Orioles vs. Guardians Odds & Betting Predictions - August 4, 2024

Orioles at Guardians

5:40 pm • MASN

Baltimore Orioles

8-10

9 - 5

Cleveland Guardians

7-12

pitcher		team	era	w-l
G.Williams			4.86	3-10
C.Burnes			2.92	15-9

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Orioles 8-10	-1.5+130	o8-106	-128
Guardians 7-12	+1.5-155	u8-112	+109

Sunday 5:40 p.m.

August 04, 2024

Progressive FieldCleveland

C.Cowser o1.5 Total Bases+140

0.7u

C.Cowser o1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs-110

BAL -132

0.76u

C.Burnes u5.5 Hits Allowed-125

Projected 4.54 Hits and +ev bet with value at this number

BAL -140 (F5)

0.71u

Burnes has a .250 wOBA on the road this season, Williams has a .373 wOBA at home this season, Orioles have a .341 wOBA vs RHP on the road this season, Guardians have a .309 wOBA vs RHP at home this season. Advantage Orioles

BAL -126

C.Burnes o18.5 Outs+114

Burnes is over in 7/L11, and 6/10 overall on the road. I like the matchup here for a few reasons. First - Burnes is excellent vs lefties (.187 BAA, .498 OPS). Guardians will start at least 5 lefties, which includes their best hitters at the top of the lineup (Kwan, Martinez, Ramirez, Naylor). And overall, the Guards have struggled vs righties - 78 wRC+ and .637 OPS the L30. And against the cutter (Burnes’ primary pitch), CLE is 29th in wRAA. Plus, CLE is is below avg in pitches per PA (24th overall - 3.82). Burnes is at 3.76 (39th lowest of 115 qualifiers).

C.Burnes u5.5 Ks-160

CLE +122

BAL -135 (F5)

0.74u

CLE +129

0.5u

Bet to +117

Featured Insight
The Orioles have allowed just 1.2 runs per game in late innings since last season -- tied for fourth lowest in MLB (273 games). The Guardians have scored just 1.1 runs per game in late innings since last season -- third lowest in MLB (271 games).

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Featured Insight
The Guardians are batting .382 with RISP over the last week -- best in MLB. Opponents are hitting .355 (11-for-31) against Orioles RPs with RISP over the last week -- fifth worst in MLB.

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MLB Public Betting

Guardians are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Guardians are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
Guardians are 41-40 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 0 of Guardians' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 38 of Guardians' 80 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Guardians	83-78	42-38	41-40	48-50	34-27
Orioles	87-75	41-40	46-35	61-57	25-16

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Guardians	67-83-11	38-38-4	29-45-7	45-46-7	21-36-4
Orioles	85-63-14	40-32-9	45-31-5	60-45-13	22-18-1

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Guardians	92-69	50-30	42-39	63-35	28-33
Orioles	91-71	44-37	47-34	68-50	22-19

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Aug 3rd	BAL	L 4-7	+1.5 L	O 8.5	BAL -102
Aug 2nd	BAL	W 8-4	+1.5 W	O 9	CLE -102
Aug 1st	BAL	W 10-3	+1.5 W	O 9	CLE -112
Jul 30th	@DET	W 5-0	-1.5 W	U 8	CLE -135
Jul 29th	@DET	W 8-4	-1.5 W	O 7.5	CLE -165

Shane Bieber
P
Bieber is out with elbow
Out
John Means
P
Means is out with elbow
Out
David Fry
C
Fry is out with elbow
Out
Daniel Espino
P
Espino is out with shoulder
Out

Jorge Mateo
IF
Mateo is out with elbow
Out
Trevor Rogers
P
Rogers is out with knee
Out
Kyle Bradish
P
Bradish is out with elbow
Out
Tyler Wells
P
Wells is out with elbow
Out

Chayce McDermott
P
McDermott is questionable with back
Questionable

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RC.Burnes, P	92	5	4	4
LG.Soto, P	15	0.2	0	0
RB.Smith, P	11	0.2	0	0
LC.Perez, P	4	0.2	0	0
RY.Cano, P	13	1	1	0
RS.Dominguez, P	16	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1C.Cowser, LF	2-4	3	0	0
2A.Santander, RF	1-4	2	0	0
3G.Henderson, SS	3-4	3	1	2
4R.O'Hearn, 1B	1-3	0	0	1
4R.Mountcastle, PH	1-2	0	0	1
4R.Mountcastle, 1B	1-2	0	0	1
5A.Rutschman, C	2-4	0	0	3
6E.Jimenez, DH	3-5	0	0	1
7C.Mullins, CF	0-4	0	0	0
8C.Mayo, 3B	0-4	0	0	0
8R.Urias, 3B	0-1	0	0	0
9J.Holliday, 2B	2-4	1	1	1

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RG.Williams, P	86	4	8	6
RE.Morgan, P	18	1	1	0
LT.Herrin, P	12	0.2	1	2
RN.Sandlin, P	10	0.1	1	0
RC.Gillispie, P	55	3	3	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1S.Kwan, LF	2-3	2	0	1
2L.Thomas, RF	0-4	0	0	0
3J.Ramirez, 3B	2-5	1	0	0
4J.Naylor, 1B	1-4	1	1	3
5D.Fry, DH	0-4	0	0	0
6A.Gimenez, 2B	2-4	0	0	0
7T.Freeman, CF	1-4	0	0	0
7T.Freeman, SS	1-4	0	0	0
8D.Schneemann, SS	1-2	1	0	0
8A.Martinez, PH	1-2	0	0	0
8A.Martinez, CF	1-2	0	0	0
9A.Hedges, C	0-2	0	0	0
9J.Noel, PH	0-1	0	0	0
9B.Naylor, C	0-1	0	0	0