1B	0-0	0	0	0
7W.Castro, CF	2-3	1	1	2
8C.Vazquez, C	0-3	0	0	0
9M.Margot, LF	0-3	0	0	0