Pirates vs. Guardians Odds & Betting Predictions - August 30, 2024
Pirates at Guardians
11:10 pm • SportsNet PTStarting Pitchers
pitcher | team | era | w-l | |
---|---|---|---|---|
B.Lively | 3.82 | 13-10 | ||
B.Falter | 4.43 | 8-9 |
Pirates at Guardians Odds
Spread, Total, Moneyline
MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
Pirates 0-0 | +1.5-155 | o8.5-121 | +130 | |
Guardians 4-6 | -1.5+130 | u8.5+100 | -155 |
Friday 11:10 p.m.
August 30, 2024Progressive FieldCleveland
Pirates vs. Guardians Expert Picks
Prop Hunter
114d ago
Last 30d: 16-21-0 (+3.1u)
J.Noel o1.5 Total Bases+110
1.1u
YBK Picks.com
114d ago
Last 30d: 39-46-3 (-19.9u)
PIT +1-115
2u
The Degenerates
114d ago
Last 30d: 92-74-4 (+16.4u)
CLE -1.5+135
1.35u
JB Bets
114d ago
Last 30d: 35-13-0 (+16.6u)
CLE -145
0.69u
Firefighter Bets
114d ago
Last 30d: 11-15-0 (-5.3u)
J.Noel o1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs-115
0.87u
Picks Office
114d ago
Last 30d: 119-106-6 (+4.0u)
Under 9-115
1u
Follow On X: https://x.com/PicksOffice
Both pitchers carry the type of profiles that indicate they can limit damage, especially against lineups that have not found much clarity. Falter has had a rather uneven season with a 4.25 ERA, although his road performance is marginally better. This road improvement suggests he should be able to hold Cleveland's bats at bay, considering the Guardians rank only 22nd in team batting average at .237 while also checking in average in runs per game at 4.54. The biggest challenge for Falter will be getting through the top of the Cleveland lineup, which showed some life during their recent series in Kansas City.
On the other side, DO NOT count out Ben Lively, who has been a reliable arm for Cleveland at home. His ability to induce poopers and limit the big fly is big against a Buccos lineup that ranks 25th in OPS (.677) and 21st in runs per game (4.21). The power has flashed in for Pittsburgh, but inconsistency - particularly against right-handed pitching - is a serious concern. The Pirates hit just .231 as a team against righties, posting a .298 on-base percentage that suggests they may struggle to manufacture runs against Lively, who is effective at avoiding big innings.
The Cleveland bullpen has been one of the most consistent in the league, holding a cumulative ERA of 2.45, among the best in the major leagues.
Recent form also goes significantly towards a low-scoring game. Wednesday's offensive eruption for Pittsburgh was an outlier in what has otherwise been a barren stretch, with the club mustering only a .236 average and a .321 on-base percentage over their last ten games. On the other side, while Cleveland's been far more consistent, they don't exactly light up the scoreboard, with the Under having hit in 37 of their 62 games at home this season. As it is, the Guardians does tend to get into close, low-scoring affairs, and when considering both teams boast offenses that rank outside the top 10 in most categories, the environment is perfect to support a game that goes under the total.
Grant Neiffer
114d ago
Last 30d: 48-42-5 (+0.5u)
O.Cruz o0.5 HR+350
0.25u
Boomer Betz
115d ago
Last 30d: 142-147-9 (-1.3u)
PIT +145
1u
Tanner McGrath
115d ago
Last 30d: 126-96-6 (+14.1u)
Over 8.5-115
1u
Sean Zerillo
115d ago
Last 30d: 29-50-0 (-6.0u)
Over 8.5-114
0.5u
Bet to -120 or 9 (-101)
PRO Insights
Pirates
PIT Insights
- Featured InsightThe Pirates have scored 3.1 runs per game in the first five innings over the last two weeks -- tied for fourth highest in MLB (13 games). The Guardians have allowed 3.3 runs per game in the first five innings over the last two weeks -- fourth highest in MLB (13 games).
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Guardians
CLE Insights
- Featured InsightGuardians RPs have a strikeout rate of 25% vs right-handed batters this season -- tied for fifth highest in MLB. Pirates right-handed hitters have struck out 24% against LHP this season -- fourth highest in MLB.
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Pirates vs. Guardians Previews & Analysis
Pirates vs. Guardians Notes
Keys to the Game
Matchup Contrasts
Today's Starting Pitchers
Prop Odds Comparison
Line Movement Tracker
Pirates vs. Guardians Public Betting Percentages
Betting Trends
- Guardians are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
- Guardians are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
- Guardians are 41-40 in their road games against the spread
- The totals have gone OVER in 0 of Guardians' last 5 games
- The totals have gone OVER in 38 of Guardians' 80 last games at home
Matchup History
Against the Spread (ATS) History
Over/Under History
Last 5 Matchups
Guardians vs. Pirates Injury Updates
Guardians Injuries
- Shane BieberP
Bieber is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Pirates Injuries
- Ke'Bryan HayesIF
Hayes is out with back
Out
- Johan OviedoP
Oviedo is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
- Endy RodriguezC
Rodriguez is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Pirates vs. Guardians Box Score
Pirates Player Stats
ProjectedPITCHER | PC | IP | K | ER | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
LB.Falter, P | 59 | 4 | 2 | 4 | |
RC.Mlodzinski, P | 26 | 1 | 2 | 4 | |
RD.German, P | 54 | 3 | 4 | 2 |
HITTERS | H-AB | R | HR | RBI |
---|---|---|---|---|
1I.Kiner-Falefa, SS | 1-5 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
2B.Reynolds, LF | 2-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
3O.Cruz, CF | 2-5 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
4A.McCutchen, DH | 2-5 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
5R.Tellez, 1B | 2-3 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
5C.Joe, PH | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
5C.Joe, 1B | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
6N.Gonzales, 2B | 1-5 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
7B.McKinney, RF | 0-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
7B.De La Cruz, PH | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
7B.De La Cruz, RF | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
8Y.Grandal, C | 1-3 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
8M.Taylor, PR | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
8H.Davis, C | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
9J.Triolo, 3B | 1-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Guardians Player Stats
ProjectedPITCHER | PC | IP | K | ER | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
RB.Lively, P | 94 | 4.1 | 3 | 6 | |
RP.Avila, P | 8 | 0.2 | 1 | 0 | |
RC.Smith, P | 20 | 1 | 1 | 1 | |
LT.Herrin, P | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
RH.Gaddis, P | 18 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
RE.Clase, P | 13 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
HITTERS | H-AB | R | HR | RBI |
---|---|---|---|---|
1S.Kwan, LF | 2-4 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
2L.Thomas, CF | 1-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
2L.Thomas, RF | 1-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
3J.Ramirez, 3B | 2-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
4D.Fry, DH | 2-5 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
5J.Naylor, 1B | 3-5 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
5T.Freeman, PR | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
5T.Freeman, CF | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
6J.Noel, RF | 1-5 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
6J.Noel, 1B | 1-5 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
7A.Gimenez, 2B | 3-5 | 2 | 1 | 1 |
8B.Rocchio, SS | 1-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
9A.Hedges, C | 1-3 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
Pirates vs. Guardians Odds Comparison
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Pirates at Guardians Team Totals
MatchupOverUnder | ||
---|---|---|
Pirates 0-0 | o3.5-135 | u3.5+105 |
Guardians 4-6 | o4.5-110 | u4.5-120 |