Mets vs. Cubs Odds & Betting Predictions - June 21, 2024

Mets at Cubs

6:20 pm • MARQ

New York Mets

13-9

11 - 1

Chicago Cubs

10-14

pitcher		team	era	w-l
S.Imanaga			2.91	15-3
J.Quintana			3.75	10-10

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Mets 13-9	+1.5-160	o8-111	+130
Cubs 10-14	-1.5+133	u8-110	-155

Friday 6:20 p.m.

June 21, 2024

Wrigley FieldChicago

Under 8-105

1.05u

CHC -0.5 (F5)-125

1.25u

CHC -152

1.52u

NYM +135

1.35u

S.Imanaga o17.5 Outs-170

$1000.00

-170 Bet rivers Unverified pitcher prop

Over 8-105

See Mets side + Cubs third worst pen estimators L30 days, bottom 10 defense.

Over 4.5 (F5)+100

1.5u

Over 8.5-102

0.98u

S.Imanaga u6.5 Ks-150

0.67u

CHC -150 (F5)

0.5u

Flat to -155

NYM +128

3.84u

NYM +125 (F5)

NYM +136

0.68u

Not going to make an ass out of myself trying to comp Quintana to Imanaga. Even regressing the numbers it's not even close. However, Mets better def, pen estimators nearly 3/4 of a run better L30 days and OFF CHC 102/96/90 wRC+ Hm/v LHP/L7 days, NYM 121/118/146. That's every other edge favoring the Mets and not even close.

Featured Insight
Mets RPs have a strikeout rate of 29% vs left-handed batters over the last two weeks -- fourth highest in MLB. Cubs left-handed hitters have struck out 26% against RHP over the last two weeks -- fifth highest in MLB.

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The Mets are 7-3 (.700) when tied entering the 8th inning this season -- 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Cubs are just 28-4 (.875) when leading entering the 9th inning this season -- 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .941.

70% of Francisco Lindor fastball strikeouts are elevated this season -- tied for fifth highest in MLB-- 96th Percentile. 72% of Shota Imanaga fastball strikeouts are elevated this season -- fourth highest among qualified SPs-- 95th Percentile.

Michael Busch has struck out in 33% of PA's this season -- tied for sixth highest in MLB-- fourth Percentile. Edwin Diaz has a strikeout rate of 35% this season -- 13th highest among qualified RPs-- 94th Percentile.

Jose Quintana has a strike rate of just 58% (560/957) against right-handed batters this season -- lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% -- first Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .143 (16-for-112) against Shota Imanaga when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season -- 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .231 -- 98th Percentile.

Jose Quintana has a strike rate of just 50% (432/868) when ahead in the count since last season -- lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 93 total IP; League Avg: 61% -- 0 Percentile.

No props found

MLB Public Betting

Cubs are 4-1 in their last 5 games.
Cubs are 4-1 in their last 5 games against the spread
Cubs are 39-42 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 4 of Cubs' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 40 of Cubs' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Cubs	78-84	39-42	39-42	55-60	22-24
Mets	74-88	39-42	35-46	48-67	26-21

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Cubs	74-78-10	40-36-5	34-42-5	52-56-7	22-21-3
Mets	76-80-6	40-39-2	36-41-4	54-55-6	22-25

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Cubs	92-70	50-31	42-39	73-42	18-28
Mets	83-79	49-32	34-47	64-51	19-28

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Jun 19th	SF	W 6-5	+1.5 W	O 10.5	CHC -112
Jun 19th	SF	W 5-2	+1.5 W	U 9.5	CHC -118
Jun 18th	SF	L 6-7	+1.5 W	O 10.5	SF -117
Jun 16th	STL	L 1-2	-1.5 L	U 10.5	STL -130
Jun 15th	STL	W 5-1	-1.5 W	U 8.5	CHC -175

Justin Steele
SP
Steele is out for season with elbow
Out for Season

Tylor Megill
SP
Megill is out with elbow
Out
Christian Scott
SP
Scott is out for season with elbow
Out for Season

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K
LJ.Quintana, P	103	6.1	8
RA.Ottavino, P	44	1.2	3
RD.Smith, P	21	1	2

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1F.Lindor, SS	3-5	2	0	0
2B.Nimmo, LF	2-4	3	1	2
3J.Martinez, DH	2-4	2	1	4
3D.Stewart, PH	0-0	0	0	0
3D.Stewart, DH	0-0	0	0	0
4P.Alonso, 1B	1-3	0	0	0
5S.Marte, RF	1-4	2	0	1
5T.Taylor, RF	0-1	0	0	0
6M.Vientos, 3B	0-5	0	0	0
7F.Alvarez, C	1-3	1	1	1
7J.Hudson, C	0-0	0	0	0
8J.Iglesias, 2B	4-5	1	0	3
9H.Bader, CF	0-5	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LS.Imanaga, P	74	3	3	10
RH.Wesneski, P	40	2	2	1
RP.Hodge, P	48	2.1	5	0
LL.Little, P	19	1.2	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R
1N.Hoerner, 2B	0-3	1
1T.Nido, PH	0-1	0
2S.Suzuki, RF	0-2	0
3C.Bellinger, CF	2-3	0
3M.Busch, 1B	0-1	0
4C.Morel, DH	1-4	0
5I.Happ, LF	0-3	0
5P.Crow-Armstrong, CF	0-1	0
6P.Wisdom, 1B	1-4	0
6P.Wisdom, LF	1-4	0
7D.Swanson, SS	0-2	0
7M.Mastrobuoni, PH	0-2	0
7M.Mastrobuoni, SS	0-2	0
8D.Bote, 3B	1-4	0
9M.Amaya, C	1-3	0