Mets vs. Rays Odds & Betting Predictions - May 3, 2024

Mets at Rays

10:50 pm • SNY

New York Mets

18-7

8 - 10

Tampa Bay Rays

10-14

pitcher		team	era	w-l
A.Civale			5.07	2-6
J.Quintana			3.75	10-10

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Mets 18-7	+1.5-170	o8-111	+124
Rays 10-14	-1.5+142	u8-109	-148

Friday 10:50 p.m.

May 03, 2024

Tropicana FieldSt. Petersburg

NYM +130

TB -160 (F5)

A.Civale u5.5 Ks+105

1.05u

Featured Insight
Mets RPs have a strikeout rate of 32% vs right-handed batters over the last two weeks -- highest in MLB. Rays right-handed hitters have struck out 37% against LHP over the last two weeks -- highest in MLB.

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Featured Insight
The Rays scored first in 64% of their games last season -- highest in MLB. The Mets allowed their opponents to score first in 56% of their games last season -- fourth highest in MLB.

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The Rays are 90-22 (.804) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since the 2023 season -- 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .733.

Amed Rosario has an OPS of just .692 since last season -- ninth worst in MLB-- sixth Percentile. Jake Diekman has allowed an OPS of just .551 (285 PAs) since last season -- 11th best among qualified RPs-- 94th Percentile.

66% of Francisco Lindor fastball strikeouts are elevated since last season -- 10th highest in MLB-- 91st Percentile. Aaron Civale has located his fastball up 60% of the time since last season -- ninth highest among starting pitchers with at least 76 total IP-- 94th Percentile.

The average home run distance against Aaron Civale since the 2022 season is 385.2 feet -- 4th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 141 total IP; League Avg: 398.4

71% of Aaron Civale's non-fastball strikeouts are located away this season -- tied for 9th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 50% -- 91st Percentile.

Jose Quintana has a strikeout rate of just 16% (23 SO in 144 PAs) this season -- tied for 6th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% -- seventh Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Rays are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Rays are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
Rays are 1-4 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Rays' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 8 of Rays' 19 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Rays	9-15	8-11	1-4	6-9	3-5
Mets	13-12	8-5	5-7	8-10	5-2

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Rays	10-12-2	8-9-2	2-3	7-6-2	3-5
Mets	8-17	4-9	4-8	8-10	0-7

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Rays	10-14	9-10	1-4	8-7	2-6
Mets	18-7	12-1	6-6	14-4	4-3

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
May 1st	@MIL	L 1-7	-1.5 L	U 8.5	MIL -111
Apr 30th	@MIL	L 2-8	+1.5 L	O 8	MIL +152
Apr 29th	@MIL	W 1-0	-1.5 L	U 8	TB -109
Apr 28th	@CWS	L 2-4	-1.5 L	U 8	CWS -141
Apr 27th	@CWS	L 7-8	-1.5 L	O 8.5	CWS -199

Josh Lowe
OF
Lowe is out with oblique
Out
Alex Faedo
P
Faedo is out with shoulder
Out
Shane McClanahan
P
McClanahan is out with triceps
Out
Richie Palacios
IF
Palacios is out with knee
Out
Ha-Seong Kim
IF
Kim is out with shoulder
Out
Jonny DeLuca
OF
DeLuca is out with shoulder
Out

Frankie Montas
P
Montas is out with back
Out
Sean Manaea
P
Manaea is out with oblique
Out
Paul Blackburn
P
Blackburn is out with knee
Out
Jose Siri
OF
Siri is out with leg
Out
Jeff McNeil
IF
McNeil is out with oblique
Out
Nick Madrigal
IF
Madrigal is out with shoulder
Out
Francisco Alvarez
C
Alvarez is out with hand
Out
Ronny Mauricio
IF
Mauricio is out with knee
Out
Christian Scott
P
Scott is out for season with elbow
Out for Season

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LJ.Quintana, P	65	2.2	2	8
RD.Nunez, P	30	2.1	3	1
RJ.Lopez, P	23	1	0	1
LD.Young, P	37	2	2	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1B.Nimmo, LF	1-4	1	0	0
2S.Marte, RF	0-4	0	0	1
3F.Lindor, SS	1-4	1	0	2
4P.Alonso, 1B	1-4	0	0	1
5J.Martinez, DH	0-4	0	0	0
6J.McNeil, 2B	1-4	1	0	0
7T.Taylor, CF	2-4	2	0	0
8B.Baty, 3B	3-4	2	2	4
9T.Nido, C	1-3	1	0	0
9D.Stewart, PH	0-1	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RA.Civale, P	77	4.2	5	7
RS.Armstrong, P	18	1.1	2	0
RP.Maton, P	19	1	1	0
RK.Kelly, P	11	1	0	0
RJ.Adam, P	16	1	1	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1Y.Diaz, 1B	2-5	0	0	2
2I.Paredes, DH	0-3	1	0	0
3H.Ramirez, RF	3-5	1	0	0
3R.Palacios, RF	0-0	0	0	0
4R.Arozarena, LF	1-2	2	1	1
5A.Rosario, 2B	3-5	2	0	2
6J.Caballero, SS	2-3	2	0	0
7A.Jackson, C	0-3	0	0	1
8J.DeLuca, CF	1-4	1	0	3
9C.Mead, 3B	1-4	1	0	1