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Pirates vs. Royals Odds & Betting Predictions - July 8, 2025

Pirates at Royals

11:40 pm • FDSKC

Pittsburgh Pirates

5-3
3
3 - 4

Kansas City Royals

4-4
4
Starting Pitchers
pitcherteameraw-l
Seth Lugo logoS.LugoKansas City Royals logo4.158-7
Mitch Keller logoM.KellerPittsburgh Pirates logo4.186-15

Pirates at Royals Odds

Spread, Total, Moneyline

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Pirates
5-3
+1.5
+1.5-184
o7.5-115
+114
Royals
4-4
u8
-1.5+151
u7.5-106
-137
location pinTuesday 11:40 p.m.
July 08, 2025
Kauffman StadiumKansas City
Pirates vs. Royals Expert Picks
Top Shelf Action 🥃
Top Shelf Action 🥃
Last 30d: 295-268-8 (+4.7u)
Under 7.5-105
1u
Shaky Favorites, Silent Scores Overall: 500-344-37,59% (ROI:15%) Season:7-6-0,54% (ROI:2%)
The Degenerates
The Degenerates
Last 30d: 102-87-4 (+6.9u)
Under 8-106
1u
💰🦡 Jake
💰🦡 Jake
Last 30d: 66-70-0 (+2.3u)
Under 4 (F5)-110
1.5u
Matt DiLeo
Matt DiLeo
Last 30d: 38-35-0 (-1.0u)
I.Kiner-Falefa u1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs-130
1u
Brandon Kravitz
Brandon Kravitz
Last 30d: 94-98-0 (+7.5u)
Under 7.5+106
1.06u
Doug Ziefel
Doug Ziefel
Last 30d: 223-294-16 (-15.9u)
Under 7.5+100
0.5u
Boomer Betz
Boomer Betz
Last 30d: 102-88-3 (+32.1u)
S.Lugo u5.5 Ks+120
1.2u
Matt Trollo
Matt Trollo
Last 30d: 11-10-2 (-0.1u)
Under 8+100
1u
Both SPs estimators around 4 - KCR 68/84/77 wRC+ Hm/v RHP/L7 days, PIT 64/81/27 - both strong defensive units w/ middle of the league pens.
PIT +118
0.5u
Keller worst est. 4.07 SIERA, Lugo best 4.03 xFIP - both comparable offense, defense and bullpen (PIT slight edges latter two + better base running).

Pirates vs. Royals Previews & Analysis

  • Pirates vs Royals: Over/Under Pick for Tonight article feature image

    Pirates vs Royals: Over/Under Pick for Tonight

    Action Network Staff•
    Jul 8, 2025 UTC
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Prop Odds Comparison

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Line Movement Tracker

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Pirates vs. Royals Public Betting Percentages

Away Logo

Pirates

Public

Home Logo

Royals

15%

Bets%

85%

Money%

MLB Public Betting Right Arrow

Betting Trends

  • Royals are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
  • Royals are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
  • Royals are 1-2 in their road games against the spread
  • The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Royals' last 5 games
  • The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Royals' 5 last games at home

Matchup History

Against the Spread (ATS) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
Royals		4-43-21-22-22-2
Pirates		5-32-03-33-02-3

Over/Under History

overallhome o/uaway o/ufavorite o/uunderdog o/u
Royals		2-62-30-31-31-3
Pirates		4-41-13-32-12-3

Straight-Up (ML) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
Royals		4-43-21-22-22-2
Pirates		5-32-03-33-02-3

Last 5 Matchups

dateopponentscorespreadover/undermoneyline
Jul 7thPITW 9-3-1.5 WO 8.5KC -154
Jul 6th@ARIW 4-0+1.5 WU 10KC +131
Jul 5th@ARIL 1-7+1.5 LU 9ARI +112
Jul 5th@ARIW 9-3-1.5 WO 8.5KC -105
Jul 4th@SEAW 3-2+1.5 WU 7.5KC +107

Royals vs. Pirates Injury Updates

Royals Injuries

  • Michael Massey
    2B

    Massey is out with calf

    Out

Pirates Injuries

  • Jared Jones
    SP

    Jones is out with elbow

    Out

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Pirates vs. Royals Box Score
Pirates Player Stats
Projected
PITCHERPCIPKER
Mitch Keller logoRM.Keller, P936.252
Caleb Ferguson logoLC.Ferguson, P10.100
Dennis Santana logoRD.Santana, P251.111
Isaac Mattson logoRI.Mattson, P2000
HITTERSH-ABRHRRBI
Spencer Horwitz logo1S.Horwitz, 1B0-3000
Jared Triolo logo1J.Triolo, PR0-0000
Jared Triolo logo1J.Triolo, 1B0-0000
Tommy Pham logo2T.Pham, LF1-3000
Bryan Reynolds logo3B.Reynolds, DH0-4001
Nick Gonzales logo4N.Gonzales, 2B1-4111
Oneil Cruz logo5O.Cruz, CF1-4111
Ke'Bryan Hayes logo6K.Hayes, 3B1-4000
Jack Suwinski logo7J.Suwinski, RF0-4000
Henry Davis logo8H.Davis, C1-3000
Adam Frazier logo8A.Frazier, PH0-1000
Joey Bart logo8J.Bart, C0-0000
Isiah Kiner-Falefa logo9I.Kiner-Falefa, SS1-2100
Royals Player Stats
Projected
PITCHERPCIPKER
Seth Lugo logoRS.Lugo, P82652
Angel Zerpa logoLA.Zerpa, P13120
Lucas Erceg logoRL.Erceg, P22101
Carlos Estevez logoRC.Estevez, P11100
HITTERSH-ABRHRRBI
Jonathan India logo1J.India, DH0-4000
Bobby Witt logo2B.Witt, SS1-4000
Vinnie Pasquantino logo3V.Pasquantino, 1B1-4000
Maikel Garcia logo4M.Garcia, 3B1-4100
Salvador Perez logo5S.Perez, C1-3100
Jac Caglianone logo6J.Caglianone, RF1-4111
Nick Loftin logo7N.Loftin, 2B2-4113
John Rave logo8J.Rave, LF0-2000
Kyle Isbel logo9K.Isbel, CF0-3000

Pirates vs. Royals Odds Comparison

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Pirates at Royals Team Totals

MatchupOverUnder
Pirates
5-3
N/A
N/A
Royals
4-4
N/A
N/A