Rays vs. Phillies Odds & Betting Predictions - September 10, 2024

Rays at Phillies

10:40 pm • NBCS-PH

Tampa Bay Rays

9-12

4 - 9

Philadelphia Phillies

13-8

pitcher		team	era	w-l
R.Suarez			3.47	12-8
T.Bradley			4.11	8-11

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Rays 9-12	+1.5-142	o7.5+102	+154
Phillies 13-8	-1.5+120	u7.5-122	-185

Tuesday 10:40 p.m.

September 10, 2024

Citizens Bank ParkPhiladelphia

Under 7.5-118

.tsa wind blowing in under streak Overall: 552-382-39,59% (ROI:14%) Season:28-22-2,56% (ROI:7%)

PHI -1.5+140

1.4u

PHI -164

0.61u

Y.Diaz o1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs+106

1.06u

33% boost

PHI -1.5+120

1.8u

Y.Diaz o1.5 Total Bases-105

1.05u

Avery

PHI -0.5 (F5)-110

@sandyplashkes

Y.Diaz o1.5 Total Bases+105

B.Harper o1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs-112

0.89u

T.Bradley u6.5 Ks-142

Bradley’s K% plummets in away games - 18.5%, and under in 8/9 (and the one over was in a done, for what it’s worth). Worse overall splits too: 4.86 ERA / 4.46. FIP, hard hit rate jumps by 15% as well. The Phillies bats have turned a corner (again), and overall they’re at a 20.6% K% over the L30 days vs righties at home.

PHI -0.5 (F5)-110

PHI -170

1.76u

Featured Insight
The Rays have allowed just 2.7 runs per game on the road over the last two weeks -- second lowest in MLB (6 games). The Phillies have scored just 3.0 runs per game at home over the last two weeks -- tied for third lowest in MLB (7 games).

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Featured Insight
Phillies RPs have a strikeout rate of 26% this season -- second highest in MLB. Rays have struck out 25% this season -- tied for fourth highest in MLB.

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The Rays are 46-4 (.920) when leading entering the 7th inning this season -- 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .858.

Christopher Morel has struck out in 28% of PA's since last season -- 10th highest in MLB-- eighth Percentile. Jeff Hoffman has a strikeout rate of 33% since last season -- sixth highest among qualified RPs-- 97th Percentile.

Kyle Schwarber has struck out in 29% of PA's since the 2022 season -- tied for second highest in MLB-- third Percentile. Taj Bradley has a strikeout rate of 31% vs left-handed batters since the 2022 season -- seventh highest among starting pitchers with at least 186 total IP-- 95th Percentile.

Opposing hitters have a chase rate of 36% (62/173) against Taj Bradley when he's behind in the count this season -- 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 57 total IP; League Avg: 25% -- 98th Percentile.

Opponents have a miss rate of 43% (21/49) against Taj Bradley over the past seven days (1 games) -- best among AL Starters over the last week; League Avg: 27% -- 100th Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Phillies are 4-1 in their last 5 games.
Phillies are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
Phillies are 4-5 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 5 of Phillies' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 7 of Phillies' 12 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Phillies	12-9	8-4	4-5	9-7	3-2
Rays	8-13	8-10	0-3	6-9	2-3

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Phillies	10-11	7-5	3-6	8-8	2-3
Rays	9-10-2	8-8-2	1-2	7-6-2	2-3

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Phillies	13-8	9-3	4-5	10-6	3-2
Rays	9-12	9-9	0-3	8-7	1-4

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Sep 9th	TB	W 2-1	-1.5 L	U 8	PHI -198
Sep 8th	@MIA	L 1-10	-1.5 L	O 8.5	MIA -135
Sep 7th	@MIA	L 5-9	-1.5 L	O 8.5	MIA -262
Sep 6th	@MIA	W 16-2	-2 W	O 7.5	PHI -280
Sep 5th	@MIA	W 5-2	-1.5 W	U 8.5	PHI -245

Josh Lowe
OF
Lowe is out with oblique
Out
Alex Faedo
P
Faedo is out with shoulder
Out
Shane McClanahan
P
McClanahan is out with triceps
Out
Richie Palacios
IF
Palacios is out with knee
Out
Ha-Seong Kim
IF
Kim is out with shoulder
Out
Jonny DeLuca
OF
DeLuca is out with shoulder
Out

Brandon Marsh
OF
Marsh is out with hamstring
Out
Ranger Suarez
P
Suarez is out with back
Out
Weston Wilson
OF
Wilson is out with oblique
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RT.Bradley, P	90	6	6	3
RM.Rodriguez, P	9	0.2	0	0
LR.Lovelady, P	19	0.2	1	2
RE.Uceta, P	21	0.1	1	3
RH.Bigge, P	4	0.1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1C.Morel, 2B	2-5	0	1
2J.Aranda, 1B	1-4	1	0
3J.DeLuca, CF	1-3	1	0
3B.Lowe, PH	0-1	0	0
3J.Siri, CF	0-0	0	0
4Y.Diaz, DH	1-5	0	1
5J.Lowe, RF	2-5	0	0
6J.Caminero, 3B	3-4	1	1
7D.Carlson, LF	1-5	0	0
8L.Driscoll, C	1-4	1	0
9J.Caballero, SS	1-3	0	1

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LR.Suarez, P	88	5.1	2	4
RO.Kerkering, P	10	0.2	1	0
LM.Strahm, P	8	1	0	0
LJ.Alvarado, P	14	1	2	0
LT.Banks, P	22	1	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1K.Schwarber, DH	1-1	2	1	1
1B.Kennedy, PH	1-3	1	0	1
1B.Kennedy, DH	1-3	1	0	1
2T.Turner, SS	3-5	2	2	4
3B.Harper, 1B	4-5	0	0	0
4N.Castellanos, RF	0-4	0	0	0
5B.Stott, 2B	0-5	0	0	0
6B.Marsh, LF	1-3	2	0	0
7K.Clemens, 3B	1-4	1	0	0
8J.Rojas, CF	1-3	0	0	0
8C.Stevenson, PH	1-1	1	0	2
8C.Stevenson, CF	1-1	1	0	2
9G.Stubbs, C	0-3	0	0	0