Phillies vs. Braves Odds & Betting Predictions - July 6, 2024

Phillies at Braves

11:15 pm • FOX

Philadelphia Phillies

37-28

1 - 5

Atlanta Braves

27-37

pitcher		team	era	w-l
S.Schwellenbach			3.35	8-7
R.Suarez			3.47	12-8

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Phillies 37-28	-1.5+164	o8-115	+105
Braves 27-37	+1.5-198	u8-105	-125

Saturday 11:15 p.m.

July 06, 2024

Truist ParkAtlanta

A.Bohm o1.5 Total Bases-110

PHI -104

PHI -105

2.1u

R.Suarez o4.5 Ks-130

0.77u

ATL -111

ATL -104

0.5u

Superbook. Bet to -106

R.Suarez u2.5 Earned Runs+100

Featured Insight
Phillies RPs have a strikeout rate of 37% over the last week -- highest in MLB. Braves have struck out 28% over the last week -- fourth highest in MLB.

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Featured Insight
Braves have won 61% of their games that have been decided by one run or less since last season -- third best in MLB. Phillies have won just 41% of their games that have been decided by one run or less since last season -- fourth worst in MLB.

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Our MLB Best Bets for Saturday Night
Action Network Staff•
Jul 6, 2024 UTC

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The Braves are just 3-15 (.167) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season -- 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .301.

The Braves are 36-3 (.923) when leading entering the 7th inning this season -- 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .857.

The Phillies are 235-176 (.572) since the 2022 season -- 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Phillies are 61-41 (.598) after a loss since the 2023 season -- 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .495.

Orlando Arcia has an OPS of just .581 this season -- second worst in MLB-- first Percentile. Ranger Suarez has allowed an OPS of just .590 (406 PAs) this season -- eighth best among qualified SPs-- 90th Percentile.

Matt Olson has 21 home runs on inside fastballs since the 2022 season -- fifth most in MLB-- 99th Percentile. Ranger Suarez has located his fastball inside 43% of the time since the 2022 season -- fifth highest among starting pitchers with at least 163 total IP-- 94th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .194 (27-for-139) against Ranger Suarez when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season -- 7th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .231 -- 91st Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 61% (58/95) against Ranger Suarez in two-strike counts this season -- 4th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 45% -- 95th Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Braves are 0-5 in their last 5 games.
Braves are 1-4 in their last 5 games against the spread
Braves are 13-20 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Braves' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 9 of Braves' 31 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Braves	27-37	14-17	13-20	18-30	9-7
Phillies	31-34	14-17	17-17	25-28	6-6

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Braves	24-35-5	9-19-3	15-16-2	19-26-3	5-9-2
Phillies	28-35-2	16-15	12-20-2	24-27-2	4-8

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Braves	27-37	17-14	10-23	23-25	4-12
Phillies	37-28	19-12	18-16	32-21	5-7

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Jul 5th	PHI	L 6-8	-1.5 L	O 7.5	PHI -142
Jul 4th	SF	L 2-4	-1.5 L	U 7.5	SF -130
Jul 3rd	SF	W 3-1	-1.5 W	U 7.5	ATL -209
Jul 2nd	SF	L 3-5	-1.5 L	U 8	SF -198
Jun 30th	PIT	L 2-4	-1.5 L	U 9	PIT -198

Joe Jimenez
P
Jimenez is out with knee
Out
Austin Cox
P
Cox is out with knee
Out
Nacho Alvarez
IF
Alvarez is out with wrist
Out

Bryce Harper
IF
Harper is out with wrist
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LR.Suarez, P	91	5	7	5
RJ.Ruiz, P	6	1	0	0
LG.Soto, P	20	1	2	0
RS.Dominguez, P	16	1	3	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1B.Stott, 2B	1-3	0	0
2T.Turner, SS	1-4	0	1
3A.Bohm, 3B	0-4	0	0
4B.Marsh, LF	1-4	0	0
5N.Castellanos, RF	1-4	0	0
6K.Clemens, 1B	1-4	0	0
7R.Marchan, C	1-4	0	0
8D.Dahl, DH	0-2	0	0
8W.Merrifield, PH	0-1	0	0
8W.Merrifield, DH	0-1	0	0
9J.Rojas, CF	1-3	1	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RS.Schwellenbach, P	81	6	6	1
LA.Minter, P	13	1	1	0
RJ.Jimenez, P	16	1	2	0
RR.Iglesias, P	14	1	2	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1J.Kelenic, CF	2-4	2	0	0
2O.Albies, 2B	2-4	2	1	3
3A.Riley, 3B	0-3	0	0	0
4M.Olson, 1B	0-2	0	0	0
5M.Ozuna, DH	2-4	1	1	2
6S.Murphy, C	0-4	0	0	0
7A.Duvall, RF	0-4	0	0	0
8O.Arcia, SS	0-3	0	0	0
9E.White, LF	0-3	0	0	0