Phillies vs. Brewers Odds & Betting Predictions - September 18, 2024

Phillies at Brewers

11:40 pm • MLB Network

Philadelphia Phillies

1-3

1 - 2

Milwaukee Brewers

3-2

pitcher		team	era	w-l
F.Peralta			3.68	11-9
A.Nola			3.57	14-8

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Phillies 1-3	-1.5+164	o7.5-105	-108
Brewers 3-2	+1.5-196	u7.5-115	-112

Wednesday 11:40 p.m.

September 18, 2024

American Family FieldMilwaukee

MIL PK-103

MIL -115

MIL -108

2.78u

Featured Insight
Phillies have won 60% of their games that have been decided by one run or less this season -- best in MLB. Brewers have won just 42% of their games that have been decided by one run or less this season -- tied for third worst in MLB.

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Featured Insight
Brewers have won 58% of their games that have been decided by one run or less this season -- tied for third best in MLB. Phillies have won just 40% of their games that have been decided by one run or less this season -- worst in MLB.

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Phillies vs Brewers Prediction, Picks, Odds -- 9/18
Justin Perri•
Sep 18, 2024 UTC
Opening Pitch: Zerillo's Wednesday MLB Betting Card
Sean Zerillo•
Sep 18, 2024 UTC

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The Phillies are 74-4 (.949) when leading entering the 8th inning this season -- 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .899.

Kyle Schwarber has struck out in 28% of PA's this season -- 12th highest in MLB-- eighth Percentile. Edwin Diaz has a strikeout rate of 38% this season -- third highest among qualified RPs-- 99th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .144 (18-for-125) against Aaron Nola's elevated fastball this season -- 4th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .208 -- 93rd Percentile.

Aaron Nola has thrown his curveball 35% of the time (394/1,111) when he's behind in the count since last season -- 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 124 total CB; League Avg: 10% -- 97th Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Brewers are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Brewers are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Brewers are 48-33 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 1 of Brewers' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 38 of Brewers' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Brewers	88-74	40-41	48-33	43-53	44-21
Phillies	81-81	41-40	40-41	62-67	19-14

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Brewers	77-80-5	38-40-3	39-40-2	50-44-2	27-35-3
Phillies	70-81-11	41-37-3	29-44-8	57-61-11	13-20

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Brewers	97-65	52-29	45-36	59-37	37-28
Phillies	96-66	55-26	41-40	80-49	16-17

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Sep 17th	PHI	L 1-5	+1.5 L	U 7.5	PHI +120
Sep 16th	PHI	W 6-2	+1.5 W	U 8	MIL -109
Sep 15th	@ARI	L 10-11	+1.5 W	O 8.5	ARI +140
Sep 15th	@ARI	W 15-8	+1.5 W	O 8.5	MIL +135
Sep 14th	@ARI	W 2-1	+1.5 W	U 8.5	MIL +110

Jordan Montgomery
SP
Montgomery is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Easton McGee
SP
McGee is out with arm
Out
Garrett Mitchell
CF
Mitchell is out with oblique
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RA.Nola, P	97	7	9	1
RO.Kerkering, P	16	1	2	0
RC.Estevez, P	14	0.1	1	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1K.Schwarber, DH	1-3	0	0	0
2T.Turner, SS	1-4	0	0	0
3B.Harper, 1B	0-3	0	0	0
4N.Castellanos, RF	0-4	0	0	0
5A.Bohm, 3B	1-3	1	1	1
6B.Stott, 2B	1-4	0	0	0
7B.Marsh, LF	0-4	0	0	0
8J.Rojas, CF	0-3	0	0	0
9G.Stubbs, C	0-3	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RF.Peralta, P	91	5	9	1
RJ.Ross, P	24	0.2	1	0
LJ.Koenig, P	12	1.1	2	0
RT.Megill, P	13	1	1	0
RD.Williams, P	19	1	3	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1B.Turang, 2B	0-3	0	0	0
2J.Chourio, LF	1-4	1	0	0
3W.Contreras, C	1-3	0	0	0
4G.Mitchell, CF	0-4	0	0	0
5W.Adames, SS	0-3	0	0	0
6J.Bauers, DH	1-4	0	0	1
7R.Hoskins, 1B	2-3	1	1	1
8S.Frelick, RF	0-3	0	0	0
9J.Ortiz, 3B	0-3	0	0	0