Marlins vs. Brewers Odds & Betting Predictions - July 27, 2024

Marlins at Brewers

12:10 am • BSWI

Miami Marlins

9-12

6 - 2

Milwaukee Brewers

12-10

pitcher		team	era	w-l
F.Peralta			3.68	11-9
T.Rogers			7.11	0-2

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Marlins 9-12	+1.5-105	o7.5+100	+195
Brewers 12-10	-1.5-115	u7.5-120	-238

Saturday 12:10 a.m.

July 27, 2024

American Family FieldMilwaukee

W.Contreras o1.5 Total Bases+115

1.15u

MIL -1.5-107

1.07u

Under 7.5-105

$1500.00

T.Rogers u4.5 Ks+100

0.75u

Projection lands at 4.06 and a +ev pick giving us value at this number

Under 8-115

0.5u

Flat to -115 or bett

Featured Insight
Marlins RPs have a strikeout rate of 49% vs left-handed batters over the last two weeks -- highest in MLB. Brewers left-handed hitters have struck out 28% against RHP over the last two weeks -- fourth highest in MLB.

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Featured Insight
Brewers have a strikeout rate of 28% vs left-handed batters over the last two weeks -- highest in MLB. Marlins left-handed hitters have struck out 29% against RHP over the last two weeks -- second highest in MLB.

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The Marlins are just 9-24 (.273) after a win as underdogs this season -- tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .418.

Jake Burger has struck out in 27% of PA's since last season -- 14th highest in MLB-- 11th Percentile. Freddy Peralta has a strikeout rate of 34% vs right-handed batters since last season -- tied for second highest among starting pitchers with at least 105 total IP-- 99th Percentile.

Willy Adames has struck out in 25% of PA's since the 2022 season -- 13th highest in MLB-- 12th Percentile. Tanner Scott has a strikeout rate of 32% since the 2022 season -- 15th highest among qualified RPs-- 91st Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Brewers are 4-1 in their last 5 games.
Brewers are 4-1 in their last 5 games against the spread
Brewers are 4-5 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 1 of Brewers' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 5 of Brewers' 13 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Brewers	12-10	8-5	4-5	9-5	2-5
Marlins	10-11	6-7	4-4	0-2	10-9

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Brewers	8-12-2	5-7-1	3-5-1	5-8-1	3-3-1
Marlins	14-7	9-4	5-3	1-1	13-6

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Brewers	12-10	9-4	3-6	10-4	1-6
Marlins	9-12	6-7	3-5	2-0	7-12

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Jul 24th	@CHC	W 3-2	+1.5 W	U 7	MIL +124
Jul 24th	@CHC	W 1-0	-1.5 L	U 8.5	MIL -109
Jul 23rd	@CHC	L 1-3	-1.5 L	U 8.5	CHC -120
Jul 21st	@MIN	W 8-7	+1.5 W	O 7.5	MIL +136
Jul 20th	@MIN	W 8-4	+1.5 W	O 7.5	MIL +105

Brandon Woodruff
P
Woodruff is out with shoulder
Out
Blake Perkins
OF
Perkins is out with leg
Out
Tobias Myers
P
Myers is out with oblique
Out
Aaron Ashby
P
Ashby is out with oblique
Out
Robert Gasser
P
Gasser is out with elbow
Out

Braxton Garrett
P
Garrett is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Ryan Weathers
P
Weathers is out with arm
Out
Eury Perez
P
Perez is out with elbow
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LT.Rogers, P	93	5.1	1	2
RA.Bender, P	25	1.2	2	0
RH.Brazoban, P	14	1	1	0
LT.Scott, P	19	1	2	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1J.Chisholm, DH	1-3	2	0	0
2X.Edwards, SS	1-4	0	0	0
3B.De La Cruz, LF	2-5	1	1	2
4J.Bell, 1B	2-5	1	1	1
4E.Rivera, 3B	0-0	0	0	0
5J.Burger, 3B	2-5	1	1	1
5J.Burger, 1B	2-5	1	1	1
6J.Sanchez, RF	0-4	0	0	0
7O.Lopez, 2B	0-5	0	0	0
8N.Gordon, CF	1-3	0	0	0
9N.Fortes, C	2-3	1	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RF.Peralta, P	97	5.1	4	3
LH.Milner, P	28	1.2	2	0
RJ.Junk, P	28	2	4	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1J.Chourio, LF	2-4	0	0	0
2B.Turang, 2B	0-4	0	0	0
3W.Contreras, C	2-4	1	0	0
4W.Adames, SS	0-4	0	0	0
5G.Sanchez, DH	0-1	0	0	1
5G.Mitchell, PH	0-1	0	0	0
5G.Mitchell, DH	0-1	0	0	0
5E.Haase, PH	0-0	0	0	0
6J.Ortiz, 3B	0-4	0	0	0
7R.Hoskins, 1B	1-2	1	1	1
7J.Bauers, PH	0-1	0	0	0
7J.Bauers, 1B	0-1	0	0	0
7A.Monasterio, PH	0-1	0	0	0
8S.Frelick, RF	1-3	0	0	0
9B.Perkins, CF	1-3	0	0	0