Marlins vs. Mets Odds & Betting Predictions - June 11, 2024

Marlins at Mets

11:10 pm • BSFL

Miami Marlins

5-3

4 - 2

New York Mets

5-4

pitcher		team	era	w-l
T.Megill			4.04	4-5
J.Luzardo			5.00	3-6

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Marlins 5-3	+1.5-166	o7.5-105	+130
Mets 5-4	-1.5+140	u7.5-115	-155

Tuesday 11:10 p.m.

June 11, 2024

Citi FieldFlushing, Queens

T.Megill o17.5 Outs-102

J.Luzardo u5.5 Ks-170

0.5u

MIA +125

3.75u

NYM -133

NYM -135 (F5)

0.5u

Flat to -140

NYM -132

0.5u

Flat to -135

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Featured Insight
The Mets have scored 5.5 runs per game on the road this season -- highest in MLB (29 games). The Marlins have allowed 5.8 runs per game at home this season -- highest in MLB (37 games).

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The Mets are just 22-6 (.786) when leading entering the 9th inning this season -- lowest in MLB; League Avg: .940.

The Mets are just 17-10 (.630) when leading entering the 8th inning this season -- lowest in MLB; League Avg: .889.

Starling Marte is batting .414 over the last two weeks -- third best in MLB-- 99th Percentile. Right handed batters are hitting .361 (13-for-36) against Jesus Luzardo over the last two weeks -- fourth worst among starting pitchers with at least 4 total IP-- fifth Percentile.

Brandon Nimmo is batting .348 on breaking pitches from LHP since last season -- sixth best in MLB-- 95th Percentile. Jesus Luzardo has thrown his slider 29% of the time since last season -- fifth highest among qualified SPs-- 82nd Percentile.

Jesus Luzardo has allowed an OPS of .785 (369 PA's) when going through the lineup the second time in a game since last season -- 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .686 -- sixth Percentile.

Tylor Megill has allowed an OBP of .445 (137 PA's) when going through the lineup the third time in a game since last season -- highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 90 total IP; League Avg: .327 -- 0 Percentile.

Jesus Luzardo has allowed a slugging percentage of .464 (154 Total Bases / 332 ABs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game since last season -- tied for 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .394 -- 13th Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Mets are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Mets are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Mets are 3-3 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 3 of Mets' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 1 of Mets' 3 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Mets	5-4	2-1	3-3	4-4	1-0
Marlins	2-6	2-4	0-2	2-4	0-2

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Mets	4-5	1-2	3-3	3-5	1-0
Marlins	5-3	3-3	2-0	3-3	2-0

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Mets	5-4	2-1	3-3	4-4	1-0
Marlins	5-3	5-1	0-2	5-1	0-2

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Jun 9th	@PHI	W 6-5	+1.5 W	U 11.5	NYM +120
Jun 8th	PHI	L 2-7	+1.5 L	U 9.5	PHI +140
Jun 5th	@WSH	W 9-1	-1.5 W	O 9.5	NYM -142
Jun 4th	@WSH	W 6-3	-1.5 W	U 9	NYM -142
Jun 3rd	@WSH	W 8-7	-1.5 L	O 8	NYM -105

Francisco Lindor
SS
Lindor is questionable with hand
Questionable

Brett Baty
3B
Brett Baty scratched Sunday.
Out
Tylor Megill
SP
Megill is out with elbow
Out
Justin Hagenman
SP
Hagenman is out with ribs
Out

Chris Paddack
SP
Chris Paddack has been scratched Sunday. Pete Fairbanks will start for the Marlins
Out
Esteury Ruiz
LF
Ruiz is out with oblique
Out
Kyle Stowers
LF
Stowers is out with hamstring
Out
Maximo Acosta
SS
Acosta is out with oblique
Out
Christopher Morel
LF
Christopher Morel (left oblique) scratched Friday.
Out
Adam Mazur
SP
Mazur is out with elbow
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LJ.Luzardo, P	91	5.2	4	2
RA.Bender, P	14	0.2	0	0
LA.Nardi, P	13	0.2	1	0
LT.Scott, P	31	2	3	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1J.Chisholm, CF	0-3	1	0
2B.De La Cruz, DH	1-3	0	1
3J.Bell, 1B	0-3	0	0
3E.Rivera, 3B	0-0	0	0
4J.Burger, 3B	0-4	0	0
4J.Burger, 1B	0-4	0	0
5J.Sanchez, RF	1-4	1	0
6O.Lopez, 2B	1-4	1	0
7N.Gordon, LF	0-3	0	1
8T.Anderson, SS	2-4	1	1
9N.Fortes, C	0-4	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RT.Megill, P	87	4.2	8	2
LD.Young, P	15	1	1	0
RS.Reid-Foley, P	20	1.1	1	0
RD.Smith, P	9	1	2	0
RA.Ottavino, P	19	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1F.Lindor, SS	0-4	0	0
2P.Alonso, 1B	0-4	0	0
3B.Nimmo, LF	0-4	0	0
4J.Martinez, DH	0-2	1	0
5S.Marte, RF	2-4	1	0
6M.Vientos, 3B	1-4	0	2
7H.Bader, CF	0-2	0	0
7D.Stewart, PH	0-0	0	0
7T.Taylor, PR	0-1	0	0
7T.Taylor, CF	0-1	0	0
8F.Alvarez, C	0-3	0	0
9J.Iglesias, 2B	1-1	0	0
9J.McNeil, PH	0-1	0	0
9J.McNeil, 2B	0-1	0	0