Nationals vs. Marlins Odds & Betting Predictions - September 4, 2024

Nationals at Marlins

10:40 pm • BSFL
3 - 4
Starting Pitchers
pitcherteameraw-l
Valente Bellozo logoV.BellozoMiami Marlins logo3.673-4
MacKenzie Gore logoM.GoreWashington Nationals logo3.9010-12

Nationals at Marlins Odds

Spread, Total, Moneyline

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Nationals
0-0
-1.5+115
o8.5-105
-146
Marlins
0-0
+1.5-135
u8.5-115
+122
location pinWednesday 10:40 p.m.
September 04, 2024
loanDepot parkMiami
Nationals vs. Marlins Expert Picks
Picks  Office
Picks Office
109d ago
Last 30d: 121-111-6 (+0.9u)
WSH -0.5 (F5)-105
1u
Follow On X: https://x.com/PicksOffice The Nationals have dominated the Marlins, taking eight straight meetings between the teams. There is also a significant mismatch in the pitching matchup during the first five innings in favor of Washington. MacKenzie Gore has been more reliable on the mound lately, keeping a 4.08 ERA over his last three starts. Despite this modest ERA, he's flashed greatness at times this season, specifically against premier lineups like the Yankees and Braves - to whom he combined to allow three runs in his last two starts. Gore was brilliant against Miami earlier this year, tossing seven innings of one-run ball while punching out 10 and proving he can shut this Marlins lineup down. On the other hand, Valente Bellozo has really struggled of late, posting an 8.36 ERA over his last three starts. He has been particularly bad against the Rockies and Cubs, allowing a combined 11 earned runs between the two starts. Bellozo has yet to show he can hold down even average lineups, let alone one that is hitting as hot as the Nationals. Washington has been particularly effective against right-handed pitching of late, posting a .274 team batting average over their past five contests, and has a strong chance to jump out to an early advantage here. Also, the Marlins' recent trouble against left-handers should bode well for Gore, who is coming into a period where Miami is hitting only .227 over its last five games, compared to .286 off right-handers within that span, which seems to suggest that this lineup might struggle early in this one against the southpaw. Taking into consideration Washington's consistent advantage over head-to-head matchups as a whole, coupled with the pitching advantage, puts more weight on a fine start for the Nationals through the first five innings.
Ryan Sura
Ryan Sura
109d ago
Last 30d: 102-111-6 (-16.5u)
WSH -0.5 (F5)-113
1.13u
Sean Zerillo
Sean Zerillo
109d ago
Last 30d: 29-50-0 (-6.0u)
WSH -140 (F5)
0.5u
Flat to -140
The Propfessor
The Propfessor
109d ago
Last 30d: 47-41-0 (+0.9u)
M.Gore o5.5 Ks-125
1u

Nationals vs. Marlins Previews & Analysis

  • Opening Pitch: Zerillo's Wednesday MLB Betting Card article feature image

    Opening Pitch: Zerillo's Wednesday MLB Betting Card

    Sean Zerillo•
    Sep 4, 2024 UTC
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Nationals vs. Marlins Notes

Prop Odds Comparison

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Line Movement Tracker

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Nationals vs. Marlins Public Betting Percentages

78%

Bets%

22%

Money%

Matchup History

Against the Spread (ATS) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
Marlins
77-8535-4642-392-1575-70
Nationals
89-7344-3745-3614-1275-59

Over/Under History

overallhome o/uaway o/ufavorite o/uunderdog o/u
Marlins
85-66-1153-20-832-46-311-5-174-61-10
Nationals
76-78-837-39-539-39-39-16-165-62-7

Straight-Up (ML) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
Marlins
62-10030-5132-494-1358-87
Nationals
71-9138-4333-4815-1156-78

Last 5 Matchups

dateopponentscorespreadover/undermoneyline
Sep 3rdWSHL 2-6+1.5 LU 8WSH -115
Sep 1st@SFW 7-5+1.5 WO 7MIA +230
Sep 1st@SFW 4-3+1.5 WU 7.5MIA +120
Aug 31st@SFL 1-3+1.5 LU 7SF +235
Aug 29th@COLW 12-8+1.5 WO 11.5MIA +119

Nationals vs. Marlins Injury Updates

Nationals Injuries

  • Alex Call
    OF

    Call is out with foot

    Out

  • Josiah Gray
    P

    Josiah Gray (elbow) scratched Tuesday.

    Out

  • Cade Cavalli
    P

    Cavalli is out with elbow

    Out

Marlins Injuries

  • Sandy Alcantara
    P

    Alcantara is out for season with elbow

    Out for Season

  • Jesus Luzardo
    P

    Luzardo is out with back

    Out

  • Max Meyer
    P

    Meyer is out with shoulder

    Out

  • Eury Perez
    P

    Perez is out with elbow

    Out

Nationals vs. Marlins Box Score
Nationals Player Stats
Projected
PITCHERPCIPKER
MacKenzie Gore logoLM.Gore, P93691
Jacob Barnes logoRJ.Barnes, P15111
Jose A. Ferrer logoLJ.Ferrer, P130.211
Kyle Finnegan logoRK.Finnegan, P261.120
Derek Law logoRD.Law, P70.100
HITTERSH-ABRHRRBI
Dylan Crews logo1D.Crews, RF0-3000
Jose Tena logo2J.Tena, 3B0-4101
Andres Chaparro logo3A.Chaparro, DH0-4001
Nasim Nunez logo3N.Nunez, PR0-0000
Nasim Nunez logo3N.Nunez, DH0-0000
Darren Baker logo3D.Baker, PH0-1000
Darren Baker logo3D.Baker, DH0-1000
James Wood logo4J.Wood, LF2-4001
Luis Garcia logo5L.Garcia, 2B1-3000
Joey Gallo logo6J.Gallo, 1B0-4000
CJ Abrams logo7C.Abrams, SS0-4000
Keibert Ruiz logo8K.Ruiz, C1-3100
Jacob Young logo9J.Young, CF1-4100
Marlins Player Stats
Projected
PITCHERPCIPKER
Valente Bellozo logoRV.Bellozo, P85610
Jesus Tinoco logoRJ.Tinoco, P11120
Mike Baumann logoRM.Baumann, P19003
Calvin Faucher logoRC.Faucher, P23110
Declan Cronin logoRD.Cronin, P10110
John McMillon logoRJ.McMillon, P13120
HITTERSH-ABRHRRBI
Xavier Edwards logo1X.Edwards, SS2-5101
Connor Norby logo2C.Norby, 3B1-4000
Jake Burger logo3J.Burger, 1B1-4001
Jonah Bride logo4J.Bride, DH0-3100
Kyle Stowers logo5K.Stowers, LF0-4000
Otto Lopez logo6O.Lopez, 2B1-4001
Cristian Pache logo7C.Pache, CF0-3000
Jesus Sanchez logo7J.Sanchez, PH1-1000
Derek Hill logo7D.Hill, PR0-0000
Derek Hill logo7D.Hill, CF0-0000
Griffin Conine logo8G.Conine, RF0-3200
Nick Fortes logo9N.Fortes, C1-4001

Nationals vs. Marlins Odds Comparison

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Nationals at Marlins Team Totals

MatchupOverUnder
Nationals
0-0
o4.5-110
u4.5-120
Marlins
0-0
o3.5-122
u3.5-105