Phillies vs. Pirates Odds & Betting Predictions - May 16, 2026

Phillies at Pirates

8:05 pm • NBCS-PH

Philadelphia Phillies

43-36

6 - 0

Pittsburgh Pirates

39-40

pitcher		team	era	w-l
B.Chandler			4.62	2-7
C.Sanchez			1.80	9-3

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Phillies 43-36	-1.5	-1.5-105	o8.5-105	-182
Pirates 39-40	u7.5	+1.5-115	u8.5-113	+150

Saturday 8:05 p.m.

May 16, 2026

PNC ParkPittsburgh

Over 6.5 (Live)+110

0.3u

Live hedge.

PHI u4.5+102

0.62u

#EV 1.26%

Under 8.5-109

0.23u

ONLY if you have Over 8. Make this 8.5 now - taking half off original position

C.Sanchez o18.5 Outs+115

0.49u

Under 8.5-102

B.Marsh Over0.5 Hitter Walks+260

There may be some value on Brandon Marsh's walks prop. THE BAT X is projecting him to record 0.45 walks, and oddsmakers are implying 0.32. The model believes there is a 37% chance he records at least 1 walk, so there is value on the over at +260. This play is good down to at least +197. Love THE BAT X? Get all of Carty's sports betting projections at EV Analytics https://evanalytics.com/subscribe/mlb?ref=zdlkmgz

C.Sanchez u7.5 Ks-151

1.51u

PHI o4.5-115

PIT +0.5 (F5)+104

1.04u

#EV 2.21%

Over 8-110

0.55u

Update: Want -110 to bet and would keep smaller

Under 8.5-125

0.5u

The Leadoff: Trollo's MLB Breakdown & Bets for Saturday
Matt Trollo•
May 16, 2026 UTC
Phillies vs Pirates: System-Backed Total Prediction
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+350, +400, +525, +750 PRO Props
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No props found

MLB Public Betting

Pirates are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Pirates are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
Pirates are 21-18 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Pirates' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 26 of Pirates' 40 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Pirates	40-39	19-21	21-18	21-23	18-16
Phillies	29-50	15-27	14-23	24-33	5-17

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Pirates	44-32-3	26-14	18-18-3	28-16	15-16-3
Phillies	34-42-3	21-19-2	13-23-1	28-27-2	6-15-1

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Pirates	39-40	20-20	19-20	24-20	14-20
Phillies	43-36	23-19	20-17	35-22	8-14

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
May 15th	PHI	L 9-11	-1.5 L	O 8.5	PHI -135
May 14th	COL	W 7-2	-1.5 W	O 7.5	PIT -177
May 13th	COL	L 4-10	-1.5 L	O 8.5	COL -185
May 12th	COL	W 3-1	-1.5 W	U 7.5	PIT -294
May 10th	@SF	L 6-7	+1.5 W	O 8	SF +105

Oneil Cruz
CF
Oneil Cruz has been scratched Tuesday.
Out

Kyle Schwarber
DH
Kyle Schwarber scratched Tuesday.
Out
Max Lazar
RP
Lazar is out with oblique
Out

Andrew Painter
SP
Andrew Painter was seen walking out to bullpen, he won't start but could be available in relief.
Questionable

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER		PC	IP	K	ER
LC.Sanchez, P		108	9	13	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1T.Turner, SS	2-4	2	0	1
2K.Schwarber, DH	1-4	1	0	1
3B.Harper, 1B	1-3	1	1	3
4A.Bohm, 3B	2-5	0	0	0
5B.Marsh, LF	1-5	0	0	0
6A.Garcia, RF	1-5	0	0	0
7B.Stott, 2B	0-4	0	0	0
8J.Realmuto, C	0-3	1	0	0
9J.Crawford, CF	0-2	1	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RB.Chandler, P	73	3	2	4
LE.Sisk, P	36	1.2	3	0
RI.Mattson, P	25	1.1	2	0
RY.Ramirez, P	13	1	3	0
RJ.Lawrence, P	17	1	1	1
RB.Bidois, P	19	1	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1O.Cruz, CF	0-4	0	0	0
2K.Griffin, SS	2-4	0	0	0
3B.Reynolds, LF	2-4	0	0	0
4M.Ozuna, DH	0-4	0	0	0
5R.O'Hearn, 1B	0-1	0	0	0
5N.Yorke, RF	0-3	0	0	0
6N.Gonzales, 3B	2-3	0	0	0
7B.Lowe, 2B	0-3	0	0	0
8J.Triolo, RF	0-3	0	0	0
8J.Triolo, 1B	0-3	0	0	0
9H.Davis, C	0-3	0	0	0