Red Sox vs. Phillies Odds & Betting Predictions - May 6, 2023

Red Sox at Phillies

11:15 pm • FOX

Boston Red Sox

1-2

7 - 4

Philadelphia Phillies

1-3

pitcher		team	era	w-l
B.Falter			5.58	2-2
C. Kluber			7.04	3-6

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Red Sox 1-2	+1.5-155	o9-120	+132
Phillies 1-3	-1.5+130	u9+100	-161

Saturday 11:15 p.m.

May 06, 2023

Citizens Bank ParkPhiladelphia

PHI -150

1.5u

PHI -0.5 (F5)-114

1.2u

-105

PHI -144

1.44u

PHI -145

1.45u

Over 9.5+100

Project 11; Umpire Lance Barrett +21 units to the Over. Phillies pen rocking a 5.6 ERA, Boston 23-10 to the Over this season

Over 9.5-110

0.91u

Bet365 10:36 Friday.

Red Sox vs. Phillies: Where Does the Value Lie?
Nick Martin•
May 6, 2023 UTC

See more MLB Coverage

The Red Sox are 18-3 (.857) when scoring 5 or more runs this season -- 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .795.

The Red Sox are 10-3 (.769) when they've hit 2 or more home runs this season -- 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .711.

Alex Verdugo slugged just .333 on inside fastballs last season -- tied for 13th worst in MLB-- 11th Percentile. Zack Wheeler located his fastball inside 41% of the time last season -- 15th highest among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP-- 89th Percentile.

Rafael Devers had a miss rate of 27% on inside fastballs last season -- tied for second worst in MLB-- second Percentile. Zack Wheeler located his fastball inside 41% of the time last season -- 15th highest among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP-- 89th Percentile.

Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 11% (2/18) against Corey Kluber -- lowest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 43% -- first Percentile.

Corey Kluber has thrown inside pitches 48% of the time (685/1,434) vs left-handed batters since last season -- 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 33% -- 96th Percentile.

No props found

MLB Public Betting

Phillies are 4-1 in their last 5 games.
Phillies are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Phillies are 40-41 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 1 of Phillies' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 41 of Phillies' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Phillies	81-81	41-40	40-41	62-67	19-14
Red Sox	87-75	43-38	44-37	53-50	34-23

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Phillies	70-81-11	41-37-3	29-44-8	57-61-11	13-20
Red Sox	76-82-4	33-45-3	43-37-1	50-50-3	26-30-1

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Phillies	96-66	55-26	41-40	80-49	16-17
Red Sox	89-73	48-33	41-40	61-42	28-29

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
May 5th	BOS	L 3-5	-1.5 L	U 8	BOS -166
May 3rd	@LAD	L 6-10	+1.5 L	O 9	LAD +104
May 3rd	@LAD	L 1-13	+1.5 L	O 7.5	LAD +120
May 2nd	@LAD	L 4-13	+1.5 L	O 9	LAD +145
Apr 30th	@HOU	L 3-4	+1.5 W	U 9	HOU +136

Tanner Houck
SP
Houck is out with arm
Out
Patrick Sandoval
SP
Sandoval is out with elbow
Out
Kutter Crawford
SP
Crawford is out with knee
Out
Jovani Moran
RP
Moran is out with arm
Out

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RC. Kluber, P	91	5	1	3
RJ.Schreiber, P	15	1	0	0
LB.Bernardino, P	18	1.1	1	1
RJ.Winckowski, P	9	0.2	1	0
RK.Jansen, P	14	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1R.Refsnyder, DH	2-5	1	2
2A.Verdugo, RF	1-3	1	0
3J.Turner, 1B	0-4	1	0
4R.Devers, 3B	3-5	1	2
5E.Hernandez, SS	0-5	0	0
6J.Duran, CF	0-4	0	0
7C. Arroyo, 2B	2-4	2	2
8R. Tapia, LF	1-3	0	0
9R.McGuire, C	1-2	1	1

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LB.Falter, P	69	3.2	4	5
RL.Ortiz, P	24	1.1	1	0
RC.Brogdon, P	19	1	0	2
RS.Dominguez, P	6	1	0	0
RJ.Hoffman, P	17	1	2	0
LG.Soto, P	11	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1K.Schwarber, LF	0-5	0	0	0
2T.Turner, SS	2-5	1	1	1
3B.Harper, DH	2-5	1	1	1
4N.Castellanos, RF	0-4	0	0	0
5B.Stott, 2B	0-3	1	0	0
6J.Realmuto, C	1-3	0	0	0
7A.Bohm, 1B	2-4	1	0	1
8B.Marsh, CF	1-4	0	0	0
9E.Sosa, 3B	2-4	0	0	1