Mets vs. Guardians Odds & Betting Predictions - May 20, 2024

Mets at Guardians

10:10 pm • SNY

New York Mets

83-79

1 - 3

Cleveland Guardians

88-74

pitcher		team	era	w-l
B.Lively			3.82	13-10
T.Megill			4.04	4-5

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Mets 83-79	+1.5-192	o9-105	+105
Guardians 88-74	-1.5+160	u9-115	-125

Monday 10:10 p.m.

May 20, 2024

Progressive FieldCleveland

NYM +100 (F5)

NYM +110

Over 8.5-110

1.65u

Featured Insight
Opponents have a hard-hit rate of just 34% against the Mets RPs this season -- second best in MLB. Guardians hitters have a hard-hit rate of just 35% this season -- worst in MLB.

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Featured Insight
Guardians RPs have allowed an OPS of just .539 (174 PAs) over the last two weeks -- second best in MLB. Mets hitters have an OPS of just .638 over the last two weeks -- second worst in MLB.

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The Mets are just 3-86 (.034) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season -- lowest in MLB; League Avg: .102.

Brett Baty has an OPS of just .605 since the 2022 season -- 14th worst among hitters with at least 549 total PA's-- fourth Percentile. Sam Hentges has allowed an OPS of just .568 (483 PAs) since the 2022 season -- 12th best among qualified RPs-- 93rd Percentile.

Left-handed hitters have a line drive rate of 31% (59/189) against Ben Lively since last season -- highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 81 total IP; League Avg: 23% -- first Percentile.

Tylor Megill has allowed an OBP of .475 (120 PA's) when going through the lineup the third time in a game since last season -- highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 81 total IP; League Avg: .326 -- 0 Percentile.

Right-handed batters are hitting .417 (10-for-24) against Ben Lively over the last 14 days -- highest in AL over the last two weeks; League Avg: .249 -- first Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Guardians are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Guardians are 1-4 in their last 5 games against the spread
Guardians are 47-34 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Guardians' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 37 of Guardians' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Guardians	86-76	39-42	47-34	33-36	51-38
Mets	74-88	39-42	35-46	48-67	26-21

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Guardians	69-87-6	37-41-3	32-46-3	34-34-1	34-50-5
Mets	76-80-6	40-39-2	36-41-4	54-55-6	22-25

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Guardians	88-74	45-36	43-38	44-25	43-46
Mets	83-79	49-32	34-47	64-51	19-28

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
May 19th	MIN	W 5-2	+1.5 W	U 7.5	CLE -116
May 18th	MIN	W 11-4	+1.5 W	O 7	CLE +102
May 17th	MIN	W 3-2	-1.5 L	U 8.5	CLE -130
May 16th	@TEX	L 0-4	+1.5 L	U 8.5	TEX +160
May 15th	@TEX	W 7-4	-	O 9	CLE +101

Edward Lively
SP
Lively is out with elbow
Out
John Means
SP
Means is out with elbow
Out

Jesse Winker
LF
Winker is out with back
Out
Griffin Canning
SP
Canning is out with achilles
Out
Nicklaus Madrigal
3B
Madrigal is out with shoulder
Out
Tylor Megill
SP
Megill is out with elbow
Out
Christian Scott
SP
Scott is out for season with elbow
Out for Season

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RT.Megill, P	86	5	7	2
LJ.Walker, P	21	2	1	0
RJ.Lopez, P	12	1	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1F.Lindor, SS	0-4	0	0	0
2P.Alonso, 1B	2-4	0	0	0
3B.Nimmo, LF	1-4	0	0	0
4J.Martinez, DH	1-4	0	0	0
5S.Marte, RF	0-2	0	0	0
5T.Taylor, RF	0-1	0	0	0
6B.Baty, 3B	0-4	0	0	0
7J.McNeil, 2B	0-3	0	0	0
8H.Bader, CF	1-3	0	0	0
9T.Nido, C	1-2	1	1	1
9D.Stewart, PH	0-1	0	0	0
9O.Narvaez, C	0-0	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RB.Lively, P	88	5.2	7	1
RN.Sandlin, P	7	0.1	1	0
RS.Barlow, P	10	1	1	0
RC.Smith, P	14	1	2	0
RE.Clase, P	12	1	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1T.Freeman, CF	0-4	0	0
2A.Gimenez, 2B	0-4	0	0
3J.Ramirez, 3B	1-4	1	0
4J.Naylor, 1B	1-3	1	0
5D.Fry, LF	1-2	1	2
6W.Brennan, RF	0-2	0	0
7K.Manzardo, DH	1-3	0	1
8B.Naylor, C	0-3	0	0
9B.Rocchio, SS	0-3	0	0