Reds vs. Padres Odds & Betting Predictions - May 1, 2024

Reds at Padres

8:10 pm • BSOH

Cincinnati Reds

0-2

2 - 6

San Diego Padres

1-2

pitcher		team	era	w-l
J.Musgrove			3.88	6-5
G.Ashcraft			5.24	5-5

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Reds 0-2	+1.5-173	o7.5-111	+124
Padres 1-2	-1.5+145	u7.5-109	-148

Wednesday 8:10 p.m.

May 01, 2024

PETCO ParkSan Diego

CIN +120 (F5)

F5 system

CIN +114

1.5u

Ass Craft

CIN +115 (F5)

Over 0.5 (1st Inn)-118

0.5u

E.De La Cruz u1.5 Total Bases-190

Under 8-105

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Featured Insight
The Padres allowed their opponents to score first in just 44% of their games last season -- fourth lowest in MLB. The Reds scored first in just 43% of their games last season -- second lowest in MLB.

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The Reds are 22-8 (.733) after a win as favorites since the 2023 season -- best in MLB; League Avg: .575.

The Padres are just 4-16 (.200) after a win as underdogs since the 2023 season -- lowest in MLB; League Avg: .424.

The Padres are just 1-83 (.012) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season -- tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .053.

Elly De La Cruz has 8 home runs this season -- tied for fifth most in MLB-- 98th Percentile. Joe Musgrove has allowed 9 home runs this season -- second most among qualified SPs-- 98th Percentile.

Joe Musgrove has allowed a slugging percentage of 1.000 (17 Total Bases / 17 ABs) on elevated fastballs this season -- highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .360 -- first Percentile.

Graham Ashcraft has allowed an OPS of 1.678 (21 PA's) when he's behind in the count this season -- highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 1.044 -- first Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Padres are 4-1 in their last 5 games.
Padres are 4-1 in their last 5 games against the spread
Padres are 42-39 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Padres' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 34 of Padres' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Padres	87-75	45-36	42-39	44-49	42-26
Reds	82-78	40-39	42-39	29-43	53-34

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Padres	69-89-4	34-46-1	35-43-3	46-45-2	23-43-2
Reds	58-91-11	26-45-8	32-46-3	20-47-5	37-44-6

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Padres	90-72	52-29	38-43	56-37	33-35
Reds	83-79	44-35	38-43	39-33	43-44

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
May 1st	CIN	W 6-4	-1.5 W	O 7	SD -170
Apr 30th	CIN	L 2-5	+1.5 L	U 8	CIN -112
Apr 28th	PHI	L 6-8	-1.5 L	O 8	PHI -144
Apr 28th	PHI	L 1-5	+1.5 L	U 7.5	PHI -117
Apr 27th	PHI	L 3-9	+1.5 L	O 7.5	PHI -108

Noelvi Marte
3B
Marte is day-to-day with side
Day-to-Day
Reiver Sanmartin
RP
Sanmartin is out with elbow
Out
Brandon Williamson
SP
Williamson is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Graham Ashcraft
RP
Ashcraft is out with groin
Out
Chase Burns
SP
Burns is out with hip
Out
Julian Aguiar
SP
Aguiar is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Rhett Lowder
SP
Lowder is out with elbow
Out
Carson Spiers
RP
Spiers is out with shoulder
Out

Joe Musgrove
SP
Musgrove is out for season with elbow
Out for Season

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RG.Ashcraft, P	99	6	4	0
RF.Cruz, P	16	0.1	1	4
LB.Suter, P	18	1.2	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1W.Benson, RF	0-4	0	0	0
2E.De La Cruz, SS	1-3	0	0	0
3S.Steer, LF	1-4	1	1	1
4J.India, 2B	0-3	0	0	0
5N.Martini, DH	0-4	0	0	0
6S.Espinal, 3B	1-3	1	0	0
7J.Candelario, 1B	1-3	0	0	1
8L.Maile, C	0-3	0	0	0
9S.Fairchild, CF	0-3	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RJ.Musgrove, P	87	6	9	2
LY.Matsui, P	18	0.2	2	0
RE.De Los Santos, P	6	0.1	1	0
LW.Peralta, P	9	1	0	0
RR.Suarez, P	11	1	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1J.Profar, LF	4-4	1	0	2
1J.Azocar, LF	0-0	0	0	0
2F.Tatis, RF	0-3	1	0	0
3J.Cronenworth, 1B	1-3	1	1	4
4M.Machado, 3B	1-4	0	0	0
5G.Pauley, DH	0-3	0	0	0
5E.Rosario, PH	0-1	0	0	0
5E.Rosario, DH	0-1	0	0	0
6L.Campusano, C	0-4	0	0	0
7J.Merrill, CF	0-4	1	0	0
8H.Kim, SS	1-3	0	0	0
9T.Wade, 2B	1-4	2	0	0