Orioles vs. Rays Odds & Betting Predictions - July 20, 2025

Orioles at Rays

4:10 pm • MASN2

Baltimore Orioles

0-0

5 - 3

Tampa Bay Rays

0-0

pitcher		team	era	w-l
R.Pepiot			3.87	11-12
T.Rogers			1.81	9-3

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Orioles 0-0	+1.5	+1.5-201	o9+100	+107
Rays 0-0	u8.5	-1.5+166	u9-122	-128

Sunday 4:10 p.m.

July 20, 2025

George M. Steinbrenner FieldTampa

Under 9-118

This game opened at 8.5 and has since been bumped up to a 9 total, which is fair and close to my projections for this game. The reason I'm willing to take u9 is we've seen Tampa Bay grade out as a below-average offense against LHP this season. Against that split, they have a team wRC+ of just 91, 19th in the majors, meaning they've produced runs at a below-average clip against lefties. Trevor Rogers has been fantastic this season with a 1.53 ERA and it's backed by a 2.95 xERA. This isn't the easiest matchup on paper for Pepiot and is weirdly the side of the bet I'm more concerned about, but he's had some success against these Orioles (current roster has hit just .208 against him lifetime). His 4.31 FIP is backed by a 3.92 xFIP. This under was also popping on the Action projections and I'll bite here on both pitching staffs slowing down the bats.

Under 9-120

TB -1.5+170

Under 9-120

0.83u

TB -125

Orioles vs. Rays: Weather Angle for a Total Pick
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Jul 20, 2025 UTC
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MLB Public Betting

Rays are 1-4 in their last 5 games.
Rays are 1-4 in their last 5 games against the spread
Rays are 38-43 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Rays' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 36 of Rays' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Rays	73-89	35-46	38-43	29-46	43-41
Orioles	78-84	37-44	41-40	25-41	51-42

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Rays	71-81-10	36-41-4	35-40-6	32-37-6	38-42-4
Orioles	65-92-5	34-44-3	31-48-2	31-32-3	32-59-2

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Rays	77-85	41-40	36-45	42-33	34-50
Orioles	75-87	39-42	36-45	32-34	40-53

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Jul 19th	BAL	W 4-3	-1.5 L	U 9	TB -126
Jul 18th	BAL	W 11-1	-1.5 W	O 9	TB -128
Jul 13th	@BOS	L 1-4	-1.5 L	U 8.5	BOS +101
Jul 12th	@BOS	L 0-1	+1.5 W	U 8	BOS +147
Jul 11th	@BOS	L 4-5	-1.5 L	U 9	BOS -105

Taylor Walls
SS
Walls is out with groin
Out
Shane McClanahan
SP
McClanahan is out with triceps
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LT.Rogers, P	91	6	3	2
RY.Cano, P	7	1	1	0
RA.Kittredge, P	19	1	1	0
RF.Bautista, P	34	1	2	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1J.Holliday, 2B	1-4	2	1	1
2J.Westburg, 3B	2-4	1	0	0
3G.Henderson, SS	1-4	0	0	2
4R.O'Hearn, 1B	1-4	1	1	1
4R.O'Hearn, RF	1-4	1	1	1
5R.Laureano, RF	0-2	0	0	0
5R.Urias, 1B	0-2	0	0	0
6C.Cowser, LF	1-4	0	0	0
7T.O'Neill, DH	1-4	0	0	0
8C.Mullins, CF	1-4	0	0	0
9A.Jackson, C	1-4	1	1	1

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RR.Pepiot, P	93	6	8	5
RM.Englert, P	0	0	0	0
LI.Seymour, P	34	2	2	0
RB.Baker, P	25	1	2	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1C.Simpson, CF	0-5	0	0	0
2H.Kim, 2B	0-3	0	0	0
3Y.Diaz, 1B	2-4	1	0	0
4J.Caminero, DH	2-5	0	0	1
5C.Morel, LF	0-3	0	0	0
6J.Mangum, RF	0-4	0	0	0
7D.Jansen, C	1-3	2	1	1
8J.Caballero, 3B	1-4	0	0	0
9T.Walls, SS	1-4	0	0	1