Mets vs. Marlins Odds & Betting Predictions - March 31, 2023

Mets at Marlins

10:40 pm • MLB Network

New York Mets

0-0

1 - 2

Miami Marlins

0-0

pitcher		team	era	w-l
J.Luzardo			3.63	10-9
D.Peterson			5.03	3-8

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Mets 0-0	-1.5+150	o8-105	-110
Marlins 0-0	+1.5-180	u8-115	-110

Friday 10:40 p.m.

March 31, 2023

loanDepot parkMiami

Under 8-115

$0.87

Over 8-105

1.05u

MIA +102

0.51u

Under 8-117

Total is up to 8, I’ll double down

MIA -105

0.95u

D.Peterson o5.5 Ks+110

0.5u

MIA -105

0.95u

Under 3.5 (F5)-105

0.95u

MIA -105

MIA +105

0.26u

Sharp Plays // Resorts World

P.Alonso o0.5 HR+525

1.05u

Bet at Bet365. Fell short vs Sandy yesterday but Luzardo hasn’t fared well vs Mets. Might get chased early. Only HR bet I love for today.

MIA -101

Under 7.5-110

MIA -106

Under 8-120

Pod

Under 8-110

$0.91

Under 8-110

0.5u

Bet to 7.5 (+100)

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The Marlins were just 33-65 (.337) when underdogs in 2022 -- 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .397.

The Mets are 152-4 (.974) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2021 season -- 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .954.

The Marlins are just 112-10 (.918) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2021 season -- 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .954.

Pete Alonso hit 14 home runs on breaking pitches last season -- tied for fourth most in MLB-- 99th Percentile. Jesus Luzardo threw his curveball 30% of the time last season -- 12th highest among starting pitchers with at least 64 total CB-- 91st Percentile.

Francisco Lindor hit 8 home runs on pitches 95 mph or greater last season -- tied for eighth most in MLB-- 97th Percentile. Jesus Luzardo had an average fastball velocity of 96.1 MPH last season -- 15th highest among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP-- 91st Percentile.

Hitters swung at 53% of Jesus Luzardo's pitches (285/534) with two-strikes in 2022 -- 4th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 61% -- third Percentile.

David Peterson had a strike rate of just 59% (875/1,491) against right-handed batters in 2022 -- lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 65% -- 0 Percentile.

David Peterson had a first-pitch strike rate of just 52% (238/455) in 2022 -- lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 62% -- 0 Percentile.

Jesus Luzardo had a strike rate of just 55% (352/642) when behind in the count in 2022 -- 4th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 62% -- second Percentile.

No props found

MLB Public Betting

Marlins are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Marlins are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
Marlins are 51-30 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 1 of Marlins' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 38 of Marlins' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Marlins	94-68	43-38	51-30	11-18	82-49
Mets	74-88	39-42	35-46	48-67	26-21

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Marlins	80-79-3	38-42-1	42-37-2	17-12	62-66-3
Mets	76-80-6	40-39-2	36-41-4	54-55-6	22-25

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Marlins	79-83	38-43	41-40	15-14	64-67
Mets	83-79	49-32	34-47	64-51	19-28

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Mar 30th	NYM	L 3-5	+1.5 L	O 7	NYM +108
Mar 26th	@NYM	L 3-3	-	-	-
Mar 26th	WSH	W 2-2	-	-	-
Mar 25th	@STL	L 2-3	-	-	STL +104
Mar 24th	HOU	W 3-2	-	-	MIA -142

Braxton Garrett
SP
Garrett is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Kyle Stowers
LF
Stowers is out with oblique
Out
Max Meyer
SP
Meyer is out for season with hip
Out for Season

Jesse Winker
LF
Winker is out with back
Out
Griffin Canning
SP
Canning is out with achilles
Out
Nick Madrigal
3B
Madrigal is out with shoulder
Out
Tylor Megill
SP
Megill is out with elbow
Out
Christian Scott
SP
Scott is out for season with elbow
Out for Season

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LD.Peterson, P	84	5	5	1
RT. Hunter, P	19	2	0	0
RJ.Curtiss, P	12	1	0	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1B.Nimmo, CF	0-3	0	0	0
2S.Marte, RF	2-4	0	0	0
3F.Lindor, SS	0-2	0	0	0
4P.Alonso, 1B	1-4	1	1	1
5M.Canha, DH	0-3	0	0	0
6J.McNeil, 2B	0-4	0	0	0
6J.McNeil, LF	0-4	0	0	0
7E. Escobar, 3B	0-3	0	0	0
8T.Pham, LF	0-2	0	0	0
8L.Guillorme, PH	0-1	0	0	0
8L.Guillorme, 2B	0-1	0	0	0
9T.Nido, C	0-2	0	0	0
9D.Vogelbach, PH	1-1	0	0	0
9T. Locastro, PR	0-0	0	0	0
9O.Narvaez, C	0-0	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LJ.Luzardo, P	91	5.2	5	0
RJ.Chargois, P	14	1.1	1	0
RD.Floro, P	11	1	0	0
LA.Puk, P	10	1	2	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1L.Arraez, 2B	1-3	0	0	0
2J. Segura, 3B	0-4	0	0	0
3G.Cooper, DH	3-4	0	0	0
4J.Chisholm, CF	1-4	1	1	1
5J.Soler, RF	2-4	1	1	1
5B.De La Cruz, LF	0-0	0	0	0
6A.Garcia, LF	0-4	0	0	0
6A.Garcia, RF	0-4	0	0	0
7Y.Gurriel, 1B	1-3	0	0	0
8N.Fortes, C	1-3	0	0	0
9J.Berti, SS	1-3	0	0	0
9J.Wendle, SS	0-0	0	0	0