Reds vs. Orioles Odds & Betting Predictions - June 27, 2023

Reds at Orioles

11:05 pm • MASN

Cincinnati Reds

0-0

3 - 1

Baltimore Orioles

0-0

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Reds 0-0	+1.5-156	o8-115	+131
Orioles 0-0	-1.5+130	u8-105	-158

Tuesday 11:05 p.m.

June 27, 2023

Oriole Park at Camden YardsBaltimore

BAL -1-110

2.2u

T.Wells o5.5 Ks-130

0.77u

BAL u4.5-120

CIN +125

1.25u

T.Wells o5.5 Ks-116

0.86u

T.Wells o5.5 Ks-105

MGM. Over in 7/L8, and 6/8 at home. He’s figured out righties, which was his weaker split, with a 26% K% over the 8 game stretch. CIN is righty heavy, and while they have a low K% of late, I read that as a product of weaker opponents. Plus, after last night’s rain delay/quasi bullpen game, I expect Wells to be on a slightly longer leash tonight.

BAL -140

0.5u

Bet365 12:21.

Over 8.5-114

FanDuel 12:20.

Over 8.5-110

0.55u

Updated weather forecast and Monday rain delay / bullpen usage bumped this projection to 9. Bet Over 8.5 to -110 regardless of whether you have the Under. If you can’t get -110 on 8.5 would try to cash out of the Under ticket

Under 9-110

0.5u

Would now bet Over 8.5 to -110 or pass

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The Reds are just 19-45 (.297) after a road loss since last season -- 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .450.

Gunnar Henderson has struck out in 29% of PA's this season -- tied for 15th highest in MLB-- ninth Percentile. Alexis Diaz has a strikeout rate of 42% this season -- third highest among qualified RPs-- 99th Percentile.

Opponents had a groundball rate of just 9% (1/11) against Andrew Abbott -- lowest in MLB over the last week; League Avg: 41% -- 0 Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 29% (9/31) against Andrew Abbott over the last 14 days (2 games) -- 4th lowest in NL over the last two weeks; League Avg: 43% -- eighth Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .197 (25-for-127) against Tyler Wells in non-two strike counts this season -- best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .331 -- 100th Percentile.

No props found

MLB Public Betting

Orioles are 4-1 in their last 5 games.
Orioles are 4-1 in their last 5 games against the spread
Orioles are 46-35 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 4 of Orioles' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 40 of Orioles' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Orioles	87-75	41-40	46-35	61-57	25-16
Reds	87-75	40-41	47-34	33-37	54-38

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Orioles	85-63-14	40-32-9	45-31-5	60-45-13	22-18-1
Reds	73-81-8	35-40-6	38-41-2	38-29-3	35-52-5

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Orioles	91-71	44-37	47-34	68-50	22-19
Reds	77-85	39-42	38-43	36-34	41-51

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Jun 26th	CIN	W 10-3	-1.5 W	O 10	BAL -130
Jun 25th	SEA	W 3-2	+1.5 W	U 8	BAL +100
Jun 24th	SEA	W 6-4	-	O 9	BAL -119
Jun 23rd	SEA	L 1-13	+1.5 L	O 8.5	SEA -110
Jun 21st	@TB	L 2-7	+1.5 L	O 7.5	TB +120

Jorge Mateo
IF
Mateo is out with elbow
Out
Grayson Rodriguez
P
Rodriguez is out with back
Out
Tyler Wells
P
Wells is out with elbow
Out

Jeimer Candelario
IF
Candelario is out with toe
Out
Stuart Fairchild
OF
Fairchild is out with thumb
Out
Matt McLain
IF
McLain is out with shoulder
Out
Brandon Williamson
P
Williamson is out with elbow
Out
Graham Ashcraft
P
Ashcraft is out with elbow
Out
Andrew Abbott
P
Abbott is out with shoulder
Out
Christian Encarnacion-Strand
IF
Encarnacion-Strand is out with hand
Out

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LA.Abbott, P	106	6	8	1
RL.Sims, P	26	1	1	0
RB.Farmer, P	13	1	0	0
RA.Diaz, P	20	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1T.Friedl, CF	2-4	2	1	1
2M.McLain, SS	2-4	1	1	2
3J.India, 2B	0-4	0	0	0
4E.De La Cruz, 3B	0-4	0	0	0
5J.Fraley, RF	0-3	0	0	0
5N.Senzel, PH	0-1	0	0	0
5N.Senzel, RF	0-1	0	0	0
6J. Votto, 1B	0-3	0	0	0
7S.Steer, DH	0-3	0	0	0
8W.Benson, LF	1-3	0	0	0
9L.Maile, C	0-3	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RT.Wells, P	99	6	7	2
LK.Akin, P	13	1	2	0
RB.Baker, P	23	1	2	1
LC.Perez, P	16	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1A.Hays, LF	0-4	0	0
2A.Rutschman, C	0-3	0	0
3A.Santander, DH	0-4	0	0
4G.Henderson, 3B	1-4	0	0
4G.Henderson, SS	1-4	0	0
5A. Hicks, CF	0-3	1	0
5A. Hicks, RF	0-3	1	0
6R.Urias, 1B	0-2	0	0
6C.Mullins, PH	0-1	0	0
6C.Mullins, CF	0-1	0	0
7J.Westburg, 2B	2-3	0	0
7J.Westburg, 3B	2-3	0	0
8R.McKenna, RF	0-1	0	1
8R.O'Hearn, PH	0-1	0	0
8R.O'Hearn, 1B	0-1	0	0
9J.Mateo, SS	0-2	0	0
9A.Frazier, PH	0-0	0	0
9A.Frazier, 2B	0-0	0	0