Red Sox vs. Diamondbacks Odds & Betting Predictions - May 27, 2023
Red Sox at Diamondbacks
1:40 am • BSAZStarting Pitchers
| pitcher | team | era | w-l | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 |  | 5.72 | 3-9 | |
 |  | 4.30 | 6-5 |
Red Sox at Diamondbacks Odds
Spread, Total, Moneyline
MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
Red Sox 1-2 | -1.5+125 | o8.5-115 | -130 | |
Diamondbacks 0-0 | +1.5-150 | u8.5-105 | +105 | |
Chase FieldPhoenix
Red Sox vs. Diamondbacks Expert Picks
Jeremiah Rose
Last 30d: 26-25-0 (+0.4u)
ARI o3.5-115
0.25u
Fade Chris Sale 3-2 (+.91 Units)
Mjaybrod
Last 30d: 81-102-0 (-12.2u)
Under 9-120
1u
Joe Dellera
Last 30d: 19-23-1 (+0.6u)
C.Sale o5.5 Ks-145
0.4u
Sale is blowing by this number in 3 straight starts with 10, 9, and 8. Many have never seen Sale before either which I think benefits the pitcher.
Jim Sannes
Last 30d: 17-45-0 (-12.3u)
C.Sale o6.5 Ks+112
1u
Available at FanDuel. FanDuel's above the market on Sale, so if you want to dip this down to 5.5 and lay around -150 on the over, that's available. I think the plus money on the over at a larger number is tough to turn down. I have Sale projected at 7.51 strikeouts, which is why I'm fine swinging for the fences. He jacked up his four-seam fastball usage four starts ago, and it has led to a big spike in his strikeouts. He's at 30.8% in that span. He has also hit 110 pitches in consecutive starts, so health no longer seems to be a concern. You've got two ways to play this one; I just prefer to dabble in the upside, given how fun Sale's recent stretch has been.
B.Pfaadt o3.5 Ks-118
0.85u
Available at FanDuel. Pfaadt has struggled thus far -- but it has primarily been with hard contact. His swinging-strike rate is 10.4%, implying his strikeout rate should rise soon. Even with that, he has been at 3 or more strikeouts in all 4 starts despite hitting the over on this number just once. I have Pfaadt projected for 4.7 strikeouts. It's a leap of faith given the lack of third strikes thus far, but I think the peripherals imply those will come soon.
David Payne
Last 30d: 8-10-0 (-2.0u)
Over 8.5-110
$0.91
Sean Zerillo
Last 30d: 87-106-5 (+2.7u)
Over 8.5-110
0.5u
Bet to -115
Red Sox vs. Diamondbacks Previews & Analysis
Red Sox vs. Diamondbacks Notes
Keys to the Game
The Diamondbacks are 10-6 (.625) at home this season -- tied for 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .519.
Prop Odds Comparison
Line Movement Tracker
Red Sox vs. Diamondbacks Public Betting Percentages
Betting Trends
- Diamondbacks are 0-5 in their last 5 games.
- Diamondbacks are 1-4 in their last 5 games against the spread
- Diamondbacks are 42-38 in their road games against the spread
- The totals have gone OVER in 3 of Diamondbacks' last 5 games
- The totals have gone OVER in 39 of Diamondbacks' 81 last games at home
Matchup History
Against the Spread (ATS) History
| overall | home | away | favorite | underdog | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 82-79 | 40-41 | 42-38 | 36-52 | 45-27 |
| 87-75 | 43-38 | 44-37 | 53-50 | 34-23 |
Over/Under History
| overall | home o/u | away o/u | favorite o/u | underdog o/u | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 80-74-7 | 39-36-6 | 41-38-1 | 43-40-5 | 37-33-2 |
| 76-82-4 | 33-45-3 | 43-37-1 | 50-50-3 | 26-30-1 |
Straight-Up (ML) History
| overall | home | away | favorite | underdog | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 80-82 | 43-38 | 37-43 | 45-43 | 34-38 |
| 89-73 | 48-33 | 41-40 | 61-42 | 28-29 |
Last 5 Matchups
Red Sox vs. Diamondbacks Injury Updates
Red Sox Injuries
- Tanner HouckSP
Houck is out with arm
Out
- Patrick SandovalSP
Sandoval is out with elbow
Out
- Kutter CrawfordSP
Crawford is out with knee
Out
- Jovani MoranRP
Moran is out with arm
Out
Diamondbacks Injuries
- John CurtissRP
Curtiss is out with elbow
Out
Red Sox vs. Diamondbacks Box Score
Red Sox Player Stats| PITCHER | PC | IP | K | ER | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 73 | 5 | 3 | 1 | |
 | 34 | 3 | 1 | 1 | |
 | 24 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| HITTERS | H-AB | R | HR | RBI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 2-5 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
 | 3-5 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
 | 2-5 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
 | 0-5 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 | 1-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
 | 3-5 | 2 | 0 | 1 |
 | 1-3 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
 | 0-5 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 | 2-4 | 2 | 0 | 1 |
Diamondbacks Player Stats| PITCHER | PC | IP | K | ER | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 87 | 3.2 | 4 | 5 | |
 | 51 | 2.1 | 5 | 1 | |
 | 32 | 2 | 2 | 1 | |
 | 19 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| HITTERS | H-AB | R | HR | RBI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 1-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 | 2-4 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
 | 1-4 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
 | 0-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 | 1-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 | 2-3 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
Red Sox vs. Diamondbacks Odds Comparison
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Red Sox at Diamondbacks Team Totals
MatchupOverUnder | ||
|---|---|---|
Red Sox 1-2 | N/A | N/A |
Diamondbacks 0-0 | N/A | N/A |