Reds vs. Brewers Odds & Betting Predictions - June 16, 2024

Reds at Brewers

6:10 pm • BSWI

Cincinnati Reds

0-0

4 - 5

Milwaukee Brewers

0-0

pitcher		team	era	w-l
C.Rea			4.29	12-6
F.Montas			5.01	4-8

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Reds 0-0	+1.5	PK-103	o9.5-103	+100
Brewers 0-0	u9	PK-111	u9.5-116	-137

Sunday 6:10 p.m.

June 16, 2024

American Family FieldMilwaukee

Over 9-120

1.2u

MIL -125

0.5u

Bet to -130

Featured Insight
Opponents have a hard-hit rate of just 32% against the Reds RPs over the last two weeks -- fourth best in MLB. Brewers hitters have a hard-hit rate of just 36% over the last two weeks -- fifth worst in MLB.

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Featured Insight
The Brewers have scored three or more runs in an inning 228 times (7%) since the 2022 season -- fifth highest in MLB. Reds have allowed innings of 3+ runs in 7% of innings played since the 2022 season -- tied for fourth highest in MLB.

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Our MLB Best Bets for Sunday
Action Network Staff•
Jun 16, 2024 UTC

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The Brewers are 7-22 (.241) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season -- 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .151.

The Reds are just 1-6 (.143) when tied entering the 8th inning this season -- lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Reds are 10-1 (.909) when they've had 5 or more XBH this season -- tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .790.

32% of Elly De La Cruz strikeouts are looking since last season -- tied for 11th highest in MLB-- 92nd Percentile. 39% of Hoby Milner strikeouts are looking since last season -- eighth highest among qualified RPs-- 96th Percentile.

Elly De La Cruz has struck out in 32% of PA's this season -- 10th highest in MLB-- sixth Percentile. Aroldis Chapman has a strikeout rate of 37% this season -- seventh highest among qualified RPs-- 97th Percentile.

Left-handed hitters have a chase rate of just 21% (61/290) against Colin Rea this season -- 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 27% -- fifth Percentile.

Opponents have a first pitch chase rate of 24% (104/439) against Frankie Montas since the 2022 season -- highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 156 total IP; League Avg: 16% -- 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 18% (89/500) against Colin Rea this season -- 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% -- third Percentile.

Frankie Montas has walked 14 of 102 batters (14%) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season -- 5th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 27 total IP; League Avg: 8% -- third Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Brewers are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Brewers are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
Brewers are 43-38 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 1 of Brewers' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 40 of Brewers' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Brewers	87-75	44-37	43-38	43-48	43-26
Reds	87-75	40-41	47-34	33-37	54-38

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Brewers	81-70-11	40-33-8	41-37-3	41-43-7	40-25-4
Reds	73-81-8	35-40-6	38-41-2	38-29-3	35-52-5

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Brewers	93-69	47-34	46-35	54-37	38-31
Reds	77-85	39-42	38-43	36-34	41-51

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Jun 15th	CIN	W 3-1	-1.5 W	U 9	MIL -135
Jun 15th	CIN	L 5-6	-1.5 L	O 7.5	CIN -170
Jun 12th	TOR	W 5-4	-1.5 L	U 9	MIL -125
Jun 12th	TOR	L 0-3	+1.5 L	U 8.5	TOR +101
Jun 11th	TOR	W 3-1	-1.5 W	U 8.5	MIL -125

Christian Yelich
OF
Yelich is out with back
Out
Brandon Woodruff
P
Woodruff is out with shoulder
Out
Nestor Cortes
P
Cortes is out with elbow
Out
Robert Gasser
P
Gasser is out with elbow
Out

Jeimer Candelario
IF
Candelario is out with toe
Out
Stuart Fairchild
OF
Fairchild is out with thumb
Out
Matt McLain
IF
McLain is out with shoulder
Out
Brandon Williamson
P
Williamson is out with elbow
Out
Graham Ashcraft
P
Ashcraft is out with elbow
Out
Andrew Abbott
P
Abbott is out with shoulder
Out
Christian Encarnacion-Strand
IF
Encarnacion-Strand is out with hand
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RF.Montas, P	89	5	5	3
RL.Sims, P	22	1	3	1
LS.Moll, P	7	0.1	0	0
RN.Martinez, P	19	1.2	2	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1T.Friedl, CF	0-5	0	0	0
2E.De La Cruz, SS	2-3	3	1	1
3J.Candelario, 3B	1-3	0	0	1
3J.Hurtubise, PR	0-0	0	0	0
3S.Espinal, 3B	1-1	0	0	0
4S.Steer, 1B	2-4	1	1	1
5J.Fraley, RF	1-4	0	0	0
6N.Martini, DH	1-4	0	0	0
7J.India, 2B	0-3	0	0	0
8L.Maile, C	0-2	0	0	0
8T.Stephenson, PH	0-1	0	0	0
8T.Stephenson, C	0-1	0	0	0
9W.Benson, LF	0-2	0	0	0
9S.Fairchild, PH	0-2	0	0	0
9S.Fairchild, LF	0-2	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RC.Rea, P	92	6	6	2
RE.Paredes, P	8	0.1	0	0
LJ.Koenig, P	8	0.2	1	1
RJ.Payamps, P	11	1	1	0
RT.Megill, P	18	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1B.Turang, 2B	1-3	1	0	0
2W.Contreras, C	2-4	1	0	0
3C.Yelich, DH	1-3	1	0	1
4W.Adames, SS	1-4	1	1	3
5J.Bauers, 1B	0-4	0	0	0
6J.Ortiz, 3B	1-3	1	0	0
7S.Frelick, RF	2-4	0	0	0
8J.Chourio, LF	0-4	0	0	1
9B.Perkins, CF	0-2	0	0	0