Padres vs. Cubs Odds & Betting Predictions - April 25, 2023
Padres at Cubs
11:40 pm • MLB NetworkStarting Pitchers
| pitcher | team | era | w-l | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
![]() | 3.06 | 16-5 | ||
![]() | 2.25 | 14-9 |
Padres at Cubs Odds
Spread, Total, Moneyline
MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
Padres 1-2 | -1.5+162 | o7-122 | -106 | |
Cubs 4-4 | +1.5-200 | u7+100 | -110 | |

Wrigley FieldChicago
Padres vs. Cubs Expert Picks
David Payne
Last 30d: 8-10-0 (-2.0u)
Under 7.5-102
$0.98
The Degenerates
Last 30d: 55-58-1 (-7.1u)
CHC -110
1u
Anders
Last 30d: 9-16-0 (-10.9u)
Under 8.5-110
1u
forgot i panic bet this on US when they had this up last night… so ig this is a 4U play with a 1U middle
Collin Wilson
Last 30d: 86-71-1 (+11.2u)
SD -102
1.02u
Over 7-115
1.15u
Anders
Last 30d: 9-16-0 (-10.9u)
Over 7-115
1.15u
Greg DiNardo
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
SD -105
1.05u
Mjaybrod
Last 30d: 93-106-0 (-4.2u)
SD u3.5-114
0.88u
The Degenerate
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
SD +0.5 (F5)-141
1u
Tailing ParlaySafaris pitch. Lean Padres FG hope I don’t get fucked
David Payne
Last 30d: 8-10-0 (-2.0u)
B.Snell u16.5 Outs-130
$0.77
Anders
Last 30d: 9-16-0 (-10.9u)
CHC +100
1u
Under 9-115
3u
Shady Biev
Last 30d: 2-1-0 (+1.0u)
Under 7.5-119
1u
CHC -125
1u

Sean Zerillo
Last 30d: 73-105-4 (-0.8u)
Under 7.5-102
0.5u
Bet to -111
Padres vs. Cubs Previews & Analysis
Padres vs. Cubs Notes
Keys to the Game
The Cubs are just 37-25 (.597) when totaling 10 or more hits since the 2022 season -- 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .730.
The Cubs are just 0-7 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season -- tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .039.
The Padres are just 0-10 (.000) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season -- tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .094.
The Padres are just 0-10 (.000) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season -- tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .121.
Matchup Contrasts
Juan Soto is batting just .131 on breaking pitches from LHP since last season -- fifth worst in MLB-- fourth Percentile. Opponents are hitting just .124 (25-for-201) on Justin Steele breaking pitches since last season -- best among starting pitchers with at least 73 total IP-- 100th Percentile.
Dansby Swanson has a miss rate of 80% on changeups this season -- worst in MLB-- 0 Percentile. Opponents have a miss rate of 48% against Blake Snell changeups this season -- sixth best among starting pitchers with at least 8 total IP-- 93rd Percentile.
Today's Starting Pitchers
Justin Steele has thrown inside pitches 54% of the time (51/95) on the first pitch of at-bats this season -- highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 32% -- 100th Percentile.
Right-handed batters are hitting just .119 (8-for-67) against Justin Steele this season -- tied for 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .252 -- 98th Percentile.
Blake Snell has thrown his breaking pitches for a strike just 44% (52/117) of the time this season -- lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 8 total IP; League Avg: 63% -- first Percentile.
Prop Odds Comparison
Line Movement Tracker
Padres vs. Cubs Public Betting Percentages
Betting Trends
- Cubs are 4-1 in their last 5 games.
- Cubs are 4-1 in their last 5 games against the spread
- Cubs are 39-42 in their road games against the spread
- The totals have gone OVER in 4 of Cubs' last 5 games
- The totals have gone OVER in 40 of Cubs' 81 last games at home
Matchup History
Against the Spread (ATS) History
Over/Under History
Last 5 Matchups
Cubs vs. Padres Injury Updates

Cubs Injuries
- Michael SorokaSP
Soroka is out with shoulder
Out
- Justin SteeleSP
Steele is out for season with elbow
Out for Season

Padres Injuries
- Joe MusgroveSP
Musgrove is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Padres vs. Cubs Box Score
Padres Player Stats| PITCHER | PC | IP | K | ER | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
![]() | 105 | 5 | 5 | 2 | |
![]() | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
![]() | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
![]() | 35 | 0.2 | 0 | 4 | |
![]() | 5 | 0.1 | 0 | 0 |
| HITTERS | H-AB | R | HR | RBI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
![]() | 1-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
![]() | 0-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
![]() | 0-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
![]() | 1-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
![]() | 0-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
![]() | 1-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
![]() | 1-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
![]() | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
![]() | 0-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Cubs Player Stats| PITCHER | PC | IP | K | ER | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
![]() | 98 | 5.1 | 5 | 0 | |
![]() | 12 | 0.2 | 2 | 0 | |
![]() | 22 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
![]() | 18 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
![]() | 17 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| HITTERS | H-AB | R | HR | RBI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
![]() | 1-5 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
![]() | 0-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
![]() | 0-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
![]() | 0-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
![]() | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
![]() | 0-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
![]() | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
![]() | 4-4 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
![]() | 1-3 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
Padres vs. Cubs Odds Comparison
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Padres at Cubs Team Totals
MatchupOverUnder | ||
|---|---|---|
Padres 1-2 | N/A | N/A |
Cubs 4-4 | N/A | N/A |
































